Wallet 0x84f7…ade1
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x84f7860753f0fb62e7e786523690661c4255ade1
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,356,123 staked over 9,306 qualified picks in 29 categories, 11 of 29 below 50.
Best category
UFC
$342 staked over 8 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full UFC boardSecond best
Serie A
$36,729 staked over 176 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardThird best
La Liga
$56,249 staked over 233 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full La Liga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 9,306 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category29 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFClast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $342 | —too few: 7 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3899% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0 | +0.38 | 37c | +220.6% | 60 |
The 8 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $36,729 | before 66%in play 34%, over 176 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 before the start | 5 h 32to the end, median over 277 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0596% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 124 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2 | +0.05 | 46c | +2.3% | 55 |
The 176 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $56,249 | before 61%in play 39%, over 233 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 376 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 173 of 233 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | +10.9 | +0.05 | 46c | +8.3% | 55 |
The 233 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 233 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $15,071 | before 72%in play 28%, over 85 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 42 before the start | 7 h 03to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0593% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5 | +0.05 | 47c | +12.6% | 54 |
The 85 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $114,342 | before 71%in play 29%, over 479 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 56 before the start | 7 h 22to the end, median over 680 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 345 of 482 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 482 | 50.8%245 W · 237 L | +19.6 | +0.04 | 47c | +8.9% | 54 |
The 482 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 482 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled May 2, 2026, EDT | $9,674 | before 34%in play 66%, over 29 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 47to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9 | +0.07 | 42c | +7% | 54 |
The 29 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $32,814 | before 66%in play 34%, over 121 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min before the start | 6 h 03to the end, median over 170 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0386% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 86% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 92 of 121 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5 | +0.04 | 44c | +8.3% | 53 |
The 121 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 121 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $26,489 | before 31%in play 69%, over 322 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 4 h 16to the end, median over 428 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 213 of 322 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 322 | 38.8%125 W · 197 L | +10.5 | +0.03 | 36c | +27.9% | 53 |
The 322 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 322 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $60,201 | before 68%in play 32%, over 219 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 21 before the start | 7 h 42to the end, median over 318 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 163 of 220 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +5.5 | +0.03 | 46c | +5.2% | 53 |
The 220 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 220 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $17,814 | before 70%in play 30%, over 125 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 05 before the start | 7 h 24to the end, median over 223 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 81 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0 | +0.02 | 43c | +4.3% | 52 |
The 125 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $21,794 | before 66%in play 34%, over 58 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 33 before the start | 4 h 58to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.3 | +0.02 | 43c | -7.1% | 52 |
The 58 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $108,592 | before 67%in play 33%, over 348 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 6 h 29to the end, median over 421 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 240 of 348 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 348 | 48%167 W · 181 L | +4.0 | +0.01 | 47c | +0.1% | 51 |
The 348 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 348 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $39,509 | before 56%in play 44%, over 187 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min before the start | 5 h 03to the end, median over 365 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0189% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 128 of 190 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +2.2 | +0.01 | 41c | -12.6% | 51 |
The 190 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 190 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $21,897 | before 80%in play 20%, over 79 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 21 before the start | 12 h 52to the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02141% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 141% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 55 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0 | +0.01 | 46c | -8.3% | 51 |
The 79 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $36,592 | before 71%in play 29%, over 186 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 54 before the start | 6 h 05to the end, median over 261 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 126 of 186 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | +1.1 | +0.01 | 45c | +6.5% | 51 |
The 186 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 186 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $335,677 | before 67%in play 33%, over 1,027 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 22 before the start | 5 h 51to the end, median over 1,276 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 720 of 1,027 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,027 | 48.6%499 W · 528 L | +2.9 | 0.00 | 48c | -1.9% | 50 |
The 1,027 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,027 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $239,072 | before 79%in play 21%, over 1,074 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 44 before the start | 7 h 39to the end, median over 1,757 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00237% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 237% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 565 of 1,074 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3 | 0.00 | 47c | +0.8% | 50 |
The 1,074 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,074 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $519,223 | before 74%in play 26%, over 1,737 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 01 before the start | 8 h 44to the end, median over 2,127 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 10% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,289 of 1,739 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,739 | 44.7%778 W · 961 L | +2.1 | 0.00 | 45c | +4.1% | 50 |
The 1,739 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,739 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $214,447 | before 67%in play 33%, over 1,146 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 before the start | 6 h 09to the end, median over 1,499 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 853 of 1,147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,147 | 33.9%389 W · 758 L | -1.2 | 0.00 | 34c | -5.3% | 50 |
The 1,147 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $35,432 | before 73%in play 27%, over 173 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 15 before the start | 7 h 07to the end, median over 326 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 117 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 48c | -5.9% | 50 |
The 175 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 175 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $21,672 | before 77%in play 23%, over 87 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 58 before the start | 6 h 25to the end, median over 125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 46 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 44c | -0.9% | 50 |
The 87 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $38,608 | before 57%in play 43%, over 213 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 5 h 10to the end, median over 355 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 168 of 213 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -0.7 | 0.00 | 49c | +14.3% | 50 |
The 213 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 213 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $12,458 | before 57%in play 43%, over 125 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 4 h 42to the end, median over 266 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 87 of 125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -1.2 | -0.01 | 44c | -12.5% | 49 |
The 125 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $25,712 | before 63%in play 37%, over 91 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 before the start | 5 h 57to the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 58 of 91 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 47c | -14.4% | 48 |
The 91 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 91 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $123,884 | before 71%in play 29%, over 392 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 12 before the start | 6 h 41to the end, median over 516 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 260 of 392 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5 | -0.02 | 41c | -15.3% | 48 |
The 392 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 392 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Apr 9, 2026, EDT | $101,491 | before 80%in play 20%, over 276 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 02 before the start | 15 h 51to the end, median over 334 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 174 of 276 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3 | -0.02 | 39c | -19.8% | 48 |
The 276 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 276 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $89,008 | before 68%in play 32%, over 284 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 before the start | 7 h 10to the end, median over 368 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 173 of 284 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 284 | 44%125 W · 159 L | -7.3 | -0.03 | 47c | -10.2% | 47 |
The 284 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 284 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT | $129 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 h 05to the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1 | -0.22 | 42c | -54.5% | 46 |
The 5 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 15, 2026, EST | $1,202 | —too few: 9 picks | 16 h 40to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3 | -0.25 | 36c | -57.1% | 43 |
The 9 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,306 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1
- What they are worth now
- $3bought for $2
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its one running position
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 27 | 8c | 10c | $3 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.