Wallet 0xa3b5…941a
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa3b5da76ffbbe3325bb1b40a30f6a4634962941a
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,832,046 staked over 3,676 qualified picks in 27 categories, 15 of 27 below 50.
Best category
NFL
$41,919 staked over 104 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full NFL boardSecond best
Valorant
$52,541 staked over 89 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full Valorant boardThird best
MLB
$181,917 staked over 391 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full MLB boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,676 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category27 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $41,919 | before 82%in play 18%, over 104 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 26 before the start | 6 h 03to the end, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1398% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 62 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +13.9 | +0.13 | 52c | +25.7% | 62 |
The 104 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $52,541 | before 72%in play 28%, over 89 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 01 before the start | 5 h 43to the end, median over 90 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 65 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +12.0 | +0.14 | 53c | +26.5% | 62 |
The 89 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $181,917 | before 91%in play 9%, over 390 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 20 before the start | 7 h 08to the end, median over 398 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0796% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 241 of 391 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 391 | 58.3%228 W · 163 L | +28.0 | +0.07 | 51c | +13% | 57 |
The 391 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 391 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $23,212 | before 89%in play 11%, over 63 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 38 before the start | 6 h 27to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0795% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.7 | +0.08 | 51c | +21.6% | 56 |
The 63 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $85,967 | before 75%in play 25%, over 199 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 03 before the start | 4 h 27to the end, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0480% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 151 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +10.4 | +0.05 | 44c | +18.9% | 55 |
The 205 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $914,138 | before 71%in play 29%, over 1,591 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 11 before the start | 6 h 46to the end, median over 1,680 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 261 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0279% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 79% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,058 of 1,593 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,593 | 51.3%818 W · 775 L | +47.4 | +0.03 | 48c | +5% | 53 |
The 1,593 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,593 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,834 | before 69%in play 31%, over 26 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min before the start | 3 h 43to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0591% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4 | +0.06 | 48c | +17.7% | 53 |
The 26 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,378 | before 80%in play 20%, over 85 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min before the start | 4 h 24to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0390% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 63 of 85 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0 | +0.03 | 49c | +2.5% | 53 |
The 85 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 85 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Sep 3, 2026, EDT | $799 | —too few: 1 pick | 8 h 32to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.5494% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.57 | 43c | +131.9% | 52 |
The 1 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $864 | —too few: 3 picks | 5 h 37to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.19 | 47c | +32.3% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $213,456 | before 68%in play 32%, over 409 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 53 min before the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 418 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 59% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 350 of 409 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +7.3 | +0.02 | 50c | +0.7% | 52 |
The 409 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 409 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,100 | before 75%in play 25%, over 12 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 35 min before the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4 | +0.03 | 47c | -6.7% | 51 |
The 12 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $240 | —no start of play | 9 h 02to the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.12 | 12c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $3,797 | before 80%in play 20%, over 10 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 56 before the start | 8 h 09to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5 | -0.05 | 45c | -24.4% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $9,114 | before 90%in play 10%, over 30 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 12 before the start | 10 h 16to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9 | -0.03 | 50c | -4.2% | 48 |
The 30 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $5,082 | before 79%in play 21%, over 24 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 15 before the start | 5 h 00to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 24 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2 | -0.05 | 47c | -16.3% | 47 |
The 24 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 24 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $8,427 | before 76%in play 24%, over 33 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 53 before the start | 5 h 12to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5 | -0.05 | 47c | -9.6% | 47 |
The 33 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $43,621 | before 25%in play 75%, over 89 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 25 min after the start | 1 h 33to the end, median over 92 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 89 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.2 | -0.04 | 46c | -13.2% | 47 |
The 89 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 89 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $53,258 | before 81%in play 19%, over 124 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 06 before the start | 9 h 21to the end, median over 128 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 124 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.7 | -0.05 | 50c | -10.2% | 46 |
The 124 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 124 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $3,416 | before 92%in play 8%, over 12 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 08 before the start | 12 h 37to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5 | -0.12 | 54c | -24.7% | 46 |
The 12 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,693 | before 69%in play 31%, over 26 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 21 before the start | 3 h 54to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1 | -0.08 | 47c | -10.6% | 45 |
The 26 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $21,518 | before 100%in play 0%, over 46 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 14 before the start | 8 h 05to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 18 of 46 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4 | -0.07 | 53c | -13.3% | 45 |
The 46 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 46 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $34,893 | before 66%in play 34%, over 92 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min before the start | 2 h 57to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 67 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.0 | -0.07 | 47c | -12.4% | 44 |
The 92 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $6,913 | before 56%in play 44%, over 27 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 20 before the start | 5 h 05to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2 | -0.12 | 53c | -16% | 43 |
The 27 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $47,597 | before 93%in play 7%, over 98 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 22 before the start | 6 h 43to the end, median over 101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -8.1 | -0.08 | 50c | -18.1% | 43 |
The 98 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $15,409 | before 50%in play 50%, over 28 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 1 h 29to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 19 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0 | -0.18 | 50c | -13.4% | 39 |
The 28 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $16,941 | before 73%in play 27%, over 55 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min before the start | 4 h 59to the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 31 of 55 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.6 | -0.14 | 50c | -25.8% | 39 |
The 55 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,676 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 55 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 1
- What they are worth now
- $16bought for $25
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 44worth $0
Its one running position
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 100 | 25c | 16c | $16 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 44. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · settled | 4,299 | 21c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed Hanwha Life Esports · settled | 3,850 | 34c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In (opens in a new tab)backed HANJIN BRION · settled | 2,700 | 39c | $0 | Counted |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed MVK Esports · settled | 2,417 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 2,300 | 65c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.