TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87ba…9fd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$14.1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$8.3
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+76.1%+$21.6
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.86
Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Will 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will 'Sinners' gross less than $44m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 52-58m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 100m and 110m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.3
Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will 'Running Point: Season 1' be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 20-24m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$12.6
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.6%+$6.42
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Harvard international students ban ended before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.41
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+262.3%+$90.5
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48.1%+$16.25
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 9% and 12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+55%+$8.87
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$42.5
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$46
Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$12.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.51
Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.58
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$27
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$163.2
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$47.29
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Wolves vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+35.1%+$9.29
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.62
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.75
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.75
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will Trump deport Ukrainians before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$29
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$108.76
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$17.2
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+130.4%+$41.51
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.25
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.85
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+257.1%+$72
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick70cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.7
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$18.85
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.19
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$6.45
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.75
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will the US lose jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$9.29
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$12.5
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will Slovenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will "El Mal" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Will Kendrick Lamar release another album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.6%+$5.1
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+60%+$9.37
DeepSeek R2 released before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+148%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Tommy Fury next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$52
Trevvy KO's Oblivion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Aston Villa FC vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+71.2%+$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.2%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+37%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump post 150 or more times on Truth March 7-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.