TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f69…7df1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,528
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT75450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 754 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+57%+$72.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.83
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,400
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,799.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$793.83
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,662Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$1,435.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,809.25
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,771.4
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.07
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,837Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$11,345.02
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,050
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,704.02
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,018.15
Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.28
Will B8 Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,572.82
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,863Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+224.4%+$4,179.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$516.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,356.93
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$930
Showing 25 of 754 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT24258.7%142 W · 100 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,039Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$2,324.96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$27.36
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+395.8%+$271.87
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$1,097.84
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,459.84
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.42
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$77.91
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$245.55
Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+241.2%+$308.3
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$500.81
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$139.96
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.28
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,853.22
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$575.69
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$1,478.8
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$926.64
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$3,060.19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,651.96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,299.04
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.04
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.91
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT21554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$527.59
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
UFC Fight Night: Carli Judice vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Jeisla Chaves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.71
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Terrance Chatman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.48
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jamall Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$364.24
UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Kuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Elise Reed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.88
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,412Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+55%+$1,875.39
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.22
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+473%+$1,009.69
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$787.78
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Eric McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.84
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$1,556.98
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Mark Vologdin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.35
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,050.15
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.35
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,900
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$4,856.15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$792.15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,026Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$2,974
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,958Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43%+$842
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,988.52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.22
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,603.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,813.57
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.87
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.95
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.44
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,907Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$2,093.2
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$206.47
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$3,785.36
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$1,180
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,163.2%+$368.34
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$541.59
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$96.81
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT4156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.3
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$2,447.21
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.22
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.13
Will Yi Wei vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.12
Will Andrey Esipenko vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Will Anish Giri vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.99
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63%+$131.3
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.89
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47%+$698.21
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.5
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28%+$3.93
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,504Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$1,266.29
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,721Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$883.15
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$19.27
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$906.81
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.04
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$245.3
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Anish Giri vs. Yi Wei end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.92
Will Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.95
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$288.4
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$55.64
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$123.42
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$154.35
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+49.3%+$9.74
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$380
Real Madrid vs. Atalanta: UEFA Super Cupbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$11
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$186.92
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$817.68
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$690.14
Will England win Group C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$195.63
Will the Netherlands win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+92.6%+$27.52
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$399.45
Will Austria win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$301.2
Will France win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$116.11
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$54.15
Will Portugal win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$435.34
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$138.71
Will the match be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will France win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+71.5%+$1,446.95
Will Austria win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$737.5
Will Slovakia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+41.5%+$217.49
Will Ukraine win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$987.74
Will Spain win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$768.23
Will the match be a draw? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+137%+$904.71
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$4,149.96
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,060
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,774.95
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$640
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$3,600
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,199.98
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,700
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$1,090
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,899.99
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,011Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$2,119.25
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,895.24
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+97.9%+$1,088.59
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$777.22
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.95
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$103.6
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?backed Putin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$265.94
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.9
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.3
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$158.24
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$112.1
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$2,337.64
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.2
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,621.29
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?backed Putin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.47
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$128.15
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$77.58
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$544.6
Will $Trump FDV be $40-45b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$159.74
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+49.1%+$190.06
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$786.58
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+69.5%+$31.11
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$216.69
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$660
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+49.7%+$580.88
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+203%+$25.15
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+78.6%+$51.39
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+75.4%+$258
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+177.8%+$320
NBA Finals Game 4: Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.7
NBA Finals Game 3: Mavericks vs. Celtics backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+100%+$12
NBA Finals Game 2: Celtics vs. Mavericks backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+35.6%+$443.62
Western Conference Finals: Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2024, EDT+98.3%+$351.43
Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics: Game 4backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$36.42
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$875.35
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$875.36
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$421.6
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.3%+$163.88
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+39.1%+$418.47
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$873.06
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$836.67
Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$613.9
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$140.82
Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.36
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,969.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Jasmine Paolini / Sara Errani (ITA) win Gold in Women’s Doubles Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$371.93
Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$425.21
Will another athlete win Gold in Women’s Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.87
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,633.76
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$410
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$357.2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$349.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$430
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$34.31
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+231.7%+$3,621.15
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+98%+$19.8
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,288.54
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$59.64
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+110.5%+$50.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,839.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58%+$733.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+449.4%+$368.23
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+50.3%+$1,152.39
All 8 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$213.65
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTXbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$118.44
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,565Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,564.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+55.3%+$142.38
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$222
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Chiefs vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$57.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$133.77
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$523.18
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$886.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+145.2%+$10,892.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+56.6%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ALDS: Tigers vs. Guardians Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$239.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.