Wallet 0xa415…6fb9
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa41520ea8271085561a0099311862ce6f1976fb9
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$139,545 staked over 3,363 qualified picks in 42 categories, 20 of 42 below 50.
Best category
Dota2
$2,522 staked over 50 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Dota2 boardSecond best
Ncaa Basketball
$612 staked over 17 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.08 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardThird best
Champions League
$1,542 staked over 41 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full Champions League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,363 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category42 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota2last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,522 | before 24%in play 76%, over 50 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 1 h 58to the end, median over 60 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 44 of 50 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +7.2 | +0.14 | 56c | +28.7% | 61 |
The 50 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 50 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $612 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 53 before the start | 10 h 01to the end, median over 21 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3 | +0.19 | 57c | +33.5% | 59 |
The 17 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $1,542 | before 87%in play 13%, over 39 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 28 before the start | 7 h 13to the end, median over 58 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 15 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.5 | +0.11 | 57c | +31.6% | 58 |
The 41 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Commodities Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $518 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | +0.22101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2 | +0.22 | 58c | +35.7% | 57 |
The 10 picks behind Commodities are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Stocks Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $55 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.53100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1 | +0.53 | 47c | +125.1% | 54 |
The 2 picks behind Stocks are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $597 | before 87%in play 13%, over 16 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 h 11 before the start | 15 h 26to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0999% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4 | +0.09 | 60c | +20.6% | 54 |
The 16 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,242 | before 80%in play 20%, over 79 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 15 h 27 before the start | 19 h 09to the end, median over 87 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 80 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.2 | +0.04 | 55c | +11.6% | 53 |
The 80 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 80 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicatorslast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $188 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.12100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8 | +0.12 | 45c | +13.4% | 53 |
The 7 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $1,895 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 53 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.6 | +0.04 | 55c | -6.4% | 53 |
The 41 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $216 | —too few: 9 picks | 9 h 06to the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6 | +0.07 | 60c | +23.1% | 52 |
The 9 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $5,751 | before 98%in play 2%, over 129 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 h 17 before the start | 16 h 28to the end, median over 206 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 46 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 78 of 150 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +2.6 | +0.02 | 58c | +2.7% | 52 |
The 150 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 150 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $11,881 | before 84%in play 16%, over 286 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 01 before the start | 9 h 54to the end, median over 356 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 109 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 153 of 286 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 286 | 57%163 W · 123 L | +3.9 | +0.01 | 56c | +1.8% | 51 |
The 286 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 286 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Earningslast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $14 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.31100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.31 | 69c | +44.9% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Earnings are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $16,307 | before 86%in play 14%, over 340 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 23 before the start | 11 h 42to the end, median over 473 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 143 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 144 of 340 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 340 | 58.5%199 W · 141 L | +4.3 | +0.01 | 57c | +2.2% | 51 |
The 340 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 340 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $201 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05104% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 104% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4 | +0.05 | 52c | +43.7% | 51 |
The 7 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 9, 2026, EDT | $251 | —too few: 4 picks | 22 h 49to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2 | +0.06 | 69c | -2.1% | 51 |
The 4 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $718 | before 81%in play 19%, over 27 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 h 17 before the start | 19 h 41to the end, median over 31 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02124% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 124% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4 | +0.01 | 58c | +2.7% | 51 |
The 27 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $514 | before 100%in play 0%, over 17 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 00 before the start | 9 h 56to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02106% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 106% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 6 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3 | +0.02 | 51c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 17 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2026, EDT | $653 | before 82%in play 18%, over 17 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 57 before the start | 13 h 31to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01117% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 117% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 52c | -1% | 50 |
