TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88b0…b118

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
2,325
Categories scored
47
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Cricket, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 2,325 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT56548.7%275 W · 290 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT24250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT22041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST17544.6%78 W · 97 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST14342%60 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9231.5%29 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST7944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT7552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST7143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT6453.1%34 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+99.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-81.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.