Wallet 0x8f13…daae
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$661,097 staked over 4,108 qualified picks in 52 categories, 38 of 52 below 50.
Best category
Olympics
$1,623 staked over 9 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.14 per pick.
See the full Olympics boardSecond best
AI
$7,140 staked over 63 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full AI boardThird best
MLB
$17,736 staked over 94 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full MLB boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,108 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category52 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $1,623 | —too few: 8 picks | 20 h 35to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5098% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.6 | +0.51 | 38c | +161.5% | 65 |
The 9 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $7,140 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 98 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 24 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +5.0 | +0.08 | 19c | +9.1% | 56 |
The 63 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $17,736 | before 34%in play 66%, over 94 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 4 h 46to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 68 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +6.1 | +0.06 | 39c | +7.1% | 56 |
The 94 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 8, 2026, EDT | $4,040 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0878% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7 | +0.10 | 18c | +124.5% | 54 |
The 18 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $754 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 32c | -7.2% | 53 |
The 12 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A League Inactivelast settled Apr 26, 2026, EDT | $2,897 | before 24%in play 76%, over 21 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 55to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 62% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 14 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3 | +0.06 | 37c | +28.1% | 53 |
The 21 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $10,690 | before 41%in play 59%, over 59 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 42 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3 | +0.04 | 32c | +25.1% | 53 |
The 59 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $26,034 | before 63%in play 37%, over 145 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 34 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 90 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | +4.4 | +0.03 | 34c | +16.3% | 53 |
The 147 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 22, 2026, EDT | $4,447 | before 92%in play 8%, over 13 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 128 h 26 before the start | 4 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9 | +0.07 | 36c | +16.2% | 53 |
The 14 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT | $11,196 | before 44%in play 56%, over 64 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 min after the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 52% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 45 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.7 | +0.03 | 32c | +8.2% | 52 |
The 64 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Mar 29, 2026, EDT | $24,743 | before 77%in play 23%, over 135 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 53 before the start | 6 h 14to the end, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 69 of 138 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1 | +0.02 | 41c | -8.4% | 51 |
The 138 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 138 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $13,214 | before 27%in play 73%, over 86 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 4 h 21to the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 59 of 86 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +1.1 | +0.01 | 31c | +21.6% | 51 |
The 86 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 86 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $51,369 | before 62%in play 38%, over 242 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min before the start | 5 h 18to the end, median over 316 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 63 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 153 of 260 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 260 | 33.5%87 W · 173 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 33c | -7.9% | 50 |
The 260 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 260 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 18, 2026, EDT | $12,286 | before 50%in play 50%, over 46 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 6 h 14to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 38 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 36c | -4.8% | 50 |
The 53 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $1,251 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2 | -0.02 | 20c | -49.3% | 49 |
The 11 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $61,798 | before 66%in play 34%, over 256 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 41 before the start | 6 h 08to the end, median over 332 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 166 of 273 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -1.9 | -0.01 | 40c | -12.8% | 49 |
The 273 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 273 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Aug 29, 2026, EDT | $15 | —too few: 1 pick | 9 h 12to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.24 | 24c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $2,340 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 11c | -76% | 49 |
The 13 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $14,424 | before 28%in play 72%, over 113 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | -1.6 | -0.01 | 30c | -22.1% | 49 |
The 113 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $8,926 | before 59%in play 41%, over 49 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min before the start | 5 h 38to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.8 | -0.02 | 43c | -14.3% | 49 |
The 49 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 13, 2026, EDT | $4,016 | before 88%in play 12%, over 17 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 42 before the start | 6 h 59to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5 | -0.03 | 33c | -24.4% | 49 |
The 17 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Feb 1, 2026, EST | $1,380 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 2c | -100% | 49 |
The 27 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $2,496 | —no start of play | 39 dto the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5 | -0.04 | 25c | -59.6% | 48 |
The 14 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT | $13,357 | —no start of play | 24 dto the end, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.0 | -0.02 | 19c | -62.3% | 48 |
