Wallet 0x7e59…7b8b
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x7e5972bfc25819775ee5a9d4f191919375487b8b
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$4,392,760 staked over 10,132 qualified picks in 40 categories, 23 of 40 below 50.
Best category
Chess
$1,654 staked over 11 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Chess boardSecond best
Serie A
$22,425 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardThird best
College Football
$204,102 staked over 796 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full College Football boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 10,132 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category40 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,654 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5 | +0.32 | 41c | +448% | 61 |
The 11 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $22,425 | before 7%in play 93%, over 41 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 1 h 23to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 39% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 39 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.9 | +0.09 | 44c | +55% | 57 |
The 41 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $204,102 | before 31%in play 69%, over 796 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 after the start | 1 h 47to the end, median over 1,299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0480% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 436 of 796 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 796 | 50.6%403 W · 393 L | +37.4 | +0.05 | 46c | +9.4% | 55 |
The 796 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 796 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $24,869 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0582% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.7 | +0.06 | 34c | +20.1% | 54 |
The 45 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $2,634 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 38 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2 | +0.11 | 44c | -8% | 54 |
The 11 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $93,052 | before 53%in play 47%, over 194 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 2 h 39to the end, median over 307 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 128 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | +5.4 | +0.03 | 40c | -13.6% | 53 |
The 205 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $39,305 | before 14%in play 86%, over 145 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 h 58 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 389 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0395% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 31 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +3.9 | +0.03 | 34c | -10.8% | 53 |
The 148 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $36,755 | before 24%in play 76%, over 211 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 35to the end, median over 339 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 38% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 150 of 211 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | +5.1 | +0.02 | 44c | -5.6% | 52 |
The 211 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 211 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $123,535 | before 31%in play 69%, over 287 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 490 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 236 of 311 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +5.7 | +0.02 | 43c | -4.1% | 52 |
The 311 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 311 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $44,283 | before 29%in play 71%, over 117 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 92 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +2.3 | +0.02 | 43c | +8% | 52 |
The 117 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $74,528 | before 31%in play 69%, over 188 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 1 h 39to the end, median over 286 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 25% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 156 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +3.2 | +0.02 | 46c | +11.1% | 52 |
The 188 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $36,517 | before 23%in play 77%, over 82 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 66 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.0 | +0.01 | 41c | -21.3% | 51 |
The 82 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $209,829 | before 64%in play 36%, over 385 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 513 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 244 of 394 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 394 | 43.7%172 W · 222 L | +3.3 | +0.01 | 43c | -10.6% | 51 |
The 394 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 394 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $181,556 | before 26%in play 74%, over 568 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 42to the end, median over 835 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 394 of 578 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 578 | 46%266 W · 312 L | +4.6 | +0.01 | 45c | +0.8% | 51 |
The 578 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 578 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $149,583 | before 46%in play 54%, over 465 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 2 h 39to the end, median over 664 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 204 of 466 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 466 | 49.4%230 W · 236 L | +3.3 | +0.01 | 49c | +2.6% | 51 |
The 466 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 466 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $1,247 | —no start of play | 22 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.08 | 42c | +1.1% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $349 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 24c | -61.6% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $14 | —no start of play | 59 dto the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $201 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $55,964 | before 22%in play 78%, over 109 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 1 h 50to the end, median over 168 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -0.9 | -0.01 | 37c | -28.8% | 49 |
The 109 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $710,307 | before 37%in play 63%, over 1,037 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 1 h 58to the end, median over 1,635 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 919 of 1,115 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,115 | 44.2%493 W · 622 L | -10.8 | -0.01 | 45c | -9.6% | 49 |
The 1,115 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,115 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $31 | —no start of play | 52 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $419,082 | before 15%in play 85%, over 637 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 2 h 24to the end, median over 1,073 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 600 of 694 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 694 | 38.5%267 W · 427 L | -8.3 | -0.01 | 40c | -15% | 49 |
The 694 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 694 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,630 | —no start of play | 17 h 40to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.18 | 18c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $3,142 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.21 | 21c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $333,871 | before 64%in play 36%, over 634 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 before the start | 6 h 01to the end, median over 857 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 487 of 641 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 641 | 37.4%240 W · 401 L | -11.6 | -0.02 | 39c | -14.2% | 48 |
The 641 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 641 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,179 | before 19%in play 81%, over 95 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 170 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4 | -0.02 | 35c | -32.9% | 48 |
The 98 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $37,817 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.4 | -0.03 | 52c | -19.3% | 48 |
The 41 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $203,602 | before 59%in play 41%, over 407 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min before the start | 5 h 37to the end, median over 563 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 223 of 414 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 414 | 37.4%155 W · 259 L | -11.4 | -0.03 | 40c | -34% | 47 |
The 414 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 414 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $248,298 | before 66%in play 34%, over 1,704 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min before the start | 5 h 03to the end, median over 2,371 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,133 of 1,736 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,736 | 41.3%717 W · 1,019 L | -59.7 | -0.03 | 45c | -21.8% | 46 |
The 1,736 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,736 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $182,174 | before 25%in play 75%, over 342 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 h 43to the end, median over 557 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 281 of 342 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | -15.1 | -0.04 | 44c | -15.3% | 45 |
The 342 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 342 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $78,516 | before 89%in play 11%, over 133 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 h 25 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 192 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -7.7 | -0.06 | 37c | -31.1% | 45 |
The 133 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $502,303 | before 11%in play 89%, over 283 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 920 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 382 of 589 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5 | -0.05 | 32c | -44.9% | 44 |
The 589 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 589 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $68,582 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 68 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | -10.1 | -0.06 | 16c | -76.7% | 44 |
The 176 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,377 | before 6%in play 94%, over 33 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 after the start | 55 minto the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1 | -0.09 | 37c | -42.6% | 44 |
The 33 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $134,330 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -5.0 | -0.08 | 21c | -49.7% | 44 |
The 66 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $15,337 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.9 | -0.10 | 25c | -67.1% | 43 |
The 39 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,772 | before 27%in play 73%, over 33 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 36to the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.0 | -0.12 | 42c | -52.5% | 42 |
The 33 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $76,601 | before 69%in play 31%, over 126 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 18 before the start | 12 h 56to the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.1 | -0.09 | 32c | +16.7% | 42 |
The 126 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $25,409 | before 15%in play 85%, over 130 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 105 of 130 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -14.0 | -0.11 | 45c | -35.3% | 40 |
The 130 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 10,132 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 130 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 838
- What they are worth now
- $322,397bought for $327,289
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $1
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 838, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x95c3…8594backed outcome 1 | 2.04 | 51c | $1 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x3be4…3b6ebacked outcome 0 | 33.13 | 5c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x047b…233cbacked outcome 0 | 9.01 | 4c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Spread: Oklahoma State (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Oklahoma State · settled | 4.94 | 38c | $0 | Never scored |
| Market 0x2174…eb77backed outcome 0 | 4.67 | 0c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 4 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.