Wallet 0x9c76…c926
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x9c76cdb43fb46454da005fbc82047a64a18ec926
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$8,759,107 staked over 13,033 qualified picks in 28 categories, 9 of 28 below 50.
Best category
UFC
$42,421 staked over 119 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full UFC boardSecond best
WNBA
$102,717 staked over 67 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardThird best
Bundesliga
$33,808 staked over 70 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 13,033 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $42,421 | before 92%in play 8%, over 119 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 h 58 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 159 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1295% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 58 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +14.6 | +0.12 | 50c | +27.5% | 61 |
The 119 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $102,717 | before 91%in play 9%, over 67 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 42 before the start | 5 h 55to the end, median over 72 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1291% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 61 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4 | +0.13 | 47c | +29.2% | 60 |
The 67 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $33,808 | before 100%in play 0%, over 70 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 5 h 53to the end, median over 98 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1293% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 52 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +8.7 | +0.12 | 52c | +28% | 60 |
The 70 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $56,920 | before 100%in play 0%, over 52 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 before the start | 6 h 48to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1292% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 47 of 52 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +6.7 | +0.13 | 53c | +20.6% | 60 |
The 52 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 52 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $128,966 | before 100%in play 0%, over 158 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 before the start | 7 h 13to the end, median over 205 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0688% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 120 of 158 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +9.8 | +0.06 | 53c | +11.4% | 56 |
The 158 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 158 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $830,083 | before 99%in play 1%, over 379 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 37 before the start | 10 h 50to the end, median over 461 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 255 of 379 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5 | +0.05 | 54c | +12% | 56 |
The 379 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 379 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $121,472 | before 97%in play 3%, over 172 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 58 before the start | 7 h 22to the end, median over 186 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0391% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 119 of 172 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +6.4 | +0.04 | 49c | +5.8% | 54 |
The 172 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 172 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 17, 2026, EDT | $25,859 | before 99%in play 1%, over 79 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 00 before the start | 8 h 35to the end, median over 95 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 65 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.1 | +0.04 | 38c | +17.3% | 53 |
The 79 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $77,298 | before 98%in play 2%, over 167 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 08 before the start | 7 h 48to the end, median over 225 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0279% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 105 of 167 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.7 | +0.03 | 51c | +2.9% | 53 |
The 167 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $69,890 | before 97%in play 3%, over 239 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 51 before the start | 11 h 16to the end, median over 324 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 17% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 187 of 239 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 239 | 41.8%100 W · 139 L | +6.0 | +0.03 | 39c | +1.4% | 53 |
The 239 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 239 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,157,939 | before 88%in play 12%, over 4,418 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 44 before the start | 6 h 27to the end, median over 5,359 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 52% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2,485 of 4,426 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,426 | 39.6%1,751 W · 2,675 L | +95.2 | +0.02 | 37c | +6.5% | 52 |
The 4,426 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,426 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $49,023 | before 100%in play 0%, over 50 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 62 h 59 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 25 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5 | +0.03 | 53c | -1.3% | 52 |
The 50 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,213,290 | before 98%in play 2%, over 1,445 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 before the start | 5 h 44to the end, median over 1,595 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 34% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,092 of 1,446 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,446 | 50.2%726 W · 720 L | +20.3 | +0.01 | 49c | +3.7% | 52 |
The 1,446 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,446 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $51,305 | before 99%in play 1%, over 891 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 37 before the start | 6 h 46to the end, median over 1,062 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 706 of 891 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8 | +0.01 | 45c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 891 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 891 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $623,774 | before 93%in play 7%, over 2,802 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 07 before the start | 7 h 12to the end, median over 3,707 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 13% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,662 of 2,803 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,803 | 48.9%1,372 W · 1,431 L | +26.6 | +0.01 | 48c | +2.1% | 51 |
