Wallet 0x99bc…4f35
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x99bce72fb855cc8eebe6c85683ede46da1784f35
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$670,357 staked over 9,177 qualified picks in 48 categories, 27 of 48 below 50.
Best category
NBA
$18,175 staked over 182 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full NBA boardSecond best
UFC
$1,301 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full UFC boardThird best
China Taiwan
$2,218 staked over 21 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full China Taiwan boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 9,177 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category48 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $18,175 | before 33%in play 67%, over 128 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 3 h 02to the end, median over 329 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 139 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 104 of 182 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | +24.3 | +0.13 | 27c | +59.7% | 63 |
The 182 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 182 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $1,301 | before 23%in play 77%, over 31 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 after the start | 2 h 36to the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 60% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 26 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4 | +0.13 | 33c | +46.2% | 59 |
The 41 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 23, 2026, EDT | $2,218 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1697% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.4 | +0.16 | 36c | +32.3% | 58 |
The 21 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Aug 3, 2026, EDT | $3,574 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 41 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3 | +0.09 | 36c | +0.7% | 56 |
The 35 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 24, 2026, EST | $582 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.20102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4 | +0.20 | 23c | +81.9% | 55 |
The 7 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT | $11,318 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 289 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 116 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 68 of 158 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 158 | 36.1%57 W · 101 L | +7.7 | +0.05 | 31c | +1% | 55 |
The 158 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 158 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $507 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 dresells, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 5 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6 | +0.09 | 26c | +42.5% | 54 |
The 17 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $249 | —too few: 5 picks | 21 h 08to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 24 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2 | +0.10 | 23c | +2.8% | 54 |
The 12 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $17,715 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 305 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 174 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 94 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 34.8%70 W · 131 L | +6.8 | +0.03 | 31c | -9.5% | 53 |
The 201 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $13,175 | —no start of play | 20 h 42resells, median over 380 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 198 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 88 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 35.4%67 W · 122 L | +5.4 | +0.03 | 33c | +3.3% | 53 |
The 189 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT | $1,517 | before 38%in play 62%, over 29 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 min after the start | 5 h 58to the end, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 18 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2 | +0.04 | 37c | +12% | 53 |
The 29 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jul 30, 2026, EDT | $12,335 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 575 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 272 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 50% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 59 of 200 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 200 | 34.5%69 W · 131 L | +4.6 | +0.02 | 32c | -6.8% | 52 |
The 200 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 200 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $4,663 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.6 | +0.03 | 26c | -27.5% | 52 |
The 55 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT | $1,567 | before 4%in play 96%, over 28 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 50 after the start | 2 h 44to the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 28c | -20.6% | 52 |
The 32 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $21,149 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 356 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 192 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 96 of 226 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 226 | 31.4%71 W · 155 L | +3.1 | +0.01 | 30c | -9.4% | 51 |
The 226 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 226 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $495 | before 5%in play 95%, over 20 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 47 min after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 18 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5 | +0.02 | 33c | +1.9% | 51 |
The 20 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Jun 16, 2026, EDT | $37 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3 | +0.10 | 24c | +10.7% | 51 |
The 3 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled May 6, 2026, EDT | $688 | —no start of play | 5 h 06to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 10 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 24c | -25% | 50 |
The 12 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $176 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10400% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 400% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.03 | 47c | -4.6% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $108,142 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 821 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 440 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 350 of 650 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 650 | 30.2%196 W · 454 L | +2.0 | 0.00 | 30c | -11.2% | 50 |
The 650 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 650 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $32,273 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 546 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 256 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 163 of 329 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 329 | 23.4%77 W · 252 L | +0.5 | 0.00 | 23c | -6.6% | 50 |
The 329 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 329 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 25, 2026, EDT | $1,525 | —too few: 1 pick | 7 dto the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 18c | +57.4% | 50 |
The 11 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $3,615 | —no start of play | 12 h 41resells, median over 139 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 79 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 31c | -3.5% | 50 |
The 62 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $2,974 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.4 | -0.01 | 31c | -23.6% | 49 |
The 37 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 23, 2026, EDT | $54,490 | before 8%in play 92%, over 538 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 2 h 02to the end, median over 1,695 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 442 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 635 of 802 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2 | -0.01 | 26c | -18.4% | 49 |
The 802 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 802 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT | $21 | —too few: 1 pick | 1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.11 | 11c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $1,037 | —no start of play | 36 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4 | -0.03 | 20c | -69.4% | 49 |
The 12 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Aug 5, 2026, EDT | $3,456 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 302 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 130 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 110 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8 | -0.02 | 34c | -11.4% | 48 |
