TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f41…8f27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
784
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 402 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$347.5
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,563Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,856.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,332.7
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$3,658.31
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$225.73
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$374.23
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$918
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.23
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,290.96
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,940.58
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$315
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$10.44
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.63
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.69
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$133.25
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$80.53
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$6,609.24
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Showing 25 of 402 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,422.71
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$13.74
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.2
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.55
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Columbus Crew vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$337.5
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$69.74
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.75
Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)backed Portland Timbers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)backed Portland Timbers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$58.38
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.75
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$65.25
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)backed Los Angeles FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT8540%34 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.62
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.96
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.81
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.11
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)backed Trabzonspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$47.75
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+261.3%+$194
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$385.28
Will Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.48
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,702Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$3,411.18
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,479Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$2,006.01
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.85
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.42
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+128%+$603.9
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.75
Will NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.5
Will Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.25
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$124.5
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,319.16
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,681.25
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.59
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$56.25
Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,569Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,605.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$313.49
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+445.4%+$3,364.75
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,181.72
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.25
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$229.31
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$141.75
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,571Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$4,356.44
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,425.27
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.52
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,632Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,094.91
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$409.64
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.18
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.53
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$85
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.5
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138%+$1,058.32
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30,496Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17,910.53
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$568.75
Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32.66
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,728
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$64.08
Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,683.95
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$833.5
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Coventry City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$150.67
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+230.9%+$62.49
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will CF América win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.25
Will Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.25
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,529Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$787.75
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,334.98
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,574
Will EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,969.64
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,653.96
Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.25
Will Amed Sportif vs. Erzurumspor FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.75
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.74
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,342.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$596.25
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.