Wallet 0xa3c2…df3d
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa3c2ec158f222f3f4f5f4f57b113d761a4d3df3d
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,569,003 staked over 13,120 qualified picks in 47 categories, 22 of 47 below 50.
Best category
Bundesliga
$2,655 staked over 28 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.12 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardSecond best
World Politics
$22,118 staked over 112 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full World Politics boardThird best
Token Launches
$8,387 staked over 54 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Token Launches boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 13,120 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category47 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $2,655 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 30 before the start | 5 h 16to the end, median over 52 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2399% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4 | +0.23 | 49c | +70.4% | 63 |
The 28 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $22,118 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 522 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 344 of them sold before the market settled | +0.13105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 34 of 112 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +13.5 | +0.12 | 49c | +17.5% | 61 |
The 112 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 112 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $8,387 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 145 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 84 of them sold before the market settled | +0.17123% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 123% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 54 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +7.3 | +0.14 | 48c | +8.6% | 60 |
The 54 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 54 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Jul 7, 2026, EDT | $13,231 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 360 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 235 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11127% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 127% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 33 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +8.2 | +0.09 | 51c | +12.4% | 58 |
The 92 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $3,732 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 290 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 186 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 19 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.5 | +0.07 | 49c | -4.1% | 56 |
The 62 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Aug 1, 2026, EDT | $2,699 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 180 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 98 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12149% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 149% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8 | +0.08 | 54c | +1.1% | 55 |
The 34 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Jul 5, 2026, EDT | $45,621 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 492 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 378 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10204% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 204% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 53 of 146 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +7.4 | +0.05 | 48c | +0.6% | 55 |
The 146 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 146 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $1,210 | —no start of play | 19 dresells, median over 243 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 154 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.3 | +0.06 | 50c | +5.8% | 55 |
The 53 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $226 | —no start of play | 14 dresells, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | +0.16104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2 | +0.15 | 47c | +61.9% | 54 |
The 8 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Aug 16, 2026, EDT | $13,289 | before 100%in play 0%, over 71 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 63 h 59 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0490% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0 | +0.04 | 48c | +12.3% | 53 |
The 71 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Apr 27, 2026, EDT | $14 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.85118% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 118% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7 | +0.71 | 29c | +249% | 53 |
The 1 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jul 30, 2026, EDT | $28,580 | before 97%in play 3%, over 245 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 37 before the start | 9 h 02to the end, median over 293 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0282% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 82% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 105 of 245 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2 | +0.03 | 48c | +4.6% | 53 |
The 245 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 245 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earnings Inactivelast settled Apr 29, 2026, EDT | $217 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8 | +0.07 | 47c | +13.8% | 52 |
The 11 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Jul 2, 2026, EDT | $331 | —no start of play | 7 dresells, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6 | +0.15 | 60c | +4.9% | 52 |
The 4 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwan Inactivelast settled May 4, 2026, EDT | $764 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | +0.29330% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 330% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5 | +0.09 | 58c | +1.5% | 52 |
The 6 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT | $1,105 | —no start of play | 8 dresells, median over 97 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 72 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 9 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 49c | -4.6% | 52 |
The 19 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Apr 15, 2026, EDT | $821 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.08 | 52c | -3.7% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled Jun 12, 2026, EDT | $1,000 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 172 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 98 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04184% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 184% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8 | +0.02 | 50c | -14.6% | 51 |
The 38 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 20, 2026, EDT | $20 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.33100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.33 | 67c | +49.3% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,367 | before 0%in play 100%, over 28 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 36 after the start | 7 h 17to the end, median over 70 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 17 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.5 | +0.02 | 48c | -18.5% | 51 |
The 30 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $63,720 | before 100%in play 0%, over 518 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 21 before the start | 6 h 00to the end, median over 1,138 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 21% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 191 of 535 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 535 | 46.7%250 W · 285 L | +2.3 | 0.00 | 46c | +7.8% | 50 |
The 535 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 535 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Apr 19, 2026, EDT | $2,932 | before 20%in play 80%, over 10 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 h 56 after the start | 1 dresells, median over 110 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 70 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07963% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 963% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 44c | -24.9% | 50 |
The 18 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT | $442,194 | before 100%in play 0%, over 3,273 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 21 before the start | 16 h 05to the end, median over 8,079 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 258 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,148 of 3,288 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,288 | 49.2%1,618 W · 1,670 L | +6.9 | 0.00 | 49c | -0.8% | 50 |
The 3,288 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,288 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $8,383 | before 94%in play 6%, over 96 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 20 before the start | 8 h 43to the end, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 48 of 97 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 49c | -8.6% | 50 |