The 17 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Aug 7, 2026, EDT | $64 | —too few: 2 picks | 4 h 35resells, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09234% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 234% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.04 | 46c | -2% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tweets Inactivelast settled May 18, 2026, EDT | $76 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1 | +0.02 | 31c | +1% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Tweets are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2026, EDT | $838 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 34 before the start | 11 h 23to the end, median over 22 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1 | +0.01 | 58c | -0.7% | 50 |
The 17 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $34,801 | before 81%in play 19%, over 870 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 17 before the start | 7 h 31to the end, median over 1,040 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 292 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 521 of 870 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 870 | 51.3%446 W · 424 L | -1.6 | 0.00 | 51c | +1.4% | 50 |
The 870 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 870 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,614 | before 83%in play 17%, over 63 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 08 before the start | 7 h 55to the end, median over 77 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 22 of 63 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.7 | -0.01 | 57c | -0.7% | 49 |
The 63 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 63 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $279 | —too few: 7 picks | 7 h 14to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4 | -0.05 | 63c | -16.4% | 49 |
The 7 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $25,706 | before 58%in play 42%, over 609 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min before the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 841 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 232 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 408 of 617 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | -8.3 | -0.01 | 54c | -4.9% | 49 |
The 617 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 617 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 10, 2026, EDT | $1,838 | —no start of play | 4 dresells, median over 53 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 28 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7 | -0.03 | 58c | -21.1% | 48 |
The 27 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $835 | before 80%in play 20%, over 25 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 20 before the start | 5 h 24to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8 | -0.03 | 51c | -9.8% | 48 |
The 25 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $4,103 | before 89%in play 11%, over 98 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 46 before the start | 10 h 58to the end, median over 117 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 44 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 37 of 98 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.1 | -0.02 | 57c | -4.2% | 48 |
The 98 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 98 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politicslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $1,305 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 39 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.1 | -0.03 | 64c | -2.7% | 48 |
The 33 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Sep 2, 2026, EDT | $326 | —no start of play | 3 dresells, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6 | -0.10 | 60c | -30.9% | 48 |
The 6 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $12,396 | before 98%in play 2%, over 285 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 27 before the start | 13 h 28to the end, median over 340 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 86 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 158 of 286 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | -7.2 | -0.03 | 51c | -3.9% | 47 |
The 286 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 286 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $125 | —too few: 4 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.19 | 69c | -26.9% | 47 |
The 4 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 9, 2026, EDT | $96 | —too few: 5 picks | 1 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8 | -0.16 | 56c | -16.3% | 47 |
The 5 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $610 | before 46%in play 54%, over 13 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 min after the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 17 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1 | -0.08 | 54c | -0.3% | 47 |
The 13 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $815 | —no start of play | 1 dresells, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 23 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5 | -0.09 | 53c | -38.4% | 46 |
The 16 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 16 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,104 | before 96%in play 4%, over 119 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 04 before the start | 12 h 33to the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 60 of 119 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -5.4 | -0.05 | 52c | -10.1% | 46 |
The 119 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 119 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT | $132 | —no start of play | 9 dto the end, median over 14 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.20no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2 | -0.20 | 54c | -38.1% | 46 |
The 6 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $229 | —too few: 6 picks | 9 h 41to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5 | -0.24 | 58c | -42.1% | 45 |
The 6 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $301 | before 100%in play 0%, over 12 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 h 16 before the start | 11 h 35to the end, median over 23 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 12 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9 | -0.16 | 57c | -25.6% | 44 |
The 12 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 12 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $92 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.76no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5 | -0.76 | 76c | -100% | 44 |
The 2 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Crypto Milestones Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2026, EDT | $183 | —no start of play | 6 dresells, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.43no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7 | -0.43 | 68c | -67.9% | 43 |
The 4 picks behind Crypto Milestones are not listed here. This wallet has 3,363 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 48
- What they are worth now
- $595bought for $597
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 17worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 48, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 17. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (opens in a new tab)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · settled | 63 | 61c | $0 | Counted |
| Olimpia Milano vs. BC Dubai (opens in a new tab)backed Olimpia Milano · settled | 60 | 47c | $0 | Counted |
| Islanders vs. Senators (opens in a new tab)backed Islanders · settled | 58 | 41c | $0 | Counted |
| Utah vs. Oilers (opens in a new tab)backed Oilers · settled | 42 | 53c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B (opens in a new tab)backed PARIVISION · settled | 32 | 49c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.