The 110 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 110 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $7,138 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 148 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 41 of 117 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -1.9 | -0.02 | 31c | -32.5% | 48 |
The 117 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 117 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Jun 22, 2026, EDT | $989 | before 19%in play 81%, over 21 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min after the start | 3 h 39to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 16 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8 | -0.04 | 23c | -10.5% | 48 |
The 21 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $106,628 | before 8%in play 92%, over 2,257 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 h 19 after the start | 10 h 52to the end, median over 4,257 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,565 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,614 of 2,306 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,306 | 27%622 W · 1,684 L | -41.6 | -0.02 | 29c | -21.9% | 48 |
The 2,306 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,306 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Dec 30, 2025, EST | $22 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.48no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5 | -0.48 | 48c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $34,384 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 437 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 247 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 107 of 255 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 255 | 25.5%65 W · 190 L | -6.4 | -0.03 | 28c | -28.2% | 47 |
The 255 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 255 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $44 | —too few: 3 picks | 2 h 37to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.30no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7 | -0.22 | 22c | -100% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $37,729 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 419 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 206 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 94 of 291 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 291 | 22.7%66 W · 225 L | -8.7 | -0.03 | 26c | -31.2% | 47 |
The 291 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 291 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $4,939 | before 0%in play 100%, over 122 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 1 h 12to the end, median over 224 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 84 of 122 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2 | -0.03 | 20c | -34.4% | 47 |
The 122 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 122 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $10,699 | before 20%in play 80%, over 137 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 354 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 82 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 120 of 162 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 162 | 23.5%38 W · 124 L | -5.7 | -0.04 | 27c | -27.3% | 47 |
The 162 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 162 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $1,145 | before 0%in play 100%, over 11 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 h 12 after the start | 21 h 10to the end, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2 | -0.09 | 30c | -4.1% | 47 |
The 14 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Aug 26, 2026, EDT | $1,072 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6 | -0.06 | 32c | -41% | 47 |
The 27 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Jul 14, 2026, EDT | $349 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1 | -0.14 | 26c | -69.2% | 46 |
The 8 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Aug 8, 2026, EDT | $4,475 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 132 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 62 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.7 | -0.05 | 27c | -20.8% | 46 |
The 79 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $5,504 | before 13%in play 87%, over 105 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 48 after the start | 4 h 22to the end, median over 268 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 89 of 105 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.9 | -0.06 | 23c | -26.1% | 45 |
The 105 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 105 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $11,055 | before 11%in play 89%, over 168 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 45 min after the start | 3 h 14to the end, median over 380 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 139 of 176 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 176 | 19.9%35 W · 141 L | -9.5 | -0.05 | 25c | -42.6% | 45 |
The 176 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $322 | before 0%in play 100%, over 10 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 52 minto the end, median over 49 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7 | -0.16 | 25c | -60.8% | 45 |
The 11 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $2,744 | before 25%in play 75%, over 12 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0 | -0.10 | 26c | -52.3% | 44 |
The 31 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLB Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $33,831 | before 2%in play 98%, over 553 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 1 h 12to the end, median over 1,092 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 191 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 488 of 555 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 555 | 16%89 W · 466 L | -41.1 | -0.07 | 23c | -42.5% | 42 |
The 555 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 555 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $86,568 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,379 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 56 min after the start | 1 h 46to the end, median over 2,717 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 387 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,200 of 1,385 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,385 | 16.4%227 W · 1,158 L | -109.5 | -0.08 | 24c | -49.3% | 41 |
The 1,385 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,385 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT | $1,746 | before 6%in play 94%, over 49 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 07 after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 49 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9 | -0.14 | 24c | -69.2% | 40 |
The 49 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,177 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 49 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 64
- What they are worth now
- $125bought for $224
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 28worth $29
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 64, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 279.43 | 28c | 7c | $18 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 225.94 | 38c | 6c | $12 |
| Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 20 | 14c | 31c | $6 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4.45 | 59c | 98c | $4 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4.47 | 21c | 96c | $4 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4.75 | 65c | 79c | $4 |
| Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 4.07 | 44c | 88c | $4 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 3.96 | 28c | 90c | $4 |
| Ben Pasternak jailed? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 159.21 | 2c | 2c | $4 |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 3.68 | 30c | 93c | $3 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 28. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by September 30? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 4.99 | 35c | $5 | Never scored |
| Market 0x5b65…bd5bbacked outcome 1 | 4.52 | 10c | $5 | Not read yet |
| KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants (opens in a new tab)backed Hanwha Eagles · settled | 2.47 | 8c | $2 | Never scored |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 2.38 | 34c | $2 | Never scored |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 2.32 | 5c | $2 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above. 3 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.