Wallet 0x821d…cf16
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x821dab0565ebf5b327f51db06223fdcfe01acf16
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$47,027,576 staked over 38,851 qualified picks in 27 categories, 13 of 27 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$172,144 staked over 322 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
Euroleague
$118,693 staked over 201 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardThird best
Valorant
$1,690 staked over 46 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 38,851 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category27 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $172,144 | before 38%in play 62%, over 322 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 380 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 207 of 322 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 322 | 55.6%179 W · 143 L | +23.9 | +0.07 | 48c | +4.9% | 58 |
The 322 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 322 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $118,693 | before 54%in play 46%, over 201 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min before the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 230 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 122 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.0 | +0.05 | 45c | +2.4% | 55 |
The 201 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,690 | before 41%in play 59%, over 46 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 42 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0 | +0.04 | 52c | +6.9% | 53 |
The 46 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $105,071 | before 22%in play 78%, over 83 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 21to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 0% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 81 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +2.2 | +0.03 | 43c | +9.8% | 52 |
The 83 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $876,070 | before 46%in play 54%, over 1,400 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 2 h 49to the end, median over 1,703 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 32% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 805 of 1,400 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,400 | 46.6%653 W · 747 L | +26.0 | +0.02 | 45c | -7.2% | 52 |
The 1,400 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,400 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,621 | before 9%in play 91%, over 70 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 5 h 58to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 66 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +1.7 | +0.02 | 30c | +1.6% | 52 |
The 70 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $194,104 | before 10%in play 90%, over 902 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 2 h 32to the end, median over 1,138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 602 of 902 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 902 | 44.6%402 W · 500 L | +14.5 | +0.02 | 43c | -7.7% | 52 |
The 902 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 902 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,815,408 | before 18%in play 82%, over 3,506 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 2 h 34to the end, median over 4,328 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 27% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2,061 of 3,507 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,507 | 45.4%1,593 W · 1,914 L | +44.3 | +0.01 | 44c | -0.6% | 51 |
The 3,507 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,507 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,266,522 | before 71%in play 29%, over 816 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 03 before the start | 7 h 08to the end, median over 1,245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02165% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 165% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 286 of 816 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 816 | 41.8%341 W · 475 L | +9.5 | +0.01 | 41c | -14.3% | 51 |
The 816 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 816 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,823,242 | before 71%in play 29%, over 2,820 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 before the start | 4 h 57to the end, median over 4,284 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01125% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 125% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 988 of 2,820 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,820 | 41.8%1,180 W · 1,640 L | +23.8 | +0.01 | 41c | -7.1% | 51 |
The 2,820 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,820 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,085,261 | before 72%in play 28%, over 3,026 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 31 before the start | 6 h 21to the end, median over 4,897 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01201% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 201% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,138 of 3,026 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,026 | 41.3%1,250 W · 1,776 L | +15.8 | +0.01 | 41c | -9.3% | 51 |
The 3,026 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,026 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,425,047 | before 71%in play 29%, over 1,182 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 14 before the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 1,890 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 177% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 428 of 1,182 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,182 | 39.5%467 W · 715 L | +4.3 | 0.00 | 39c | -16.6% | 50 |
The 1,182 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,182 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $205,488 | before 10%in play 90%, over 251 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 27to the end, median over 291 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00294% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 294% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 232 of 251 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 43c | -12.2% | 50 |
The 251 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 251 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $4,740,542 | before 80%in play 20%, over 3,873 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 45 before the start | 10 h 18to the end, median over 6,248 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00271% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 271% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,681 of 3,880 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,880 | 38.2%1,482 W · 2,398 L | +2.3 | 0.00 | 38c | -13.9% | 50 |
The 3,880 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,880 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,055 | before 30%in play 70%, over 63 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 135 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 53c | -11.7% | 50 |
The 63 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,377,067 | before 27%in play 73%, over 3,596 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 2 h 33to the end, median over 5,848 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,689 of 3,601 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,601 | 42.7%1,536 W · 2,065 L | -12.2 | 0.00 | 43c | -16.1% | 50 |
The 3,601 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,601 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,526,745 | before 75%in play 25%, over 1,786 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 22 before the start | 6 h 31to the end, median over 2,761 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 707 of 1,786 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,786 | 39.4%704 W · 1,082 L | -14.0 | -0.01 | 40c | -10.3% | 49 |
The 1,786 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,786 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,350,465 | before 70%in play 30%, over 3,507 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 51 before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 5,308 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,217 of 3,507 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,507 | 41.2%1,445 W · 2,062 L | -27.7 | -0.01 | 42c | -12.1% | 49 |
The 3,507 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,507 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,376 | before 47%in play 53%, over 312 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 715 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 283 of 312 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | -2.9 | -0.01 | 51c | -11.3% | 49 |
The 312 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 312 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,085 | before 22%in play 78%, over 37 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 14 after the start | 40 minto the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6 | -0.02 | 42c | -11.2% | 49 |
The 37 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,390,575 | before 65%in play 35%, over 1,799 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 before the start | 4 h 10to the end, median over 2,890 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 637 of 1,799 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,799 | 37.7%679 W · 1,120 L | -19.1 | -0.01 | 39c | -17.8% | 49 |
The 1,799 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,799 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,829,176 | before 59%in play 41%, over 1,724 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 4 h 29to the end, median over 2,806 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 671 of 1,724 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,724 | 40.3%694 W · 1,030 L | -18.8 | -0.01 | 41c | -15.9% | 49 |
The 1,724 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,724 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,324 | before 40%in play 60%, over 123 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 286 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 110 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -1.8 | -0.01 | 49c | -14.6% | 49 |
The 123 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,984,467 | before 62%in play 38%, over 3,408 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min before the start | 4 h 33to the end, median over 5,693 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,357 of 3,408 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,408 | 39.3%1,338 W · 2,070 L | -71.1 | -0.02 | 41c | -16.1% | 48 |
The 3,408 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,408 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,540,513 | before 69%in play 31%, over 2,460 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 38 before the start | 4 h 59to the end, median over 3,943 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 927 of 2,460 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,460 | 36.5%898 W · 1,562 L | -61.6 | -0.03 | 39c | -22.9% | 47 |
The 2,460 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,460 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $122,129 | before 70%in play 30%, over 123 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 54 min before the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.1 | -0.04 | 45c | -24.4% | 46 |
The 123 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,031,694 | before 67%in play 33%, over 1,402 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 08 before the start | 4 h 10to the end, median over 2,385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 607 of 1,402 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,402 | 31.5%441 W · 961 L | -59.0 | -0.04 | 36c | -30.8% | 45 |
The 1,402 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 38,851 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,402 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.