Wallet 0x9455…7def
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x945503066cf34a77e04958dd92d22d71df967def
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$148,591 staked over 3,175 qualified picks in 23 categories, 10 of 23 below 50.
Best category
Bundesliga
$2,086 staked over 42 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardSecond best
Asian League
$3,207 staked over 66 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Asian League boardThird best
South American Leagues
$5,152 staked over 106 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,175 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category23 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,086 | before 2%in play 98%, over 42 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 1 h 59to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 40 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.9 | +0.16 | 53c | +34.7% | 61 |
The 42 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,207 | before 0%in play 100%, over 66 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0794% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 64 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.6 | +0.07 | 51c | +5.2% | 56 |
The 66 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,152 | before 2%in play 98%, over 106 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 27 after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 112 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0693% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 100 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +6.5 | +0.06 | 55c | +13.3% | 56 |
The 106 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,144 | before 2%in play 98%, over 106 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 98 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +6.5 | +0.06 | 52c | +8.3% | 56 |
The 106 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,155 | before 7%in play 93%, over 45 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 3 h 13to the end, median over 50 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 39 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5 | +0.08 | 52c | +15.2% | 55 |
The 45 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,437 | before 6%in play 94%, over 31 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 46 minto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 63% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 30 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4 | +0.08 | 50c | +36.9% | 55 |
The 31 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $100 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 54to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.48104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9 | +0.46 | 54c | +84.7% | 54 |
The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,715 | before 26%in play 74%, over 487 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 2 h 03to the end, median over 585 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0391% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 439 of 487 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 487 | 49.7%242 W · 245 L | +13.5 | +0.03 | 47c | +12.8% | 53 |
The 487 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 487 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $4,817 | before 3%in play 97%, over 98 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 25 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 108 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04133% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 133% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 98 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +2.6 | +0.03 | 51c | +6.4% | 52 |
The 98 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT | $54,728 | before 9%in play 91%, over 1,169 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 1 h 51to the end, median over 1,481 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,047 of 1,172 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,172 | 49.5%580 W · 592 L | +15.7 | +0.01 | 48c | +3.4% | 51 |
The 1,172 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,172 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,750 | before 6%in play 94%, over 35 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 51to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02148% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 148% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 56c | -4.1% | 51 |
The 35 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $500 | before 0%in play 100%, over 10 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 11to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0287% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2 | +0.02 | 48c | -8.1% | 51 |
The 10 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $700 | before 0%in play 100%, over 14 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 31 after the start | 55 minto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05411% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 411% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2 | +0.01 | 56c | -8.7% | 50 |
The 14 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,970 | before 0%in play 100%, over 40 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 30 after the start | 1 h 03to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 54c | -4.9% | 49 |
The 40 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $2,004 | before 0%in play 100%, over 42 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 after the start | 59 minto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.4 | -0.03 | 56c | -3.7% | 48 |
The 42 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $250 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 43to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6 | -0.13 | 53c | -28.8% | 48 |
The 5 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,286 | before 21%in play 79%, over 378 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 453 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 334 of 378 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 378 | 46.3%175 W · 203 L | -8.6 | -0.02 | 49c | -11.7% | 48 |
The 378 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 378 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $8,700 | before 9%in play 91%, over 194 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 1 h 48to the end, median over 244 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 185 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -6.6 | -0.03 | 49c | -15.9% | 47 |
The 194 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $912 | before 0%in play 100%, over 19 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 1 h 39to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4 | -0.07 | 44c | -5.2% | 47 |
The 19 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $1,267 | before 0%in play 100%, over 26 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start | 48 minto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7 | -0.06 | 56c | -16.1% | 46 |
The 26 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $5,136 | before 0%in play 100%, over 105 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 1 h 49to the end, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 93 of 105 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.8 | -0.08 | 52c | -16.9% | 43 |
The 105 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 105 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,414 | before 1%in play 99%, over 67 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 after the start | 1 h 44to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 60 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.6 | -0.10 | 47c | -21.6% | 42 |
The 67 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,162 | before 1%in play 99%, over 85 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 32 after the start | 55 minto the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 85 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.2 | -0.10 | 57c | -16.1% | 42 |
The 85 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,175 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1
- What they are worth now
- $49bought for $50
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its one running position
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 238.1 | 21c | 21c | $49 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Bacau: Gabriele Brancatelli vs Sebastian Gima (opens in a new tab)backed Gabriele Brancatelli · settled | 348.46 | 13c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · settled | 333.33 | 15c | $0 | Counted |
| ITF Tianjin: Jiangxue Han vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong (opens in a new tab)backed Jiangxue Han · settled | 327.14 | 7c | $0 | Counted |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 (BO5) - EPL Masters Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed Klim Sani4 · settled | 277.78 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| ITF Lexington: Boyoung Jeong vs Janae Preston (opens in a new tab)backed Boyoung Jeong · settled | 227.27 | 22c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.