Wallet 0xa3e2…fdf8
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa3e22cd32aa9238ef7dbcfb4761e33b9eaa1fdf8
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,304,916 staked over 27,152 qualified picks in 50 categories, 42 of 50 below 50.
Best category
WNBA
$875 staked over 29 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full WNBA boardSecond best
Cricket
$334 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Cricket boardThird best
F1
$2,889 staked over 60 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full F1 boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 27,152 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category50 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $875 | —too few: 3 picks | 19 dto the end, median over 57 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 29 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.8 | +0.13 | 46c | +2% | 58 |
The 29 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 29 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 4, 2025, EDT | $334 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.2397% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7 | +0.24 | 48c | +63.5% | 56 |
The 7 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Jul 27, 2026, EDT | $2,889 | before 100%in play 0%, over 10 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 41 h 29 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0595% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 95% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3 | +0.06 | 49c | +6% | 54 |
The 60 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 29, 2026, EDT | $649 | —no start of play | 37 dto the end, median over 25 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4 | +0.12 | 55c | +50.1% | 54 |
The 12 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketballlast settled Jun 23, 2026, EDT | $1,803 | —too few: 7 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03139% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 139% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 12 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8 | +0.02 | 46c | +0.1% | 51 |
The 37 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 25, 2026, EDT | $197 | —no start of play | 38 dto the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.09 | 41c | +45% | 51 |
The 4 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $235 | —too few: 1 pick | 10 dto the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09200% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 200% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4 | +0.04 | 40c | -7.8% | 51 |
The 9 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $5,370 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dto the end, median over 305 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | +0.011141% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 1141% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 43 of 126 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 48c | +3.5% | 50 |
The 126 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 126 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 11, 2026, EDT | $1,535 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 119 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 20 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9 | -0.02 | 46c | -19.1% | 49 |
The 56 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $7,871 | —too few: 4 picks | 17 dto the end, median over 350 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 70 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 134 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -2.0 | -0.01 | 42c | -11.5% | 49 |
The 134 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 134 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Pokerlast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $298 | —no start of play | 15 h 52to the end, median over 40 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7 | -0.07 | 34c | -45.1% | 48 |
The 11 picks behind Poker are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 7, 2026, EDT | $115 | —too few: 1 pick | 5 dto the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6 | -0.16 | 41c | -46.8% | 48 |
The 4 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle Eastlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $83,461 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 1,931 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 207 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 314 of 1,035 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,035 | 40.9%423 W · 612 L | -24.3 | -0.02 | 43c | -13% | 47 |
The 1,035 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,035 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $106 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.23no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7 | -0.23 | 56c | -40.5% | 47 |
The 3 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT | $799 | —too few: 3 picks | 6 dto the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 20 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3 | -0.07 | 47c | -25.1% | 47 |
The 20 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 20 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $2,492 | before 20%in play 80%, over 46 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 h 56 after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 377 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 79 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.1 | -0.04 | 49c | -15.4% | 47 |
The 79 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 79 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rateslast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $20,308 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 506 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 64 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 97 of 312 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 312 | 43.3%135 W · 177 L | -10.2 | -0.03 | 47c | -15% | 47 |
The 312 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 312 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $115,836 | —no start of play | 11 dto the end, median over 4,199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 404 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 712 of 1,972 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,972 | 43.7%862 W · 1,110 L | -63.5 | -0.03 | 47c | -15.3% | 46 |
The 1,972 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,972 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Aug 28, 2026, EDT | $304 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 11 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3 | -0.11 | 39c | -36.4% | 46 |
The 11 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Weatherlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $428,240 | before 46%in play 54%, over 11,091 Weather picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 24,641 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 741 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4,427 of 11,714 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 11,714 | 45.9%5,378 W · 6,336 L | -434.9 | -0.04 | 50c | -11.3% | 46 |
The 11,714 picks behind Weather are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 11,714 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 26, 2026, EDT | $2,975 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 101 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9 | -0.06 | 46c | -34% | 46 |
The 48 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Token Launcheslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $18,177 | —no start of play | 18 dto the end, median over 688 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 109 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 75 of 294 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -12.7 | -0.04 | 44c | -19.8% | 46 |
The 294 picks behind Token Launches are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 294 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $23,063 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 1,190 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 51 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 190 of 623 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 623 | 38.4%239 W · 384 L | -29.7 | -0.05 | 43c | -15.5% | 45 |
The 623 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 623 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Space Inactivelast settled Jun 29, 2026, EDT | $3,079 | —no start of play | 16 dto the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1 | -0.07 | 43c | -25.9% | 45 |
The 42 picks behind Space are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweetslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $69,763 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 2,513 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 168 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 318 of 1,017 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,017 | 37.7%383 W · 634 L | -48.8 | -0.05 | 42c | -23.1% | 45 |
The 1,017 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,017 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jun 28, 2026, EDT | $2,066 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dto the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8 | -0.09 | 48c | -25.3% | 45 |
The 33 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuelalast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $3,807 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 145 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 27 of 76 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -5.2 | -0.07 | 46c | -10.4% | 44 |
