TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa06c…6aa8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.11
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.83
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.31
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.72
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$71.49
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.4
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$25.98
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.05
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-2.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.13
Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$87.91
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-4.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.25
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-9.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$49.5
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.48
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.01
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.46
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$86.43
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$41.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.68
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.67
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.63
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.4
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$57.29
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$25.57
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.62
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.39
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.07
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.