Wallet 0x9696…2bc3
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x96960b52e99274179f2f3f33e4a9e74540282bc3
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$195,375 staked over 3,915 qualified picks in 32 categories, 16 of 32 below 50.
Best category
Tennis
$19,282 staked over 396 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Tennis boardSecond best
Fifa International
$12,239 staked over 216 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Fifa International boardThird best
Lol
$15,474 staked over 283 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Lol boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,915 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category32 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennislast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $19,282 | before 96%in play 4%, over 394 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 24 before the start | 8 h 53to the end, median over 446 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 164 of 396 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 396 | 59.3%235 W · 161 L | +41.0 | +0.10 | 49c | +21.7% | 61 |
The 396 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 396 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $12,239 | before 99%in play 1%, over 216 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 14 before the start | 17 h 38to the end, median over 330 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 115 of 216 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 216 | 61.6%133 W · 83 L | +13.4 | +0.06 | 55c | +10% | 56 |
The 216 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 216 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $15,474 | before 99%in play 1%, over 283 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 52 before the start | 9 h 20to the end, median over 386 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 98 of 283 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +16.5 | +0.06 | 56c | +10.7% | 56 |
The 283 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 283 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $5,577 | before 100%in play 0%, over 112 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 44 before the start | 9 h 45to the end, median over 168 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 112 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +7.3 | +0.07 | 50c | +12.9% | 56 |
The 112 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 112 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $667 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 12 before the start | 13 h 57to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1 | +0.13 | 49c | +30.4% | 56 |
The 16 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $9,360 | before 100%in play 0%, over 214 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 35 before the start | 10 h 07to the end, median over 257 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 85 of 214 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7 | +0.05 | 51c | +10.5% | 55 |
The 214 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 214 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 18, 2026, EDT | $1,276 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 04 before the start | 9 h 46to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0 | +0.08 | 54c | +15.7% | 55 |
The 24 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $29,205 | before 99%in play 1%, over 551 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 48 before the start | 7 h 55to the end, median over 643 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 304 of 551 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 551 | 56.8%313 W · 238 L | +19.6 | +0.04 | 53c | +9.1% | 54 |
The 551 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 551 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $401 | —too few: 7 picks | 7 h 51to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0 | +0.14 | 57c | +24.3% | 53 |
The 7 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $464 | —no start of play | 22 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.17 | 58c | +12.7% | 53 |
The 4 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $2,363 | before 98%in play 2%, over 47 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 59 before the start | 7 h 37to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 47 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.3 | +0.03 | 50c | +2.2% | 52 |
The 47 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 47 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $5,689 | before 98%in play 2%, over 111 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 02 before the start | 9 h 18to the end, median over 171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 55 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 51c | +1% | 51 |
The 111 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $73 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.33123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.27 | 73c | +37% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $269 | —too few: 5 picks | 15 h 59to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3 | +0.06 | 54c | +5.3% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $2,337 | before 100%in play 0%, over 41 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 36 before the start | 12 h 24to the end, median over 74 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02115% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 115% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 24 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.6 | +0.02 | 55c | +0.4% | 51 |
The 41 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Sep 29, 2026, EDT | $3,809 | before 100%in play 0%, over 73 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 07 before the start | 10 h 07to the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01146% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 146% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 53c | -0.1% | 50 |
The 73 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $33,357 | before 99%in play 1%, over 638 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 16 before the start | 9 h 22to the end, median over 644 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 350 of 638 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 638 | 47.5%303 W · 335 L | -3.2 | -0.01 | 48c | -0.8% | 49 |
The 638 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 638 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,989 | before 67%in play 33%, over 63 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 07 before the start | 15 h 44to the end, median over 71 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 52c | -2% | 49 |
The 63 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $14,968 | before >99%in play <1%, over 359 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 15 before the start | 11 h 03to the end, median over 410 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 211 of 359 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 359 | 49.3%177 W · 182 L | -3.6 | -0.01 | 50c | -2% | 49 |
The 359 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 359 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $255 | —no start of play | 44 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.07 | 57c | -29.1% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,644 | before 99%in play 1%, over 83 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 18 before the start | 11 h 25to the end, median over 149 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 51 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -1.1 | -0.01 | 56c | -7.3% | 49 |
The 83 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $29 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.29 | 29c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $11,345 | before >99%in play <1%, over 289 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 18 before the start | 13 h 30to the end, median over 319 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 218 of 290 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 290 | 42.8%124 W · 166 L | -4.2 | -0.01 | 44c | -3.5% | 49 |
The 290 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 290 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 24, 2026, EDT | $1,984 | before 93%in play 7%, over 45 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 before the start | 6 h 52to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7 | -0.04 | 46c | -13.3% | 47 |
The 45 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $410 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1 | -0.16 | 59c | -33.4% | 46 |
The 7 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,295 | before 100%in play 0%, over 24 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 19 before the start | 20 h 05to the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0 | -0.08 | 54c | -21.9% | 46 |
The 24 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $816 | before 94%in play 6%, over 18 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 44 before the start | 8 h 16to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8 | -0.10 | 49c | -23.6% | 45 |
The 18 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $3,504 | before 98%in play 2%, over 61 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 05 before the start | 10 h 07to the end, median over 101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.0 | -0.08 | 56c | -16.5% | 44 |
The 61 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,937 | before 100%in play 0%, over 40 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 51 before the start | 13 h 46to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6 | -0.11 | 49c | -20.4% | 42 |
The 40 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $1,668 | before 100%in play 0%, over 35 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 08 before the start | 8 h 11to the end, median over 61 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.8 | -0.14 | 48c | -40.5% | 41 |
The 35 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 2, 2026, EDT | $3,641 | before 100%in play 0%, over 67 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 42 before the start | 9 h 22to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -7.6 | -0.11 | 55c | -20.3% | 41 |
The 67 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $4,049 | before 100%in play 0%, over 78 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 h 30 before the start | 3 dto the end, median over 125 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 23 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -9.5 | -0.12 | 54c | -23.3% | 40 |
The 79 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,915 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 19
- What they are worth now
- $6,532bought for $6,069
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 33worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 19, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,000 | 92c | 93c | $1,869 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 1,800 | 84c | 98c | $1,756 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 599.99 | 90c | 97c | $584 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 500 | 90c | 99c | $494 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 500 | 94c | 94c | $468 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 349.42 | 86c | 97c | $340 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 84c | 95c | $191 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 77c | 95c | $189 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 200 | 64c | 91c | $181 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 100 | 83c | 98c | $98 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 33. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 4 Paris Saint-Germain FC? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 200 | 99c | $0 | Never scored |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B (opens in a new tab)backed PARIVISION · settled | 150 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed Natus Vincere · settled | 120 | 66c | $0 | Counted |
| Jacksonville State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 49.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under · settled | 100 | 53c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · settled | 100 | 40c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.