Wallet 0x84ad…bfb7
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x84ad9c5c547a82ec9a08547b94bd922446e5bfb7
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$13,340,495 staked over 26,046 qualified picks in 26 categories, 14 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Valorant
$295,885 staked over 358 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardSecond best
WNBA
$201,697 staked over 239 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
NFL
$28,141 staked over 78 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full NFL boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 26,046 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $295,885 | before 22%in play 78%, over 358 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 40to the end, median over 445 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14137% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 137% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 332 of 358 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 358 | 63.7%228 W · 130 L | +37.8 | +0.11 | 53c | +11.3% | 61 |
The 358 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 358 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $201,697 | before 47%in play 53%, over 239 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 287 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 217 of 239 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 239 | 59.8%143 W · 96 L | +21.4 | +0.09 | 51c | +9% | 59 |
The 239 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 239 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $28,141 | before 5%in play 95%, over 78 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 78 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +8.2 | +0.10 | 41c | +12.9% | 59 |
The 78 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,731,066 | before 44%in play 56%, over 6,325 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 9,309 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 199% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5,549 of 6,332 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6,332 | 69.8%4,422 W · 1,910 L | +467.8 | +0.07 | 62c | +7.2% | 58 |
The 6,332 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6,332 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $846,200 | before 12%in play 88%, over 1,926 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 3 h 05to the end, median over 2,293 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08121% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 121% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,748 of 1,926 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,926 | 59.2%1,141 W · 785 L | +122.1 | +0.06 | 53c | +0.4% | 57 |
The 1,926 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,926 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,422,792 | before 42%in play 58%, over 1,893 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 2,109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10181% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 181% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,792 of 1,893 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,893 | 60.2%1,140 W · 753 L | +102.3 | +0.05 | 55c | -0.1% | 56 |
The 1,893 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,893 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $384,475 | before 5%in play 95%, over 996 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 1,146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 904 of 996 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 996 | 52.6%524 W · 472 L | +34.7 | +0.03 | 49c | +3.3% | 54 |
The 996 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 996 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,977,072 | before 6%in play 94%, over 2,673 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 3,221 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2,488 of 2,673 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,673 | 49%1,311 W · 1,362 L | +50.3 | +0.02 | 47c | -7.2% | 52 |
The 2,673 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,673 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $121,812 | before 37%in play 63%, over 323 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 2 h 53to the end, median over 448 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0180% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 284 of 323 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 323 | 42.1%136 W · 187 L | +5.2 | +0.02 | 41c | -8.7% | 52 |
The 323 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 323 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $536,283 | before 12%in play 88%, over 678 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 3 h 15to the end, median over 769 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 614 of 678 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | +9.8 | +0.01 | 47c | -9.8% | 52 |
The 678 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 678 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $273,345 | before 24%in play 76%, over 1,577 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 2,451 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05481% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 481% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,101 of 1,577 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,577 | 55.4%873 W · 704 L | +15.4 | +0.01 | 54c | -4.9% | 51 |
The 1,577 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,577 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $55,424 | before 3%in play 97%, over 188 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 46 min after the start | 3 h 17to the end, median over 222 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 176 of 188 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +1.4 | +0.01 | 47c | -12.4% | 51 |
The 188 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 188 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $289,730 | before 14%in play 86%, over 849 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 34to the end, median over 1,238 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 716 of 849 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 849 | 45.2%384 W · 465 L | -0.5 | 0.00 | 45c | -14.7% | 50 |
The 849 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 849 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $122,802 | before 9%in play 91%, over 414 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 39to the end, median over 520 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 355 of 414 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -2.0 | 0.00 | 43c | -14.5% | 49 |
The 414 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 414 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $154,842 | before 13%in play 87%, over 501 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 657 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 438 of 501 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 501 | 42.1%211 W · 290 L | -4.3 | -0.01 | 43c | -20% | 49 |
The 501 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 501 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $201,307 | before 11%in play 89%, over 720 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 36to the end, median over 961 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 572 of 720 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 720 | 44.6%321 W · 399 L | -7.9 | -0.01 | 46c | -15.2% | 49 |
The 720 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 720 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 11, 2026, EDT | $31,420 | before 67%in play 33%, over 116 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 6 h 50to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6 | -0.01 | 39c | -23.3% | 49 |
The 116 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $4,412 | before 89%in play 11%, over 19 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 30 before the start | 6 h 58to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8 | -0.04 | 51c | -15.5% | 48 |
The 19 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $303,885 | before 16%in play 84%, over 1,317 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 39to the end, median over 2,084 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 894 of 1,317 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,317 | 50.6%666 W · 651 L | -26.3 | -0.02 | 53c | -13.4% | 48 |
The 1,317 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,317 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $47,405 | before 27%in play 73%, over 402 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start | 3 h 59to the end, median over 957 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 312 of 402 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 402 | 47.5%191 W · 211 L | -9.2 | -0.02 | 50c | -12.1% | 48 |
The 402 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 402 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $295,157 | before 13%in play 87%, over 1,058 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 4 h 36to the end, median over 1,512 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 823 of 1,058 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,058 | 44.9%475 W · 583 L | -29.4 | -0.03 | 48c | -17% | 47 |
The 1,058 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,058 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $49,655 | before 12%in play 88%, over 153 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 109 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -5.0 | -0.03 | 44c | -21.2% | 47 |
The 153 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $418,964 | before 53%in play 47%, over 976 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min before the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 1,202 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 842 of 976 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 976 | 42.1%411 W · 565 L | -29.0 | -0.03 | 45c | -17.5% | 47 |
The 976 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 976 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $176,962 | before 14%in play 86%, over 852 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 1,389 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 611 of 852 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 852 | 45.5%388 W · 464 L | -27.0 | -0.03 | 49c | -16.2% | 47 |
The 852 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 852 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $229,055 | before 18%in play 82%, over 1,126 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 4 h 16to the end, median over 2,004 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 860 of 1,126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,126 | 48.6%547 W · 579 L | -39.8 | -0.04 | 52c | -16.1% | 46 |
The 1,126 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $140,704 | before 24%in play 76%, over 282 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 3 h 06to the end, median over 317 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 274 of 282 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | -12.2 | -0.04 | 52c | -23.9% | 46 |
The 282 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 26,046 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 282 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 12
- What they are worth now
- $900,047bought for $900,051
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 41worth $2,827
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 12, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 900,000 | 50c | 79c | $715,050 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 900,000 | 50c | 21c | $184,950 |
| Seoul: Christian Langmo vs Yusuke Takahashi (opens in a new tab)backed Yusuke Takahashi | 34 | 60c | 56c | $19 |
| Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 15 | 52c | 81c | $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 10.72 | 64c | 69c | $7 |
| Will Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5 | 60c | 100c | $5 |
| Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5 | 56c | 38c | $2 |
| Will Iwaki FC vs. Júbilo Iwata end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 5 | 24c | 23c | $1 |
| Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 5 | 21c | 14c | $1 |
| Will Sydney FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5 | 81c | 0c | $0 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 41. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x1685…d276backed outcome 1 | 2,262 | 53c | $1,131 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x364c…c5fbbacked outcome 1 | 1,000 | 40c | $500 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xabf2…75a9backed outcome 1 | 769 | 52c | $385 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xaf54…d61abacked outcome 1 | 740 | 54c | $370 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x39da…18d9backed outcome 1 | 243 | 51c | $122 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.