The 2,803 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,803 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $170,694 | before 99%in play 1%, over 185 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 58 before the start | 8 h 43to the end, median over 246 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 136 of 186 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +1.7 | +0.01 | 54c | +0.6% | 51 |
The 186 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 186 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $133,561 | before 100%in play 0%, over 126 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min before the start | 5 h 48to the end, median over 153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 114 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.8 | +0.01 | 52c | +3.7% | 51 |
The 126 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $250,056 | before 94%in play 6%, over 600 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 24 before the start | 6 h 53to the end, median over 664 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 466 of 600 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 600 | 51.8%311 W · 289 L | +0.6 | 0.00 | 52c | -0.4% | 50 |
The 600 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 600 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $212,231 | before 96%in play 4%, over 222 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 7 h 26to the end, median over 235 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 161 of 222 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 51c | +0.2% | 50 |
The 222 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 222 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT | $78,298 | before 98%in play 2%, over 123 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 38 before the start | 11 h 23to the end, median over 164 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 88 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 54c | -4.5% | 50 |
The 124 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $123,181 | before 98%in play 2%, over 154 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 42 before the start | 8 h 09to the end, median over 211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 114 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 55c | -1.6% | 50 |
The 154 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $63,888 | before 96%in play 4%, over 201 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 14 before the start | 13 h 58to the end, median over 236 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 166 of 201 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -2.5 | -0.01 | 38c | -3.4% | 49 |
The 201 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 201 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $34,951 | before 98%in play 2%, over 61 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min before the start | 6 h 24to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 47 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.3 | -0.02 | 51c | +3.1% | 48 |
The 61 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $24,168 | before 100%in play 0%, over 40 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 28 before the start | 9 h 18to the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 40 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2 | -0.03 | 48c | -15.9% | 48 |
The 40 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT | $3,804 | —too few: 6 picks | 5 h 08to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7 | -0.12 | 46c | -36.9% | 47 |
The 6 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Aug 14, 2026, EDT | $13,773 | before 100%in play 0%, over 45 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 44 before the start | 8 h 59to the end, median over 62 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7 | -0.04 | 46c | -13% | 47 |
The 45 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $24,857 | before 99%in play 1%, over 71 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 before the start | 9 h 07to the end, median over 89 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 49 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.0 | -0.04 | 44c | -17.4% | 47 |
The 71 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT | $40,879 | before 99%in play 1%, over 79 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 before the start | 6 h 39to the end, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -3.8 | -0.05 | 53c | -6.8% | 46 |
The 79 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 13,033 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 18
- What they are worth now
- $17,440bought for $17,644
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 49worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 18, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Vikings (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 5,499 | 78c | 76c | $4,152 |
| Spread: Panthers (-7.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Buccaneers | 3,000 | 70c | 71c | $2,115 |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Steelers | 3,000 | 72c | 71c | $2,115 |
| Saints Team Total: O/U 20.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 3,000 | 49c | 48c | $1,425 |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 3,000 | 47c | 48c | $1,425 |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 3,000 | 49c | 44c | $1,305 |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers (opens in a new tab)backed Buccaneers | 2,500 | 37c | 42c | $1,038 |
| Rams vs. Raiders (opens in a new tab)backed Raiders | 2,500 | 34c | 40c | $988 |
| Spread: Ravens (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Ravens | 2,500 | 48c | 39c | $963 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House (opens in a new tab)backed No | 999.99 | 83c | 93c | $925 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 49. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs Boisson (+1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Navarro · settled | 7,500 | 48c | $0 | Counted |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro (opens in a new tab)backed Sho Shimabukuro · settled | 7,240 | 24c | $0 | Counted |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics (opens in a new tab)backed Athletics · settled | 5,000 | 58c | $0 | Counted |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca (opens in a new tab)backed Roberto Bautista Agut · settled | 5,000 | 18c | $0 | Counted |
| Spread: Missouri (-5.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Texas A&M · settled | 3,000 | 53c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.