Wallet 0xa278…3369

https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa278b41b5afda5d18da683eb7f851a7b2dc13369

Polymarket

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$1,105,090 staked over 4,444 qualified picks in 40 categories, 19 of 40 below 50.

Best category

Tweets

$1,518 staked over 25 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Tweets board

Second best

Mls

$9,023 staked over 54 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.06 per pick.

See the full Mls board

Third best

Bundesliga

$9,488 staked over 53 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full Bundesliga board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,444 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.

Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.

Record by category40 Categories

The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.

What these columns mean

Category: The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked: The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets: Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds: How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price: What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks: Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate: How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected: Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge: Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry: The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick: The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score: The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.

Category

Staked

When it bets

Holds

At your price

Qualified picks

Win rate

vs expected

Realizable edge

Avg entry

ROI per pick

Tail Score

Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$1,518

—no start of play

2 dto the end

+0.1296% kept

68%17 W · 8 L

+3.2

+0.13

55c

+14.9%

The 25 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Mlslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$9,023

before 50%in play 50%

2 h 10to the end

+0.0894% kept

48.1%26 W · 28 L

+4.4

+0.08

40c

-6.4%

The 54 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$9,488

before 45%in play 55%

3 h 40to the end

+0.0797% kept

47.2%25 W · 28 L

+3.8

+0.07

40c

+109.9%

The 53 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$35,441

before 52%in play 48%

1 h 54to the end

+0.0775% kept

62.1%18 W · 11 L

+2.6

+0.09

53c

+14.1%

The 29 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

World Politicslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT

$5,623

—no start of play

2 dto the end

+0.0578% kept

59%23 W · 16 L

+2.5

+0.06

53c

+5%

The 39 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 39 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$13,557

before 42%in play 58%

1 h 40to the end

+0.0378% kept

58.3%35 W · 25 L

+2.6

+0.04

54c

-6.4%

The 60 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Weatherlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$3,886

before 69%in play 31%

2 dto the end

+0.0395% kept

153

68.6%105 W · 48 L

+5.3

+0.03

65c

+4.8%

The 153 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Valorantlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT

$7,245

before 52%in play 48%

3 h 38to the end

+0.05116% kept

55.6%25 W · 20 L

+1.8

+0.04

52c

+7.4%

The 45 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Us Midtermslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$145

—no start of play

5 dto the end

+0.18101% kept

75%3 W · 1 L

+0.7

+0.18

57c

-0.2%

The 4 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$15,939

before 64%in play 36%

3 h 25to the end

+0.0277% kept

107

43%46 W · 61 L

+3.1

+0.03

40c

+9.9%

The 107 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$18,791

before 51%in play 49%

4 h 03to the end

+0.0276% kept

45.7%32 W · 38 L

+2.0

+0.03

43c

+25.8%

The 70 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 22, 2026, EDT

$172

—no start of play

6 h 47to the end

+0.3493% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.4

+0.36

64c

+56.3%

The 1 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$1,805

before 32%in play 68%

3 h 05to the end

+0.03151% kept

37.5%15 W · 25 L

+0.9

+0.02

35c

-29.3%

The 40 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 40 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$11,178

before 51%in play 49%

2 h 50to the end

+0.02130% kept

45.5%25 W · 30 L

+0.8

+0.01

44c

-11.2%

The 55 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT

$631

—no start of play

13 dto the end

-0.03out of reach

50%2 W · 2 L

+0.3

+0.07

43c

+170.5%

The 4 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Stockslast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT

$806

—no start of play

1 dto the end

+0.24100% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.2

+0.24

76c

+31.6%

The 1 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT

$324

—no start of play

10 dto the end

+0.1887% kept

100%1 W · 0 L

+0.2

+0.21

79c

+26.4%

The 1 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$166,026

before 45%in play 55%

2 h 11to the end

+0.0198% kept

624

47.8%298 W · 326 L

+4.8

+0.01

47c

-6.5%

The 624 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 624 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$6,652

before 37%in play 63%

3 h 44to the end

+0.02276% kept

42.1%24 W · 33 L

+0.4

+0.01

41c

-23.4%

The 57 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$11,186

before 37%in play 63%

2 h 29to the end

+0.01190% kept

103

54.4%56 W · 47 L

+0.4

0.00

54c

-9.5%

The 103 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 103 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$41,982

before 58%in play 42%

3 h 19to the end

-0.01out of reach

159

37.1%59 W · 100 L

0.0

0.00

37c

+1.7%

The 159 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 159 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$25,462

before 50%in play 50%

2 h 26to the end

0.00no edge

114

49.1%56 W · 58 L

-0.1

0.00

49c

-7.4%

The 114 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 114 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$111

—no start of play

3 dto the end

-0.07no edge

66.7%2 W · 1 L

0.0

-0.01

68c

+5.7%

The 3 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 25, 2026, EDT

$801

—no start of play

6 dto the end

-0.16no edge

33.3%1 W · 2 L

-0.1

-0.02

35c

-37.6%

The 3 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$22,832

before 51%in play 49%

4 h 06to the end

-0.01no edge

31.7%20 W · 43 L

-0.2

0.00

32c

-38.3%

The 63 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Cricketlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT

