TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x813f…26ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,083
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT80962.1%502 W · 307 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 809 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+60%+$11.62
Showing 25 of 809 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$12.21
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of August 10 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 10 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$12.03
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 27 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$17.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.78
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+52%+$6.84
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.36
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will "Mutiny" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.5
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will anyone say "Trust" during Big Brother E20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.41
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.8
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chip Neiman be the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$23.8
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.82
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.34
Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Francesca Hong win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$8.31
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$22.6
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$13.4
Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will a Goal be Scored During 91-105 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.56
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Daisies be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$21.32
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$9.8
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Chennai Grand Masters Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casey Mize be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Legendary" be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.