TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9175…d70f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$952.49
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.8
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,119.31
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50%+$603.4
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$96.59
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880.92
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$316.29
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,553.89
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.09
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,238.06
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,223.34
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.99
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$953.61
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,521.56
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,127.08
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$649.6
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$122.09
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$596.16
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$406.62
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$432.92
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$447.54
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,110.14
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$744.36
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.71
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$812
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$910.21
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$847.81
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.9
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.1
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,581Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,111.73
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$658.73
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$986.47
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$659.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$931.93
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$451.46
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$738.96
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.03
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.28
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.51
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$495.39
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$210.26
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+183%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,958.7%+$6,108.07
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,992.49
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,662.52
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,296.6
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$324.43
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+268.6%+$1,605.07
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,335.69
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,569
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,104.65
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.5
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+105.5%+$710
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92%+$775.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,292.93
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabebacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.17
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,047.25
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,083.04
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$1,268.05
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.82
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Dzumhur (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.99
BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$780
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$980.26
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.9
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$709.21
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,223.21
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$848.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$867.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.