$4,857

before 58%in play 42%

8 h 57to the end

-0.02no edge

50%6 W · 6 L

-0.1

-0.01

51c

The 12 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT

$1,436

before 50%in play 50%

2 h 50to the end

0.00no edge

36.4%8 W · 14 L

-0.2

-0.01

37c

-14.6%

The 22 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 22 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$88

—too few: 2 picks

2 h 47to the end

-0.03no edge

50%1 W · 1 L

-0.1

-0.05

55c

+47.1%

The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$60,382

before 51%in play 49%

4 h 04to the end

0.00no edge

155

49%76 W · 79 L

-0.9

-0.01

50c

-13.9%

The 155 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$27,463

before 34%in play 66%

1 h 34to the end

-0.02no edge

167

41.3%69 W · 98 L

-1.6

-0.01

42c

-6.7%

The 167 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Parlayslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT

$2,767

—no start of play

—no market to hold

—no market price

40.7%24 W · 35 L

-0.8

-0.01

42c

+31.4%

Settled	Ticket	Result	Entry	Size	Return	P/L held
Oct 15, 2026, EDT	Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) AND Jaguars vs. Bengals2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	19c	$14	-100%	-$14.28
Oct 9, 2026, EDT	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees AND Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-09-25?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$10	-100%	-$10.2
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Azuolas vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group B2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	34c	$10	+197.6%	+$20.4
Oct 8, 2026, EDT	Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 Corners AND Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	16c	$65	-100%	-$65.41
Oct 5, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Operário Ferroviário EC leading at halftime?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	35c	$21	-100%	-$20.64
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 AND Colts vs. Chiefs2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	58c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$62	-100%	-$62.28
Oct 4, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-09-21?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$200	-100%	-$199.53
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	61c	$20	+65.2%	+$13.31
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	77c	$22	+30.4%	+$6.76
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Delaware State vs. South Florida AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$262	-100%	-$262.46
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Wagner vs. California AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$95	-100%	-$95.44
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Kent State vs. Ohio State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$95	-100%	-$95.44
Oct 3, 2026, EDT	Murray State vs. Oklahoma State AND Spread: KC (-5.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	48c	$77	-100%	-$76.72
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$10	-100%	-$10.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Michigan State vs. Notre Dame AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$22	-100%	-$22.01
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	USC vs. Rutgers AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$127	-100%	-$126.9
Oct 1, 2026, EDT	Spread: LA (-9.5) AND Buffalo vs. Penn State2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$268	-100%	-$267.96
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$43	-100%	-$43.16
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 AND Spread: LA (-9.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$21	-100%	-$21.48
Sep 30, 2026, EDT	W35 Kyoto: Mio Mushika vs Destanee Aiava AND W35 Kyoto: Kanon Sawashiro vs Jia-Jing Lu2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$10	-100%	-$10.18
Sep 29, 2026, EDT	Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$26	-100%	-$25.67
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	CD Leganés vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5 AND Asian Games Men: India vs Afghanistan2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	18c	$16	+449.6%	+$71.22
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$42	-100%	-$41.92
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. Jong AZ Alkmaar: O/U 0.5 AND Guangzhou: Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	42c	$88	-100%	-$88.21
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 12.5 Total Corners AND FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Sandefjord Fotball O/U 2.52 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$20	-100%	-$19.58
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) AND Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	24c	$14	-100%	-$14.36
Sep 28, 2026, EDT	China Open, Qualification: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth AND Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-27?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$10	+725.5%	+$75.89
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns AND Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	30c	$10	-100%	-$10.34
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: Bills (-1.5) AND Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$30	-100%	-$29.52
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	55c	$132	-100%	-$132
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: 07 Vestur Sorvagur 3 - 2 KI Klaksvik?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	53c	$10	-100%	-$10.24
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) AND Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 3 Gil Vicente FC?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	54c	$59	-100%	-$59.19
Sep 27, 2026, EDT	Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 0.52 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$111	-100%	-$110.87
Sep 26, 2026, EDT	1st Half Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5) AND Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-13?2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	28c	$29	-100%	-$28.69
Sep 24, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group A2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	37c	$10	-100%	-$10.31
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics AND Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers2 legs	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	59c	$10	-100%	-$10.18
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Not A Squad Esports vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winner AND Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	76c	$10	+31.7%	+$3.21
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	36c	$20	-100%	-$20.31
Sep 22, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner AND LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Did not (open this parlay on its own page)	57c	$30	-100%	-$30.03
Sep 21, 2026, EDT	Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5) AND Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 42.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	44c	$10	+128.1%	+$13.17
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	M25 Guiyang: Yun Seong Chung vs Alibek Kachmazov AND CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Draw at halftime?2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	68c	$44	+47.4%	+$20.93
Sep 20, 2026, EDT	Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5) AND New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	72c	$109	+39.7%	+$43.2
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres AND San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	13c	$26	+672.6%	+$174.27
Sep 19, 2026, EDT	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	12c	$18	+740%	+$132.31
Sep 14, 2026, EDT	Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 1.5 AND Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio Callejon2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	60c	$24	+65.6%	+$16.04
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox AND Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	41c	$16	+144.5%	+$22.41
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Sivasspor vs. Muglaspor: O/U 4.5 AND Szczecin: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Rudolf Molleker2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	29c	$10	+242.3%	+$25.08
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Orlando City SC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	45c	$56	+120.5%	+$67.04
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Howard vs. Indiana2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$31	+112.3%	+$34.67
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Marist vs. Lafayette2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	47c	$45	+112.3%	+$51
Sep 13, 2026, EDT	Spread: HOU (-1.5) AND Tennessee-Martin vs. West Virginia2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	46c	$51	+115.1%	+$59.16
Sep 11, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	38c	$34	+162%	+$55.02
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) AND Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.52 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	52c	$27	+92.1%	+$24.81
Sep 10, 2026, EDT	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A AND Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group B2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	33c	$15	+198.5%	+$28.99
Sep 9, 2026, EDT	Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner2 legs	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	25c	$14	+292.2%	+$41.59
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.52 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	19c	$10	+433.7%	+$43.93
Sep 8, 2026, EDT	M15 Bali: Corban Crowther vs Pablo Perez Ramos AND Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs2 legs · legs not recovered from the chain	Came in (open this parlay on its own page)	43c	$60	+130.8%	+$78.99
All 59 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.

NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT

$101,318

before 43%in play 57%

3 h 29to the end

-0.02no edge

176

41.5%73 W · 103 L

-2.7

-0.02

43c

-9.3%

The 176 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 176 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Music Inactivelast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT

$11

—no start of play

1 dto the end

-0.45no edge

0%0 W · 1 L

-0.5

-0.46

46c

-100%

The 1 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$135,409

before 44%in play 56%

2 h 47to the end

-0.02no edge

432

50%216 W · 216 L

-8.7

-0.02

52c

-11.5%

The 432 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 432 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT

$279,412

before 58%in play 42%

3 h 21to the end

-0.04no edge

1,322

27.5%363 W · 959 L

-32.5

-0.02

30c

-22.7%

The 1,322 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,322 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$2,680

—no start of play

5 dto the end

-0.05no edge

35%7 W · 13 L

-1.1

-0.06

41c

-33.5%

The 20 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$57,733

before 65%in play 35%

4 h 39to the end

-0.07no edge

147

33.3%49 W · 98 L

-6.2

-0.04

38c

-30.2%

The 147 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

WNBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT

$10,377

before 78%in play 22%

11 h 50to the end

-0.12no edge

31.6%6 W · 13 L

-2.4

-0.12

44c

-27.1%

The 19 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT

$10,031

before 46%in play 54%

2 h 22to the end

-0.13no edge

35.1%13 W · 24 L

-3.4

-0.09

44c

-25.9%

The 37 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

Movieslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT

$502

—no start of play

5 dto the end

-0.39no edge

33.3%2 W · 4 L

-2.2

-0.37

70c

-53.7%

The 6 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,444 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures.

What this wallet holds right now

Last asked 43 minutes ago.

Positions on running markets: 66
What they are worth now: $2,442bought for $2,551
Settled, not yet cashed: 39worth $0

Its 10 largest running positions

Of 66, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Now: What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Now	Worth
Chiefs vs. Seahawks (opens in a new tab)backed Chiefs	1,914	42c	42c	$794
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed TYLOO	4,580	11c	10c	$435
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26? (opens in a new tab)backed No	120.66	92c	90c	$109
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No	188.84	62c	54c	$101
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF? (opens in a new tab)backed No	76.79	97c	97c	$74
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF? (opens in a new tab)backed No	76.8	94c	94c	$72
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed AS Monaco FC	78.32	91c	92c	$72
Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Olympique de Marseille	75.4	95c	95c	$71
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901	73.98	97c	96c	$71
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	74.61	97c	95c	$71

Settled bets it has not cashed in

The 5 largest of 39. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.

What these columns mean

Position: How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
Paid: Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
Worth: What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.

Market	Position	Paid	Worth	In the record?
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT	19,609	26c	$0	Counted
Spread: Commanders (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Commanders · settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT	5,329	4c	$0	Counted
Spread: 49ers (-1.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Commanders · settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT	2,383	20c	$0	Counted
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · settled Oct 12, 2026, EDT	1,770	84c	$0	Never scored
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Team Spirit · settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT	1,106	31c	$0	Counted

Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.

These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
The position was at least $10.
The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.

Wallet 0xa278…3369

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category40 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in

Wallet 0xa278…3369

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Record by category40 Categories

What this wallet holds right now

Its 10 largest running positions

Settled bets it has not cashed in