TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8660…93ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,994Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$16,018.68
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,534.34
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$11,799.97
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,864.93
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$8,701Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$12,520.97
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,731.08
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,965.64
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,309.29
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,599.97
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11,238Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$10,838.1
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,622.33
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,242.55
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,671.92
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23,014Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$17,800.62
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,199.98
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,167.39
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+305.3%+$13,381.77
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,862.99
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,832Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$16,226.21
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,815.79
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,999.9
Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.74
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,587Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,586.74
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$1,223.43
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16,224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$30,633.63
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,800
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,799.85
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$9,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,194.4
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,746.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,260
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,633.66
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,918Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$5,865.63
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,449.7
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8,800
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,300
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,041Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$13,668.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$3,750
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Tresean Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$7,650
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$13,281
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,048Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10,684.04
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Tracy Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,058
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49,549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$49,548.59
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,085.68
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,999.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,446.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$22,190
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53,652Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$50,567.25
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,268.55
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13,779.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,054.11
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,100.89
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,491.52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,954.72
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55,366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62,434
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,602.78
All 5 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.