TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8bb0…ca79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst NFL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,772.73
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$601.98
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,561.22
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$971.33
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$613.66
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT5561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,441.18
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,846.15
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$4,218.58
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,941Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,941.2
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.03
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,389.1
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$493.58
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.18
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$2,627.81
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,469Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+113%+$2,790.72
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,849Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$4,891.98
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,398.81
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,637.7
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,181.89
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.71
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,943Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$1,758.28
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,924Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,117.67
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,049.53
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$2,102.03
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,425
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,940
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,848Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$4,966.9
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,826.23
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,755.88
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,951Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,153.03
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,850
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$4,202.48
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,973.75
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.19
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.22
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,547.57
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.5
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,486.9
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.04
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236.41
Will Wisconsin advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-4.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-5.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$2,352.94
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.26
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$524.95
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jafel Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.31
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Lucas Brennan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,427.1
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$2,611.78
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$7,871.29
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,918Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+218%+$4,181.22
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,701.23
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$796.09
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.4
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,814.92
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Francisco Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-83.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$805
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,166.66
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$347.6
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,799
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+174.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$2,320.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$409.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,452.64
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.3
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,911.81
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,169.21
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,388.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$7,069.87
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,300
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,921.57
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,937.6
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$4,916.58
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$4,976.66
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,023.48
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$326.61
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$217.71
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,926.8
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+176.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,437Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,764.72
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+280.7%+$12,073.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,641.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.