Wallet 0x8dd8…9a1c
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x8dd8f566b50f54a7a8ec02412723974b40679a1c
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$382,659 staked over 4,406 qualified picks in 42 categories, 23 of 42 below 50.
Best category
Bundesliga
$1,764 staked over 35 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardSecond best
NBA
$28,785 staked over 185 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full NBA boardThird best
NHL
$15,141 staked over 244 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full NHL boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,406 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category42 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $1,764 | before 0%in play 100%, over 35 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 43to the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1894% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.5 | +0.19 | 50c | +58.5% | 62 |
The 35 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $28,785 | before 20%in play 80%, over 179 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 298 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 53% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 136 of 185 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +9.7 | +0.05 | 42c | +3.1% | 55 |
The 185 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 185 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $15,141 | before 14%in play 86%, over 244 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 4 h 20to the end, median over 476 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 175 of 244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | +11.3 | +0.05 | 46c | +1% | 55 |
The 244 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $4,293 | before 8%in play 92%, over 64 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 4 h 16to the end, median over 154 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 65 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +3.7 | +0.05 | 44c | -2.8% | 54 |
The 69 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $1,619 | before 23%in play 77%, over 22 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 2 h 11to the end, median over 42 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 20 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6 | +0.07 | 47c | +1.4% | 54 |
The 22 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 5, 2026, EDT | $14,587 | before 15%in play 85%, over 65 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06144% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 144% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 59 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +2.9 | +0.04 | 55c | +0.9% | 54 |
The 67 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Mar 1, 2026, EST | $1,216 | —no start of play | 32 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9 | +0.29 | 37c | +71.7% | 54 |
The 3 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $2,642 | before 6%in play 94%, over 63 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 08 after the start | 1 h 17to the end, median over 120 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 28% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 37 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7 | +0.04 | 47c | -3.1% | 53 |
The 63 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $8,270 | before 1%in play 99%, over 140 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 301 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 17% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 133 of 140 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | +4.6 | +0.03 | 47c | +0.6% | 53 |
The 140 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 140 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Jul 29, 2026, EDT | $959 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25122% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 122% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.20 | 46c | +4.1% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $1,688 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22144% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 144% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.16 | 59c | +8.7% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $65,922 | before 12%in play 88%, over 716 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 3 h 01to the end, median over 1,260 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 601 of 724 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 724 | 47.2%342 W · 382 L | +14.5 | +0.02 | 45c | -6.9% | 52 |
The 724 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 724 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $2,358 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 42c | -7.9% | 51 |
The 11 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Sep 8, 2026, EDT | $5,368 | before 15%in play 85%, over 40 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 37 after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 37 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 39c | -15.3% | 51 |
The 40 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $1,997 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 43c | -13.5% | 51 |
The 18 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $179 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.07 | 43c | -31.5% | 51 |
The 2 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $6,926 | before 1%in play 99%, over 117 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 12to the end, median over 240 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01239% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 239% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 110 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.6 | +0.01 | 48c | -6.2% | 50 |
The 117 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 9, 2026, EDT | $9,622 | before 43%in play 57%, over 61 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 5 h 09to the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 44c | -13.3% | 50 |
The 61 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $6,954 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 100 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 26c | -42.3% | 50 |
The 45 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $94 | —too few: 2 picks | 11 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.04 | 54c | -8.6% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $624 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 37 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 45c | -32.7% | 49 |
The 14 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $12,186 | before 9%in play 91%, over 195 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 after the start | 2 h 46to the end, median over 358 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 185 of 198 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8 | -0.01 | 45c | -15.2% | 49 |
The 198 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 198 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $6,470 | before 0%in play 100%, over 22 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 h 18 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 88 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4 | -0.02 | 50c | -28.8% | 49 |
The 23 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $748 | —too few: 6 picks | 2 h 27to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3 | -0.05 | 55c | -11.9% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Aug 15, 2026, EDT | $5,102 | before 85%in play 15%, over 27 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 h 03 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 51 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5 | -0.02 | 46c | -2.6% | 49 |
The 27 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $112 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.25 | 25c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $64 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.35no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.35 | 35c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Aug 7, 2026, EDT | $84 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.18 | 68c | -18.4% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $26,552 | before 17%in play 83%, over 77 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 261 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 93 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0 | -0.02 | 47c | -20.3% | 48 |
The 154 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $24,982 | before 9%in play 91%, over 518 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 2 h 45to the end, median over 1,008 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 443 of 519 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 519 | 44.3%230 W · 289 L | -10.0 | -0.02 | 46c | -13.2% | 48 |
The 519 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 519 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $4,951 | before 1%in play 99%, over 103 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 4 h 03to the end, median over 250 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 101 of 103 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.2 | -0.03 | 48c | -11% | 47 |
The 103 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $842 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9 | -0.18 | 38c | -61.1% | 47 |
The 5 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled May 2, 2026, EDT | $658 | before 0%in play 100%, over 12 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 4 h 08to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.10 | 44c | -25.5% | 46 |
The 12 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $1,022 | before 4%in play 96%, over 23 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 3 h 37to the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7 | -0.07 | 46c | -27.5% | 46 |
The 23 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT | $11,158 | before 11%in play 89%, over 167 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 270 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 157 of 167 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 167 | 35.9%60 W · 107 L | -6.8 | -0.04 | 40c | -29.6% | 46 |
The 167 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $15,750 | before 34%in play 66%, over 110 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 6 h 06to the end, median over 157 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 81 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -6.8 | -0.06 | 39c | -37.2% | 44 |
The 110 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 110 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $10,761 | before 3%in play 97%, over 195 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 3 h 57to the end, median over 392 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 184 of 196 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 196 | 38.3%75 W · 121 L | -12.1 | -0.06 | 44c | -32.1% | 44 |
The 196 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 196 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $3,375 | before 1%in play 99%, over 68 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 69 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5 | -0.08 | 43c | -42.9% | 44 |
The 69 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 69 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $2,651 | before 12%in play 88%, over 51 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 3 h 32to the end, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.4 | -0.09 | 42c | -43.6% | 44 |
The 51 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $13,912 | before 10%in play 90%, over 81 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 2 h 04to the end, median over 126 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 68 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -6.5 | -0.08 | 40c | -33.2% | 43 |
The 82 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $29,400 | before 9%in play 91%, over 455 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 after the start | 4 h 11to the end, median over 691 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 426 of 456 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 456 | 31.8%145 W · 311 L | -31.5 | -0.07 | 39c | -36.2% | 43 |
The 456 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 456 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,872 | before 21%in play 79%, over 327 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 456 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 279 of 332 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 332 | 28.9%96 W · 236 L | -32.3 | -0.10 | 39c | -39.7% | 40 |
The 332 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,406 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 332 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 65
- What they are worth now
- $6,620bought for $7,346
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 65, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.