Wallet 0x8765…ed81
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x87650b9f63563f7c456d9bbcceee5f9faf06ed81
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$180,372 staked over 5,165 qualified picks in 54 categories, 28 of 54 below 50.
Best category
MLB
$672 staked over 27 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full MLB boardSecond best
Euroleague
$266 staked over 10 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardThird best
NBA
$2,174 staked over 78 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,165 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category54 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $672 | before 100%in play 0%, over 12 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 h 06 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1992% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +5.4 | +0.20 | 10c | +179.5% | 62 |
The 27 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $266 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 h 17 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1976% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 76% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.5 | +0.25 | 15c | +318.1% | 58 |
The 10 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $2,174 | before 70%in play 30%, over 46 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 04 before the start | 13 dto the end, median over 697 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 40 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +6.8 | +0.09 | 14c | +169% | 57 |
The 78 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $9,745 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 560 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 36% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 86 of 191 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 191 | 15.2%29 W · 162 L | +11.3 | +0.06 | 9c | +6.1% | 56 |
The 191 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 191 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 25, 2026, EDT | $950 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 140 h 29 before the start | 7 dto the end, median over 188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 44% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 17 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3 | +0.08 | 10c | +156.2% | 55 |
The 28 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,274 | before 94%in play 6%, over 17 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 h 13 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +2.3 | +0.07 | 12c | +22.6% | 55 |
The 32 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $131 | —too few: 4 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 147 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3 | +0.18 | 10c | +75.8% | 54 |
The 7 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $217 | —too few: 7 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1184% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 84% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.2 | +0.13 | 9c | +44.7% | 54 |
The 9 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $390 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4 | +0.09 | 10c | -33.1% | 54 |
The 16 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $214 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 8c | +167% | 53 |
The 11 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $1,239 | before 96%in play 4%, over 27 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 35 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 294 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +2.4 | +0.04 | 9c | +31% | 53 |
The 54 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $194 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9 | +0.10 | 12c | +72.6% | 53 |
The 9 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $950 | before 35%in play 65%, over 31 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 5 h 33to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 20 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5 | +0.05 | 33c | +9.3% | 53 |
The 32 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $329 | —too few: 4 picks | 103 dto the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0879% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9 | +0.10 | 13c | +21.7% | 53 |
The 9 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $71 | —too few: 2 picks | 7 dto the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2295% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7 | +0.23 | 10c | +376.2% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $29,043 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,028 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 301 of 542 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 542 | 9.6%52 W · 490 L | +11.7 | +0.02 | 7c | -26.5% | 52 |
The 542 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 542 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $3,006 | before 10%in play 90%, over 10 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 4 dto the end, median over 848 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 44 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | +2.3 | +0.03 | 11c | -0.1% | 52 |
The 85 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,316 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 1,523 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 14% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 158 of 295 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 295 | 10.5%31 W · 264 L | +6.4 | +0.02 | 8c | +75.8% | 52 |
The 295 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 295 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $853 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 h 38 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 43% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 19 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +1.0 | +0.02 | 8c | +12.6% | 52 |
The 40 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $479 | before 37%in play 63%, over 16 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 43 after the start | 48 dto the end, median over 310 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5 | +0.03 | 32c | +37.4% | 51 |
The 20 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $1,548 | —no start of play | 91 dto the end, median over 523 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 27 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.9 | +0.02 | 16c | -16.6% | 51 |
The 50 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $12,612 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,075 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 9% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 154 of 304 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 304 | 7.2%22 W · 282 L | +3.3 | +0.01 | 6c | +29.3% | 51 |
The 304 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 304 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,670 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 64 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | +1.3 | +0.01 | 10c | -26.2% | 51 |
The 122 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Feb 16, 2026, EST | $692 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 33% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 6c | -65.3% | 51 |
The 13 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $10,022 | —no start of play | 32 dto the end, median over 1,746 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 124 of 282 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 282 | 21.3%60 W · 222 L | +1.9 | +0.01 | 21c | -15.1% | 51 |
The 282 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 282 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $12,832 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 2,583 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 144 of 427 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 427 | 9.1%39 W · 388 L | +1.4 | 0.00 | 9c | -18.8% | 50 |
The 427 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 427 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $19 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $234 | before 100%in play 0%, over 18 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 72 h 07 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 88 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 6c | -57.3% | 50 |
The 18 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2026, EDT | $69 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,284 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 h 24 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 392 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 12c | -1.2% | 49 |
The 46 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $1,132 | —too few: 4 picks | 14 dto the end, median over 314 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 3c | -75.8% | 49 |
The 45 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $69 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dto the end, median over 245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2 | -0.04 | 4c | -100% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $1,349 | before 100%in play 0%, over 27 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 101 h 22 before the start | 6 dto the end, median over 390 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 9c | -48.9% | 49 |
The 50 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Apr 12, 2026, EDT | $80 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2 | -0.07 | 7c | -100% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $11,818 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 624 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 119 of 262 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 262 | 4.2%11 W · 251 L | -2.3 | -0.01 | 5c | -48.8% | 49 |
The 262 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 262 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 2, 2026, EDT | $66 | —too few: 5 picks | 5 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 49 |
The 5 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $1,092 | —no start of play | 104 dto the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.5 | -0.02 | 11c | -66.1% | 49 |
The 23 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $2,753 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 839 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -1.3 | -0.02 | 15c | -39.3% | 49 |
The 82 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $3,186 | before 94%in play 6%, over 82 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 h 36 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 714 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 54 of 123 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8 | -0.01 | 10c | -20.5% | 49 |
The 123 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 123 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $8,196 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 1,690 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 260 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 260 | 9.2%24 W · 236 L | -3.8 | -0.01 | 11c | -53.2% | 49 |
The 260 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 260 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $6,904 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 397 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 146 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 146 | 6.8%10 W · 136 L | -2.5 | -0.02 | 9c | -67% | 48 |
The 146 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 146 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $490 | before 100%in play 0%, over 15 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 46 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 306 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7 | -0.04 | 10c | -70.2% | 48 |
The 16 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Mar 21, 2026, EDT | $103 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 48 |
The 6 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $442 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8 | -0.04 | 9c | -68.8% | 48 |
The 20 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,508 | before 99%in play 1%, over 472 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 h 02 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 9,192 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 333 of 756 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 756 | 26.7%202 W · 554 L | -14.9 | -0.02 | 29c | -21.7% | 48 |
The 756 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 756 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $744 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 62 h 14 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 238 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0 | -0.04 | 7c | -82.4% | 48 |
The 27 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,276 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 1,329 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 121 of 287 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 287 | 9.1%26 W · 261 L | -6.5 | -0.02 | 11c | -34% | 48 |
The 287 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 287 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $702 | before 100%in play 0%, over 15 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 h 07 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 238 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0 | -0.04 | 9c | -66.6% | 48 |
The 23 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Mar 22, 2026, EDT | $549 | before 100%in play 0%, over 32 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 150 h 10 before the start | 6 dto the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.4 | -0.04 | 7c | -90.2% | 47 |
The 32 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $286 | —too few: 8 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1 | -0.08 | 8c | -100% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $1,353 | before 100%in play 0%, over 46 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 150 h 42 before the start | 5 dto the end, median over 153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 39 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.7 | -0.04 | 9c | -71.4% | 47 |
The 62 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,591 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.5 | -0.05 | 16c | +32.6% | 46 |
The 55 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $2,185 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -3.0 | -0.05 | 21c | -34.5% | 46 |
The 66 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Apr 3, 2026, EDT | $1,007 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -4.5 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 42 |
The 34 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 5,165 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.