Wallet 0x7d93…fdef
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x7d93bcb1bad9d0fb2f7cb774715a3f005523fdef
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$208,660 staked over 3,868 qualified picks in 34 categories, 19 of 34 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$1,420 staked over 16 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
College Football
$8,024 staked over 174 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full College Football boardThird best
Fed Rates
$13,083 staked over 6 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Fed Rates boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,868 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category34 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,420 | before 0%in play 100%, over 16 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 after the start | 1 h 23to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1896% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9 | +0.18 | 50c | +21.9% | 58 |
The 16 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $8,024 | before 0%in play 100%, over 174 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 21 after the start | 1 h 25to the end, median over 297 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0581% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 81% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 94 of 174 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +11.6 | +0.07 | 50c | +14.9% | 56 |
The 174 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 174 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $13,083 | —no start of play | 4 h 06to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.33120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6 | +0.27 | 56c | +32.9% | 56 |
The 6 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $2,726 | —too few: 2 picks | 5 h 24to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1494% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3 | +0.14 | 41c | +10.6% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $346 | —too few: 9 picks | 2 h 38to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3 | +0.14 | 52c | +34.8% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $13,397 | before 1%in play 99%, over 113 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 1 h 14to the end, median over 191 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 92 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +5.7 | +0.04 | 49c | -1.2% | 54 |
The 126 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,925 | before 0%in play 100%, over 255 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 after the start | 1 h 23to the end, median over 502 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 216 of 255 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 255 | 53.3%136 W · 119 L | +10.5 | +0.04 | 49c | +8.6% | 54 |
The 255 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 255 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $2,822 | before 0%in play 100%, over 99 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 12 after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0484% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +4.1 | +0.04 | 50c | +0.4% | 54 |
The 99 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $20,841 | before 1%in play 99%, over 151 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 13 after the start | 37 minto the end, median over 270 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0394% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 121 of 151 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.7 | +0.03 | 49c | +2.3% | 53 |
The 151 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 151 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $360 | before 0%in play 100%, over 15 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start | 3 h 04to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 21% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9 | +0.06 | 47c | -4.5% | 53 |
The 15 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,098 | before <1%in play >99%, over 263 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 22to the end, median over 505 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 225 of 263 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +5.6 | +0.02 | 51c | -0.8% | 52 |
The 263 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 263 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,624 | before 0%in play 100%, over 76 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 16 after the start | 1 h 08to the end, median over 144 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 67 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.7 | +0.02 | 50c | -5.8% | 52 |
The 76 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $2,914 | before 2%in play 98%, over 42 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 2 h 40to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0185% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 44 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 49c | -8.8% | 51 |
The 46 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,253 | before 0%in play 100%, over 262 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 2 h 05to the end, median over 583 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 9% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 227 of 262 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +1.5 | +0.01 | 53c | -1% | 51 |
The 262 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 262 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,021 | before 0%in play 100%, over 127 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 1 h 29to the end, median over 247 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 102 of 127 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 52c | -4.4% | 50 |
The 127 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 127 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,179 | before 3%in play 97%, over 32 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 after the start | 1 h 31to the end, median over 93 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -13.8% | 50 |
The 32 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,861 | before 0%in play 100%, over 45 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 43 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 40c | -11.3% | 50 |
The 45 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.04 | 4c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,560 | before 0%in play 100%, over 195 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 after the start | 2 h 41to the end, median over 398 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 182 of 195 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -1.7 | -0.01 | 52c | -9.9% | 49 |
The 195 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 195 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $265 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $747 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3 | -0.08 | 33c | -65.7% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $10,201 | before 0%in play 100%, over 276 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 1 h 29to the end, median over 592 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 253 of 276 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | -4.5 | -0.02 | 51c | -12.5% | 48 |
The 276 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 276 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,868 | before 0%in play 100%, over 487 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 1,042 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 433 of 487 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 487 | 47.8%233 W · 254 L | -9.1 | -0.02 | 50c | -9.9% | 48 |
The 487 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 487 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $991 | before 92%in play 8%, over 13 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 20 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0 | -0.07 | 46c | -40.1% | 47 |
The 13 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $12,115 | before 0%in play 100%, over 206 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 after the start | 1 h 19to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 174 of 208 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -6.3 | -0.03 | 49c | -13.1% | 47 |
The 208 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 208 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,117 | before 0%in play 100%, over 116 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 31to the end, median over 245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 106 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.2 | -0.04 | 48c | -13.5% | 47 |
The 116 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,725 | before 2%in play 98%, over 119 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 08 after the start | 42 minto the end, median over 259 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -5.2 | -0.04 | 44c | -20.5% | 46 |
The 119 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $3,836 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5 | -0.10 | 28c | -67.8% | 46 |
The 16 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $1,231 | before 0%in play 100%, over 18 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 1 h 22to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9 | -0.11 | 49c | -34.6% | 45 |
The 18 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,388 | before 0%in play 100%, over 27 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start | 2 h 30to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5 | -0.08 | 37c | -42.1% | 45 |
The 31 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $16,477 | before <1%in play >99%, over 366 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 2 h 56to the end, median over 750 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 315 of 366 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 366 | 45.1%165 W · 201 L | -17.6 | -0.05 | 50c | -19.8% | 45 |
The 366 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 366 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $5,979 | before 0%in play 100%, over 119 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 3 h 09to the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 103 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.5 | -0.06 | 52c | -17.2% | 45 |
The 119 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $3,670 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.33no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.6 | -0.17 | 24c | -91% | 43 |
The 15 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $6,586 | before 0%in play 100%, over 171 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 373 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 156 of 171 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -15.3 | -0.09 | 46c | -26.3% | 41 |
The 171 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,868 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 171 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 41
- What they are worth now
- $2,786bought for $4,565
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 39worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 41, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 39. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Guiana vs. Sint Maarten: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 572.3 | 38c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x8532…3814backed outcome 1 | 149.99 | 52c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x8eb7…2c41backed outcome 1 | 129.77 | 40c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-29? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 110.99 | 61c | $0 | Counted |
| Austin FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 100 | 0c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.