Wallet 0x9cb3…1367
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x9cb35555b913c805a62a2e34bce4ef14f0e81367
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$343,218 staked over 6,368 qualified picks in 44 categories, 21 of 44 below 50.
Best category
Us Politics
$1,669 staked over 11 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Us Politics boardSecond best
Commodities
$15,212 staked over 126 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Commodities boardThird best
Serie A
$77 staked over 2 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 6,368 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category44 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $1,669 | —no start of play | 14 dresells, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2698% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9 | +0.27 | 37c | +165.2% | 59 |
The 11 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2026, EDT | $15,212 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 413 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 255 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 35 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +9.0 | +0.07 | 42c | -3.7% | 57 |
The 126 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $77 | —no start of play | 18 dresells, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.69100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4 | +0.69 | 31c | +229.5% | 56 |
The 2 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled Jul 31, 2026, EDT | $7,091 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 69 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0 | +0.12 | 38c | -0.1% | 55 |
The 16 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $13,876 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 567 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 375 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 56 of 142 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +8.0 | +0.06 | 43c | +5.8% | 55 |
The 142 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 142 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT | $5,128 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 182 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 110 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06133% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 133% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.6 | +0.05 | 43c | +25.4% | 54 |
The 54 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Jun 21, 2026, EDT | $1,974 | before 5%in play 95%, over 19 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 64 h 43 after the start | 22 h 42resells, median over 106 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 77 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10144% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 144% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6 | +0.07 | 45c | -1.2% | 54 |
The 23 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 30, 2026, EDT | $1,754 | —no start of play | 15 dresells, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 19 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1 | +0.10 | 40c | +29.1% | 53 |
The 12 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,359 | before 9%in play 91%, over 149 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 316 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 34% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 125 of 152 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +4.7 | +0.03 | 43c | -11.7% | 53 |
The 152 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 152 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $55 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.23107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.21 | 46c | +27.1% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 15, 2026, EDT | $1,475 | —no start of play | 10 dresells, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07150% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 150% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8 | +0.05 | 42c | -12.4% | 52 |
The 17 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $195 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.27100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.27 | 73c | +36.7% | 52 |
The 2 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $1,759 | —no start of play | 16 dresells, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 83 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1 | +0.03 | 40c | -23.4% | 52 |
The 32 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $7,725 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 405 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 267 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03137% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 137% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.6 | +0.02 | 43c | -14.1% | 52 |
The 108 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $15 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.46100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5 | +0.46 | 54c | +86.7% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $81 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.36100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4 | +0.36 | 64c | +56.1% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $8,900 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 420 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 250 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04227% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 227% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 30 of 83 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5 | +0.02 | 40c | -16.5% | 52 |
The 83 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 83 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $789 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07209% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 209% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5 | +0.04 | 39c | +3.4% | 51 |
The 14 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $2,385 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 114 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04311% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 311% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5 | +0.01 | 35c | -37.1% | 51 |
The 36 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $4,758 | —no start of play | 11 dresells, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 89 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01164% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 164% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 36c | -35.5% | 51 |
The 35 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPO Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT | $1,524 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 123 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 76 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01154% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 154% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 46c | -31.6% | 51 |
The 30 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Jun 19, 2026, EDT | $51 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.03 | 47c | +32.7% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $22 | —no start of play | 31 dresells, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0277% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | +0.02 | 48c | -33.9% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jun 13, 2026, EDT | $178 | —no start of play | 8 h 55resells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 52c | -30.2% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $73,370 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,519 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 2,999 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 93 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,365 of 1,538 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,538 | 47.1%724 W · 814 L | -5.8 | 0.00 | 47c | -10.1% | 50 |
The 1,538 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,538 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Aug 13, 2026, EDT | $2,700 | —no start of play | 7 h 20to the end, median over 146 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2 | -0.01 | 49c | -13.8% | 50 |
The 29 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $43 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.27no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.27 | 27c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT | $4,920 | —no start of play | 9 dresells, median over 86 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6 | -0.02 | 47c | -14.9% | 49 |
The 31 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $429 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.10 | 44c | -57% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Jul 1, 2026, EDT | $77 | —no start of play | 39 dresells, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.13 | 13c | -100% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Jun 5, 2026, EDT | $62 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $78 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6 | -0.20 | 53c | -57.6% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $22,752 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 194 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -2.8 | -0.03 | 40c | -37.1% | 47 |
The 98 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled May 7, 2026, EDT | $94 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.41no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.41 | 41c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 20, 2026, EDT | $4,969 | —too few: 2 picks | 8 dresells, median over 556 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 415 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 149 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -5.8 | -0.04 | 43c | -14.5% | 46 |
The 149 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 149 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Jul 12, 2026, EDT | $316 | —no start of play | 19 dresells, median over 75 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 46 |
The 8 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $51,487 | before 59%in play 41%, over 1,537 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 27 before the start | 17 h 55to the end, median over 6,855 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2,692 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 605 of 1,556 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,556 | 33.2%517 W · 1,039 L | -65.6 | -0.04 | 37c | -27.4% | 45 |
The 1,556 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,556 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 11, 2026, EDT | $2,097 | before 12%in play 88%, over 24 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min after the start | 2 h 11to the end, median over 82 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5 | -0.09 | 36c | -46.6% | 45 |
The 29 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $41,152 | before 6%in play 94%, over 974 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 3 h 21to the end, median over 1,913 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 49 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 876 of 984 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 984 | 37.5%369 W · 615 L | -47.7 | -0.05 | 42c | -24.4% | 45 |
The 984 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 984 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Jun 10, 2026, EDT | $178 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8 | -0.17 | 35c | -75% | 44 |
The 11 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $48,102 | before 3%in play 97%, over 774 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 1,342 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 728 of 777 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 777 | 35.8%278 W · 499 L | -40.7 | -0.05 | 41c | -34.6% | 44 |
The 777 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 777 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $4,889 | before 3%in play 97%, over 143 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 24 min after the start | 2 h 24to the end, median over 423 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 97 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -9.7 | -0.06 | 43c | -33.8% | 44 |
The 153 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $2,530 | —no start of play | 24 dresells, median over 403 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 255 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.0 | -0.08 | 37c | -33.4% | 44 |
The 67 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $926 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 66 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7 | -0.15 | 37c | -34.8% | 43 |
The 18 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 6,368 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 123
- What they are worth now
- $240bought for $437
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 48worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 123, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 45 | 12c | 71c | $32 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 17 | 92c | 98c | $17 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 30 | 20c | 55c | $17 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 18.96 | 65c | 70c | $13 |
| Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 19.7 | 76c | 65c | $13 |
| Market 0x9dc2…c5d6backed outcome 0 | 30 | 6c | 39c | $12 |
| Market 0x852e…849fbacked outcome 0 | 27.36 | 8c | 39c | $11 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 30 | 59c | 35c | $10 |
| City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 10.57 | 57c | 73c | $8 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 4.75 | 94c | 98c | $5 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 48. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 120.03 | 12c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x14ee…01bebacked outcome 0 | 114.48 | 33c | $0 | Not read yet |
| LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed EXILE esports · settled | 62.63 | 17c | $0 | Counted |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 11? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 60.08 | 7c | $0 | Never scored |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 60.07 | 6c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 2 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 2 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.