Wallet 0x8725…eb10
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$2,824,674 staked over 9,407 qualified picks in 41 categories, 27 of 41 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$3,809 staked over 87 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
Ligue 1
$3,022 staked over 43 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardThird best
South American Leagues
$10,056 staked over 145 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 9,407 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category41 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $3,809 | before 91%in play 9%, over 86 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 27 before the start | 9 h 46to the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +11.1 | +0.13 | 41c | +27.8% | 61 |
The 87 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $3,022 | before 85%in play 15%, over 41 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.0 | +0.14 | 49c | +29.1% | 60 |
The 43 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $10,056 | before 81%in play 19%, over 145 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 5 h 35to the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0697% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 50 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +9.3 | +0.06 | 48c | +14.5% | 56 |
The 145 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $4,805 | —no start of play | 38 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1295% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6 | +0.13 | 26c | +41.8% | 55 |
The 13 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $8,841 | before 89%in play 11%, over 242 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 13 before the start | 10 h 37to the end, median over 313 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 70 of 245 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6 | +0.03 | 44c | +4% | 54 |
The 245 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 245 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $6,382 | before 88%in play 12%, over 93 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 before the start | 6 h 47to the end, median over 152 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0391% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 101 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +3.6 | +0.04 | 48c | +2.2% | 53 |
The 101 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 101 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,963 | before 96%in play 4%, over 68 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 35 before the start | 9 h 00to the end, median over 115 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0287% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.1 | +0.03 | 47c | +5.4% | 52 |
The 74 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Mar 8, 2026, EST | $2,792 | before 100%in play 0%, over 11 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 h 39 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2 | +0.03 | 53c | +5.1% | 52 |
The 37 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 19, 2026, EST | $2,757 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6 | +0.07 | 26c | -17.5% | 52 |
The 9 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $169,624 | before 59%in play 41%, over 352 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 489 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 287 of 432 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 432 | 45.4%196 W · 236 L | +7.2 | +0.02 | 44c | +1.2% | 52 |
The 432 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 432 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $6,610 | before 79%in play 21%, over 112 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02128% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 128% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8 | +0.02 | 43c | +0.3% | 51 |
The 113 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 12, 2026, EDT | $2,231 | —no start of play | 35 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 26c | +103.7% | 51 |
The 10 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $225 | —no start of play | 43 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.24100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.24 | 76c | +31.3% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Mar 7, 2026, EST | $346 | before 92%in play 8%, over 12 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 40 before the start | 5 h 53to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03173% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 173% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 40c | +6.8% | 51 |
The 12 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Nov 8, 2025, EST | $1,342 | before 100%in play 0%, over 49 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 h 30 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 43c | +7% | 50 |
The 49 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,772 | before 87%in play 13%, over 38 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min before the start | 4 h 59to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 50c | -2.8% | 50 |
The 38 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $12,667 | before 95%in play 5%, over 159 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 02 before the start | 12 h 20to the end, median over 224 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 60 of 163 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | -0.3 | 0.00 | 49c | -0.2% | 50 |
The 163 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 163 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $327,540 | before 75%in play 25%, over 946 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 before the start | 6 h 16to the end, median over 1,066 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 482 of 959 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 959 | 45.9%440 W · 519 L | -4.9 | -0.01 | 46c | -1.9% | 49 |
The 959 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 959 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $2,979 | before 75%in play 25%, over 32 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 04 before the start | 8 h 31to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 45c | -7.1% | 49 |
The 41 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $3,220 | —no start of play | 30 dto the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 18c | -51.2% | 49 |
The 35 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $124 | —no start of play | 28 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Poker Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2025, EDT | $4,349 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 18c | -81.3% | 49 |
The 8 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,429,629 | before 61%in play 39%, over 2,527 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min before the start | 5 h 52to the end, median over 2,808 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 116 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,370 of 2,568 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,568 | 37.5%962 W · 1,606 L | -36.1 | -0.01 | 39c | -9.7% | 48 |