The 76 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 76 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Oct 8, 2026, EDT | $37,662 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 1,878 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 144 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 149 of 882 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 882 | 37.8%333 W · 549 L | -47.9 | -0.05 | 43c | -25.3% | 44 |
The 882 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 882 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $2,152 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 h 20 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 147 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 68 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -5.0 | -0.07 | 51c | -15.2% | 44 |
The 68 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 68 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Jun 20, 2026, EDT | $302 | —no start of play | 26 dto the end, median over 18 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.34no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7 | -0.33 | 53c | -66.1% | 44 |
The 5 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| China Taiwanlast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $6,577 | —no start of play | 13 dto the end, median over 200 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 29 of 92 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -6.7 | -0.07 | 38c | -34.5% | 44 |
The 92 picks behind China Taiwan are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 92 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $14,658 | —no start of play | 23 dto the end, median over 533 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 57 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 272 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -17.4 | -0.06 | 48c | -21.4% | 43 |
The 272 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 272 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midtermslast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $34,207 | —no start of play | 25 dto the end, median over 1,389 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 170 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 235 of 617 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 617 | 38.6%238 W · 379 L | -38.2 | -0.06 | 45c | -20.6% | 43 |
The 617 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 617 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Musiclast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,964 | —no start of play | 6 dto the end, median over 760 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 112 of 314 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 314 | 39.5%124 W · 190 L | -20.7 | -0.07 | 46c | -24.8% | 43 |
The 314 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 314 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukrainelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $37,380 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 1,022 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 118 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 191 of 585 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 585 | 35.9%210 W · 375 L | -38.4 | -0.07 | 42c | -25.8% | 43 |
The 585 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 585 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politicslast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $97,019 | —no start of play | 10 dto the end, median over 2,281 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 271 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 219 of 1,102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,102 | 35.7%393 W · 709 L | -71.0 | -0.06 | 42c | -28% | 43 |
The 1,102 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $1,383 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 84 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 21 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.2 | -0.10 | 47c | -34.3% | 43 |
The 41 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $23,406 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 1,403 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 54 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 235 of 668 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 668 | 39.7%265 W · 403 L | -47.7 | -0.07 | 47c | -25.5% | 42 |
The 668 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 668 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AIlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $63,609 | —no start of play | 12 dto the end, median over 2,513 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 268 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 453 of 1,197 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,197 | 37.4%448 W · 749 L | -86.2 | -0.07 | 45c | -24.2% | 42 |
The 1,197 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,197 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $18,649 | before 47%in play 53%, over 53 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 min after the start | 9 dto the end, median over 1,074 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 147 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 83 of 367 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 367 | 36.8%135 W · 232 L | -28.2 | -0.08 | 44c | -29.7% | 42 |
The 367 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 367 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commoditieslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $61,183 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 2,450 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 206 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 460 of 1,371 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,371 | 35.5%487 W · 884 L | -119.3 | -0.09 | 44c | -26.6% | 41 |
The 1,371 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,371 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestoneslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,852 | —no start of play | 14 dto the end, median over 155 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 17 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -8.9 | -0.12 | 50c | -38% | 40 |
The 74 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movieslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $60,034 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 2,508 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 190 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 328 of 1,075 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,075 | 33.6%361 W · 714 L | -100.6 | -0.09 | 43c | -37.2% | 40 |
The 1,075 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,075 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,429 | before 59%in play 41%, over 22 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 7 dto the end, median over 139 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 61 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -8.1 | -0.13 | 46c | -40.3% | 40 |
The 61 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 61 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chess Inactivelast settled Aug 6, 2026, EDT | $4,596 | before 27%in play 73%, over 11 Chess picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 2 dto the end, median over 245 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.13no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8 | -0.12 | 45c | -32.4% | 39 |
The 87 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $4,285 | —too few: 2 picks | 22 dto the end, median over 264 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 42 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -14.7 | -0.14 | 50c | -41.8% | 38 |
The 108 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Aug 17, 2026, EDT | $1,712 | —too few: 4 picks | 40 dto the end, median over 79 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.21no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4 | -0.20 | 42c | -59.1% | 38 |
The 32 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| IPOlast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $7,276 | —no start of play | 5 dto the end, median over 359 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 26 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 69 of 167 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | -21.8 | -0.13 | 45c | -41.4% | 37 |
The 167 picks behind IPO are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 167 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $3,595 | —no start of play | 8 dto the end, median over 176 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 36 of 87 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -13.7 | -0.16 | 48c | -42.6% | 36 |
The 87 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 87 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 16, 2026, EDT | $4,340 | —too few: 9 picks | 18 dto the end, median over 309 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 38 of them sold before the market settled | -0.17no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 35 of 112 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -20.0 | -0.18 | 48c | -44.2% | 34 |
The 112 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 27,152 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 112 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet holds more positions than we read. We counted at least 500 running positions and stopped there. So no figure is shown: one side of a hedge could be in the part we did not reach. Wallets this size are almost certainly market makers, not forecasters. The record above is not affected.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.