Wallet 0x8929…733e
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x8929a63143fba9416c8e0d3c96388b429c47733e
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$499,241 staked over 3,408 qualified picks in 55 categories, 39 of 55 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$2,050 staked over 18 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
MLB
$14,059 staked over 90 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full MLB boardThird best
Commodities
$2,358 staked over 28 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Commodities boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,408 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category55 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $2,050 | before 89%in play 11%, over 18 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 17 before the start | 6 h 53to the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2694% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +5.0 | +0.28 | 28c | +69.5% | 63 |
The 18 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $14,059 | before 51%in play 49%, over 90 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 4 h 56to the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 68 of 90 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.9 | +0.07 | 39c | +12.6% | 56 |
The 90 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 90 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $2,358 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 57% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.5 | +0.09 | 19c | +12.7% | 55 |
The 28 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 18, 2026, EDT | $1,519 | before 27%in play 73%, over 11 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4 | +0.13 | 32c | +39.7% | 54 |
The 11 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $4,524 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0797% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0 | +0.07 | 39c | +9.1% | 54 |
The 28 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Jul 22, 2026, EDT | $5,761 | before 42%in play 58%, over 36 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 22% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8 | +0.05 | 37c | -7.9% | 53 |
The 36 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $3,450 | before 65%in play 35%, over 20 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min before the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0695% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2 | +0.06 | 34c | -1.7% | 53 |
The 20 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $1,556 | —too few: 8 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0992% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9 | +0.09 | 41c | -9.8% | 53 |
The 10 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Mar 2, 2026, EST | $1,647 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7 | +0.06 | 10c | +20.8% | 52 |
The 12 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT | $2,996 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04112% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 112% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7 | +0.04 | 20c | -45.5% | 52 |
The 21 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $3,387 | before 75%in play 25%, over 20 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 before the start | 5 h 47to the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4 | +0.02 | 38c | +0.8% | 51 |
The 20 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Nov 10, 2025, EST | $247 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.23 | 77c | +30.2% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $8,616 | before 33%in play 67%, over 58 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 29c | -9.6% | 51 |
The 59 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $947 | —too few: 6 picks | 7 h 51to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2 | +0.04 | 46c | -13.3% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $39,226 | before 63%in play 37%, over 242 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 before the start | 5 h 02to the end, median over 303 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 59 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 124 of 243 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 34c | -13.4% | 50 |
The 243 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 243 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $1,297 | —too few: 3 picks | 19 h 38to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 33c | +20.2% | 50 |
The 9 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $65 | —no start of play | 124 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 1c | -100% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Mar 1, 2026, EST | $55 | —no start of play | 31 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.03 | 3c | -100% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $4,161 | before 74%in play 26%, over 23 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 04 before the start | 9 h 12to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3 | -0.01 | 44c | -18.8% | 49 |
The 26 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $7,795 | before 27%in play 73%, over 45 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min after the start | 4 h 33to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 30c | -12.7% | 49 |
The 45 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,699 | before 54%in play 46%, over 35 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min before the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5 | -0.01 | 41c | -5.1% | 49 |
The 35 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $38,450 | before 72%in play 28%, over 161 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 56 before the start | 6 h 05to the end, median over 190 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 102 of 162 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 162 | 39.5%64 W · 98 L | -2.1 | -0.01 | 41c | -10.8% | 49 |
The 162 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 162 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT | $5,067 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.8 | -0.02 | 21c | -49.8% | 49 |
The 37 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jun 17, 2026, EDT | $240 | —no start of play | 17 dto the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.18 | 18c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2025, EDT | $137 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $51 | —no start of play | 58 dresells, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.19 | 19c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $36,682 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 177 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 13.8%16 W · 100 L | -2.2 | -0.02 | 16c | -53% | 48 |
The 116 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $217 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.22 | 22c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $51,378 | before 71%in play 29%, over 771 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 01 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,614 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 112 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 309 of 860 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 860 | 29.4%253 W · 607 L | -15.7 | -0.02 | 31c | -22.4% | 48 |
The 860 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 860 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Poker Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2025, EDT | $980 | —no start of play | 20 h 41to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6 | -0.08 | 8c | -100% | 48 |
The 7 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $21,469 | before 61%in play 39%, over 116 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min before the start | 11 h 31to the end, median over 220 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 88 of 163 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -3.5 | -0.02 | 29c | -22.8% | 48 |
The 163 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 163 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $746 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8 | -0.05 | 12c | -68.3% | 48 |
The 15 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $642 | —too few: 7 picks | 2 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.07 | 27c | -64% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $914 | —too few: 9 picks | 5 dto the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8 | -0.06 | 14c | -83.3% | 48 |
The 13 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $9,602 | before 37%in play 63%, over 54 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min after the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9 | -0.03 | 29c | -27% | 47 |
The 54 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $18,474 | before 29%in play 71%, over 110 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 91 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.5 | -0.03 | 28c | -16.4% | 47 |
The 117 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $886 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0 | -0.07 | 36c | -39.1% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,615 | before 37%in play 63%, over 49 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 4 h 23to the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.0 | -0.04 | 31c | -4% | 47 |
The 49 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Jul 3, 2025, EDT | $596 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8 | -0.16 | 16c | -100% | 47 |
The 5 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $3,374 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3 | -0.07 | 22c | -63.3% | 47 |
The 20 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $12,843 | before 69%in play 31%, over 58 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 28 before the start | 10 h 16to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 58 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.6 | -0.04 | 30c | -18.7% | 47 |
The 58 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 58 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $10,207 | before 32%in play 68%, over 73 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 53 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.5 | -0.05 | 29c | -13% | 46 |
The 73 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $14,729 | before 45%in play 55%, over 88 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 5 h 24to the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5 | -0.05 | 43c | -20.6% | 46 |
The 88 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,320 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 39 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.6 | -0.07 | 25c | -53.9% | 46 |
The 39 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $7,147 | before 59%in play 41%, over 44 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min before the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.0 | -0.06 | 38c | -33.4% | 45 |
The 48 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $11,535 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 129 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 77 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -5.3 | -0.07 | 26c | -59.5% | 44 |
The 77 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 77 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $21,626 | before 66%in play 34%, over 131 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 5 h 49to the end, median over 166 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 72 of 131 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | -8.6 | -0.07 | 39c | -25.5% | 44 |
The 131 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 131 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $709 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0 | -0.20 | 20c | -100% | 44 |
The 10 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $12,534 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -5.3 | -0.10 | 21c | -75.5% | 43 |
The 55 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $7,728 | before 59%in play 41%, over 46 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min before the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.9 | -0.11 | 43c | -37.5% | 42 |
The 46 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $32,257 | before 63%in play 37%, over 187 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min before the start | 5 h 26to the end, median over 237 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 117 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 33%64 W · 130 L | -15.3 | -0.08 | 41c | -31.3% | 42 |
The 194 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $27,278 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -6.9 | -0.10 | 20c | -77.2% | 42 |
The 68 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $8,876 | before 72%in play 28%, over 50 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 12 before the start | 8 h 41to the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1 | -0.14 | 41c | -52.5% | 40 |
The 51 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $8,935 | before 27%in play 73%, over 59 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 4 h 35to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 45 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -7.9 | -0.13 | 37c | -55.4% | 40 |
The 59 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 13, 2025, EDT | $4,583 | —no start of play | 18 h 18to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -9.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 33 |
The 36 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,408 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 76
- What they are worth now
- $2,614bought for $2,821
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 76, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.