The 2,568 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,568 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $489,905 | before 49%in play 51%, over 881 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 1,012 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 500 of 896 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 896 | 40.2%360 W · 536 L | -13.8 | -0.02 | 42c | -6.9% | 48 |
The 896 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 896 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Nov 11, 2025, EST | $13 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.40no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.40 | 40c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $3,030 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5 | -0.10 | 50c | -23% | 48 |
The 5 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT | $67,962 | before 92%in play 8%, over 1,068 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 13 before the start | 10 h 21to the end, median over 1,442 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 486 of 1,125 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,125 | 41.8%470 W · 655 L | -22.0 | -0.02 | 44c | -5.1% | 48 |
The 1,125 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,125 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $6,657 | before 88%in play 12%, over 101 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 10 before the start | 6 h 42to the end, median over 134 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -2.5 | -0.02 | 46c | -13% | 48 |
The 104 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $26,243 | before 97%in play 3%, over 627 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 17 before the start | 13 h 50to the end, median over 778 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 173 of 629 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4 | -0.02 | 46c | -5.8% | 48 |
The 629 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 629 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $18,267 | before 93%in play 7%, over 259 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 02 before the start | 9 h 29to the end, median over 417 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 114 of 271 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 271 | 43.9%119 W · 152 L | -6.6 | -0.02 | 46c | -3% | 48 |
The 271 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 271 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Nov 2, 2025, EST | $589 | —no start of play | 51 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.63no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6 | -0.63 | 63c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $25,853 | before 91%in play 9%, over 179 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 204 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 185 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -6.2 | -0.03 | 49c | -9.5% | 47 |
The 185 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 185 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2025, EDT | $144 | —too few: 1 pick | 36 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.42no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.42 | 42c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,775 | before 88%in play 12%, over 235 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 before the start | 7 h 16to the end, median over 299 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 68 of 235 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -8.6 | -0.04 | 49c | -11% | 46 |
The 235 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 235 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $38,219 | before 96%in play 4%, over 191 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 50 before the start | 8 h 42to the end, median over 275 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 92 of 217 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -8.9 | -0.04 | 47c | -11.5% | 46 |
The 217 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 217 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2025, EDT | $996 | —no start of play | 29 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4 | -0.19 | 19c | -100% | 45 |
The 7 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $96,914 | before 79%in play 21%, over 350 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 before the start | 6 h 09to the end, median over 406 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 140 of 352 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 352 | 41.8%147 W · 205 L | -18.1 | -0.05 | 47c | -14.6% | 45 |
The 352 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 352 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $3,275 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0 | -0.11 | 22c | -70.1% | 44 |
The 27 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $2,937 | before 100%in play 0%, over 19 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 10 h 28to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1 | -0.15 | 50c | -33.5% | 42 |
The 20 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $14,428 | before 88%in play 12%, over 139 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min before the start | 5 h 15to the end, median over 151 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 139 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -12.5 | -0.09 | 49c | -17.7% | 42 |
The 139 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 139 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Nov 21, 2025, EST | $383 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.41no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4 | -0.40 | 40c | -100% | 41 |
The 6 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 9,407 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 44
- What they are worth now
- $24,384bought for $32,877
- Settled, not yet cashed
- at least 50worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 44, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 26,281 | 50c | 29c | $7,635 |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 5,424 | 84c | 53c | $2,899 |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,971 | 76c | 46c | $1,352 |
| Will Everton be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,347 | 90c | 95c | $1,278 |
| Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,690 | 88c | 62c | $1,055 |
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,160 | 48c | 45c | $961 |
| Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 881.99 | 84c | 93c | $816 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 778.7 | 96c | 96c | $747 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 779.98 | 75c | 84c | $657 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 637.99 | 52c | 87c | $558 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of at least 50 (we keep the 50 biggest per wallet, so a wallet at exactly that number is holding more than we counted). These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed DN SOOPers · settled | 2,032 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Spartans EU · settled | 1,604 | 16c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed JD Gaming · settled | 1,507 | 32c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0xac66…d6abbacked outcome 1 | 1,380 | 47c | $0 | Not read yet |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Deep Cross Gaming · settled | 1,011 | 23c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.