TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f41…260e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,080
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT37944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 379 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Yue Yuan vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.91
US Open, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Kayla Crossbacked Kayla Cross · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Set Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5)backed Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$173.43
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolinbacked Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$283.97
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$25
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.98
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamisbacked Theo Papamalamis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Showing 25 of 379 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT16550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$189.6
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$85.15
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$125.46
Counter-Strike: QuantumX vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffsbacked QuantumX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stagebacked Peladona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$84.87
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.67
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.05
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.19
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Honvéd (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$125.46
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$43.4
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.74
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Nemiga (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs INOX Division (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$87.17
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.61
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.05
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$162.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.97
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$261.96
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.95
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$188.19
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$158.67
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+101.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.99
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$362
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$308.99
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+222.5%+$1,105.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$397.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$336
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,668Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$731.99
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$118.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069.49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+8,350.7%+$1,185.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$151
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+120%+$763.49
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$24.7
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.49
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,714.5
Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,167.99
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,729.99
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$8,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,666.33
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$6,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,709.97
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,796.53
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$4,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,509.17
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.94
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,684.67
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,643.37
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,351.91
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.29
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,606.11
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,256.9
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.8
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Algeria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.78
Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.28
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.69
Will Ghana be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.26
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$121.77
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$162.36
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.05
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.05
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.99
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)backed Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.97
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.54
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.05
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$784.96
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.92
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,187.33
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,734.22
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.08
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.08
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$829.56
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.47
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.48
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624.98
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.99
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$103
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$145
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.33
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$7.17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.47
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.19
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.6%+$948.33
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+46.3%+$14.25
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.25
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.8%+$67
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.2%+$163.99
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+259.3%+$433
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+617.1%+$1,118.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67.1%+$381.5
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$785.99
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+171.3%+$62.09
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$344.64
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$427.3
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+250.5%+$443.18
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.35
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$146.58
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.2%+$84.24
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+76.4%+$173.2
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.6
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.32
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+1,033.3%+$629.13
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$717.17
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$881.76
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.6
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.04
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.7%+$79
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+31.2%+$214
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$328.4
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.4
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$231.97
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.75
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$123.21
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$214.01
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$125.46
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.17
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.99
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+249.7%+$178.5
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.99
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.99
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)backed Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Lugano vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.58
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)backed Bohemian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
FC Twente vs. FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.12
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+267%+$58.2
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$63.67
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$23.03
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$322.58
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+64%+$738.16
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$53.99
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25.9%+$156.03
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+97.1%+$739
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$146
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$742.03
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.32
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.49
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.24
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.5%+$54.19
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.3
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+60.6%+$207.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+29.2%+$113
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.99
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$277.98
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+119%+$81.5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$842.99
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.08
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$159.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$98.02
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$282
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SEA (-2.5)backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.