Wallet 0x9f20…12c3
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x9f208e85f326f865077fffa68b32d8b0e2bc12c3
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$671,584 staked over 6,884 qualified picks in 36 categories, 18 of 36 below 50.
Best category
Music
$5,230 staked over 45 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Music boardSecond best
Valorant
$1,858 staked over 20 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardThird best
Lol
$7,680 staked over 36 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Lol boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 6,884 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category36 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musiclast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,230 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 296 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1079% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8 | +0.13 | 49c | +49.7% | 59 |
The 45 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,858 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 80 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 68% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 11 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.5 | +0.12 | 63c | +18.3% | 56 |
The 20 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $7,680 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 161 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 36 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.2 | +0.09 | 61c | +18.7% | 56 |
The 36 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 36 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $6,690 | —no start of play | 33 dto the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 74% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 6 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1 | +0.13 | 49c | +21.9% | 56 |
The 16 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $4,379 | —no start of play | 19 dto the end, median over 326 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 8% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 33 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3 | +0.05 | 58c | +9.6% | 54 |
The 60 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $55,468 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 3,101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 57% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 333 of 601 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 601 | 59.2%356 W · 245 L | +23.9 | +0.04 | 55c | +1.5% | 54 |
The 601 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 601 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $35,025 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 725 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 33% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 60 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7 | +0.04 | 51c | +0.6% | 54 |
The 154 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 12, 2026, EDT | $3,177 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 263 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14132% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 132% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.10 | 65c | +15.5% | 54 |
The 12 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $5,319 | —no start of play | 31 dto the end, median over 92 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 39% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3 | +0.09 | 48c | +19.4% | 54 |
The 14 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $793 | —no start of play | 13 h 19to the end, median over 30 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8 | +0.13 | 53c | -4.4% | 53 |
The 6 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $9,874 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10148% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 148% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8 | +0.07 | 55c | -7.4% | 52 |
The 13 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $158 | —no start of play | 22 dto the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0894% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.09 | 51c | -16% | 52 |
The 5 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 14, 2026, EDT | $5,315 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 31% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 13 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.8 | +0.02 | 58c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 38 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $643 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3 | +0.10 | 56c | -10.8% | 51 |
The 3 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 26, 2026, EDT | $538 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 52% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 45c | +9.3% | 51 |
The 6 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $365,548 | before 68%in play 32%, over 4,843 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 59 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 25,583 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3,021 of 4,958 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4,958 | 57.2%2,837 W · 2,121 L | +39.2 | +0.01 | 56c | -5.7% | 51 |
The 4,958 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4,958 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $99 | —too few: 2 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 58c | -1.4% | 50 |
The 5 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $395 | —no start of play | 108 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | +0.01 | 49c | +0.3% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $29,510 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 624 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 63 of 139 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 48c | -19% | 50 |
The 139 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 139 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $2,151 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 114 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 21 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 53c | -9.6% | 50 |
The 21 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 21 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $175 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.02 | 69c | -10.1% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 8, 2026, EDT | $12 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.06 | 6c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $30,536 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 685 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 165 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | -0.5 | 0.00 | 43c | -10.5% | 50 |
The 165 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 165 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Aug 21, 2026, EDT | $13 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.09 | 9c | -100% | 50 |
The 1 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 25, 2026, EDT | $591 | —no start of play | 15 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.05 | 38c | -46% | 49 |
The 3 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $17 | —no start of play | 51 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $97 | —no start of play | 20 dto the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.15 | 15c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $5,275 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3 | -0.02 | 64c | +1.8% | 49 |
The 16 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,525 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 1,382 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 154 of 276 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | -3.4 | -0.01 | 56c | -6.8% | 49 |
The 276 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 276 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $519 | —no start of play | 83 dto the end, median over 104 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4 | -0.06 | 40c | -19.1% | 49 |
The 6 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $1,748 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 76 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6 | -0.03 | 61c | -6% | 49 |
The 19 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2026, EDT | $13,451 | —no start of play | 20 dto the end, median over 157 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 22 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7 | -0.03 | 49c | -10.1% | 48 |
The 22 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $2,258 | —no start of play | 71 dto the end, median over 243 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 11 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.04 | 57c | -14.8% | 48 |
The 17 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $1,030 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8 | -0.08 | 53c | -30.5% | 48 |
The 9 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $35,229 | —no start of play | 27 dto the end, median over 1,340 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 79 of 174 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | -4.6 | -0.03 | 50c | -18.1% | 47 |
The 174 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 174 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $10,261 | —no start of play | 53 dto the end, median over 111 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.15no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6 | -0.10 | 54c | -16.1% | 46 |
The 16 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 6,884 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1,338
- What they are worth now
- $2,219bought for $6,873
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 39worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 1,338, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 356 | 3c | 42c | $150 |
| Market 0x445d…4599backed outcome 0 | 236.07 | 3c | 24c | $57 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 235 | 2c | 23c | $54 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 235 | 2c | 16c | $38 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 0%-5%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 70 | 10c | 50c | $35 |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 80 | 10c | 42c | $34 |
| Will CeeDee Lamb finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 320 | 2c | 10c | $33 |
| Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 5%-10%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 80 | 10c | 41c | $33 |
| Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-49 House election by 10%-15%? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 80 | 10c | 41c | $33 |
| Market 0xa6b6…eb3cbacked outcome 0 | 65 | 3c | 50c | $33 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 39. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0x1070…eacebacked outcome 0 | 138 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x1efb…1e88backed outcome 0 | 138 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x7b4d…7b34backed outcome 0 | 120 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 90 | 17c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x724a…fecebacked outcome 0 | 85.95 | 9c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above. 4 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.