The 97 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 97 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $513,533 | before 99%in play 1%, over 2,813 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 30 before the start | 9 h 08to the end, median over 3,480 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 128 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,322 of 2,815 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,815 | 49.3%1,389 W · 1,426 L | +1.1 | 0.00 | 49c | +0.2% | 50 |
The 2,815 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,815 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $17,527 | before 99%in play 1%, over 182 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 17 before the start | 6 h 49to the end, median over 321 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 84 of 182 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -0.6 | 0.00 | 50c | -5.7% | 50 |
The 182 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 182 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weather Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $63,583 | before 72%in play 28%, over 1,815 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 53 before the start | 23 h 10to the end, median over 8,260 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3,596 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 703 of 1,841 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,841 | 37%681 W · 1,160 L | -8.7 | 0.00 | 37c | -19% | 49 |
The 1,841 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,841 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $1,107 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3 | -0.03 | 53c | -28.5% | 49 |
The 8 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $61,053 | before 70%in play 30%, over 655 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 before the start | 5 h 38to the end, median over 994 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 412 of 667 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 667 | 46.9%313 W · 354 L | -5.4 | -0.01 | 48c | -4.3% | 49 |
The 667 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 667 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled May 1, 2026, EDT | $14,844 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 463 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 276 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 60 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1 | -0.01 | 42c | -27.3% | 49 |
The 108 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 20, 2026, EDT | $14,201 | before 100%in play 0%, over 151 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 14 before the start | 5 h 40to the end, median over 328 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 77 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7 | -0.01 | 54c | 0% | 49 |
The 153 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $97 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3 | -0.07 | 57c | -18.3% | 49 |
The 4 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,675 | before 0%in play 100%, over 72 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 20 min after the start | 3 h 01to the end, median over 150 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6 | -0.02 | 46c | -13.7% | 48 |
The 88 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $18,009 | before 93%in play 7%, over 194 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 04 before the start | 4 h 54to the end, median over 355 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 127 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.3 | -0.02 | 51c | -3% | 48 |
The 194 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $12,209 | before 96%in play 4%, over 141 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 before the start | 4 h 49to the end, median over 276 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 65 of 141 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.4 | -0.02 | 48c | -11% | 48 |
The 141 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 141 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,270 | before 90%in play 10%, over 58 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 09 before the start | 13 h 33to the end, median over 147 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0 | -0.03 | 49c | -9.3% | 48 |
The 73 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $68,410 | before 38%in play 62%, over 852 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 min after the start | 2 h 25to the end, median over 1,410 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 671 of 862 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 862 | 43.3%373 W · 489 L | -27.2 | -0.03 | 46c | -22.1% | 47 |
The 862 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 862 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,962 | before 0%in play 100%, over 21 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min after the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 59 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7 | -0.06 | 54c | -19.6% | 47 |
The 29 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $10,812 | before 95%in play 5%, over 104 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 29 before the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 231 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 57 of 104 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.0 | -0.05 | 50c | -18.2% | 46 |
The 104 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 104 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled May 4, 2026, EDT | $418 | —no start of play | 22 h 47resells, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1 | -0.28 | 53c | -60% | 46 |
The 4 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Jun 1, 2026, EDT | $567 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6 | -0.16 | 46c | -54.7% | 45 |
The 10 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Jun 30, 2026, EDT | $762 | —no start of play | 22 h 20to the end, median over 349 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 137 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 13 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0 | -0.08 | 45c | -38.5% | 45 |
The 38 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Jun 10, 2026, EDT | $349 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 18 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2 | -0.12 | 40c | -9% | 44 |
The 18 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 18 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $62,108 | before 80%in play 20%, over 488 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 23 before the start | 8 h 37to the end, median over 687 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 279 of 493 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 493 | 41.6%205 W · 288 L | -28.0 | -0.06 | 47c | -15.1% | 44 |
The 493 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 493 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $3,597 | before 5%in play 95%, over 21 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 43 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.9 | -0.09 | 39c | -33.8% | 44 |
The 43 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 43 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,615 | before 34%in play 66%, over 279 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 405 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 233 of 281 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 281 | 41.3%116 W · 165 L | -18.8 | -0.07 | 48c | -24.4% | 43 |
The 281 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 281 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $680 | —no start of play | 17 dresells, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 29 of them sold before the market settled | -0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0 | -0.34 | 51c | -73% | 43 |
The 6 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 13,120 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 99
- What they are worth now
- $539bought for $656
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 47worth $5
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 99, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs prodigy - Map 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed ZOTIX | 251.45 | 63c | 52c | $129 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers (opens in a new tab)backed Lotte Giants | 101.45 | 71c | 89c | $90 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 30 | 67c | 85c | $25 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 25.07 | 28c | 92c | $23 |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 24.97 | 73c | 89c | $22 |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 20 | 74c | 99c | $20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 30 | 71c | 62c | $19 |
| Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 27 | 41c | 61c | $16 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 12.47 | 94c | 98c | $12 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 18.19 | 17c | 58c | $11 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 47. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? (opens in a new tab)backed No · settled | 2.9 | 82c | $3 | Never scored |
| Market 0x8147…7269backed outcome 1 | 5 | 50c | $3 | Not read yet |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 1,948 | 40c | $0 | Counted |
| Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic (opens in a new tab)backed Dino Prizmic · settled | 1,716 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 294.16 | 33c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 3 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.