TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

0x8f13…daae

Rebuilt .

Qualified picks
3,648
Categories scored
50
Categories below 50
36

Best Category: Olympics, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 65 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 3,648 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT63323.9%151 W · 482 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT26839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT24634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT17327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT16135.4%57 W · 104 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT13842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT13237.1%49 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT11435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10323.3%24 W · 79 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT9829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT9330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT9044.4%40 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT8532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT7328.8%21 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT6633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT6334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6216.1%10 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT5935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5817.2%10 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5812.1%7 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AIlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5324.5%13 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT5010%5 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-82.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5024%12 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3218.8%6 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT287.1%2 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-88.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST260%0 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-91.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Music Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+124.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBAlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick36cpaid-86.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-76%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.51per pick38cpaid+161.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-62.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.