The 42 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jun 7, 2026, EDT | $200 | —too few: 2 picks | 13 h 13to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.20 | 70c | -33% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Mar 1, 2026, EST | $175 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 48 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $10,945 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 12.7%8 W · 55 L | -1.4 | -0.02 | 15c | -65.8% | 48 |
The 63 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,895 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8 | -0.03 | 23c | +14.1% | 48 |
The 25 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $12,801 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 105 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 24 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 20c | -63.5% | 48 |
The 63 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $31,426 | before 47%in play 53%, over 168 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 221 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 124 of 177 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | -3.8 | -0.02 | 30c | -7.2% | 48 |
The 177 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 177 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $15,443 | before 46%in play 54%, over 94 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 115 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 94 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -2.9 | -0.03 | 33c | -1.2% | 47 |
The 94 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 94 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Spacelast settled Aug 12, 2026, EDT | $73 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.68no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7 | -0.68 | 68c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $54,228 | before 69%in play 31%, over 693 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 18 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 1,702 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 129 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 331 of 884 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 884 | 27.8%246 W · 638 L | -26.4 | -0.03 | 31c | -38.4% | 47 |
The 884 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 884 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 13, 2026, EDT | $8,100 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | -2.4 | -0.04 | 16c | -73.1% | 47 |
The 54 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $30,386 | before 65%in play 35%, over 175 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 5 h 23to the end, median over 239 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 55 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 112 of 191 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -6.5 | -0.03 | 40c | -22.8% | 47 |
The 191 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 191 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled May 27, 2026, EDT | $20,405 | before 53%in play 47%, over 107 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 min before the start | 6 h 01to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 66 of 114 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7 | -0.04 | 39c | -12.7% | 46 |
The 114 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $16,997 | before 59%in play 41%, over 103 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min before the start | 4 h 43to the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 48 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5 | -0.04 | 34c | -10.5% | 46 |
The 106 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Apr 24, 2026, EDT | $3,833 | before 36%in play 64%, over 22 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 min after the start | 10 h 29to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0 | -0.06 | 32c | -26% | 46 |
The 31 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT | $16,988 | before 24%in play 76%, over 104 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -5.3 | -0.05 | 28c | -32.4% | 45 |
The 104 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $12,184 | before 42%in play 58%, over 72 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 50to the end, median over 99 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 52 of 75 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.4 | -0.06 | 34c | -23.6% | 45 |
The 75 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 75 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $29,264 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -5.4 | -0.06 | 27c | -45.5% | 45 |
The 88 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $13,922 | before 37%in play 63%, over 68 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 4 h 19to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 55 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.6 | -0.07 | 39c | -33.9% | 45 |
The 68 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $13,304 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5 | -0.11 | 20c | -85.6% | 44 |
The 23 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Mar 25, 2026, EDT | $17,858 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2 | -0.08 | 18c | -82.9% | 44 |
The 50 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jul 24, 2026, EDT | $4,189 | before 52%in play 48%, over 23 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min before the start | 6 h 54to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8 | -0.12 | 34c | -52.7% | 43 |
The 23 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $1,498 | —too few: 9 picks | 5 h 14to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4 | -0.27 | 38c | -80.8% | 42 |
The 9 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $7,769 | before 28%in play 72%, over 50 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min after the start | 4 h 54to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4 | -0.11 | 35c | -22.5% | 42 |
The 50 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT | $18,875 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -6.7 | -0.10 | 21c | -75.4% | 42 |
The 66 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $4,579 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -5.0 | -0.12 | 22c | -85.4% | 42 |
The 41 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Apr 6, 2026, EDT | $4,531 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -4.9 | -0.15 | 27c | -76.9% | 41 |
The 33 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $2,112 | before 75%in play 25%, over 16 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 58 before the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.0 | -0.25 | 38c | -78.3% | 39 |
The 16 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $8,944 | before 47%in play 53%, over 55 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 0 min after the start | 4 h 26to the end, median over 63 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -9.3 | -0.17 | 33c | -57.3% | 37 |
The 55 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,108 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 82
- What they are worth now
- $3,545bought for $4,034
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 82, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.