TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fcd…0a9c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$52.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$75.79
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$64.29
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$71.82
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$6.85
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$27.36
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81%+$28.35
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$7.15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.68
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.16
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$104.06
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$95.82
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.73
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$9.94
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.55
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.89
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.02
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.13
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.58
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$21.7
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.5%+$123.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.