Wallet 0xa466…1c77
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa466841143753310fa0f4448526595fa65641c77
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$1,203,999 staked over 3,631 qualified picks in 30 categories, 14 of 30 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$7,733 staked over 19 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
NHL
$21,112 staked over 111 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
Serie A
$15,189 staked over 53 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,631 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category30 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,733 | before 0%in play 100%, over 19 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 07to the end, median over 35 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.32108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.7 | +0.30 | 38c | +107.3% | 64 |
The 19 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,112 | before 2%in play 98%, over 111 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 1 h 31to the end, median over 226 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 103 of 111 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +7.7 | +0.07 | 48c | +7.6% | 56 |
The 111 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 111 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,189 | before 0%in play 100%, over 53 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 59 minto the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 71% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 50 of 53 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.1 | +0.08 | 49c | +6.4% | 56 |
The 53 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 53 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $13,218 | before 0%in play 100%, over 23 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start | 1 h 12to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 21 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3 | +0.10 | 42c | -6.8% | 55 |
The 23 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,992 | before 2%in play 98%, over 60 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 after the start | 1 h 38to the end, median over 121 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0587% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 60 of 60 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.7 | +0.06 | 45c | -2.8% | 55 |
The 60 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 60 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $39,488 | before 0%in play 100%, over 106 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 1 h 28to the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 105 of 106 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4 | +0.05 | 48c | +12.8% | 55 |
The 106 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 106 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $11,066 | before 0%in play 100%, over 62 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 18 after the start | 1 h 01to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 56% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 62 of 62 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.4 | +0.05 | 46c | +1.2% | 54 |
The 62 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 62 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $161,158 | before 0%in play 100%, over 570 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 29 after the start | 1 h 22to the end, median over 898 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 438 of 572 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 572 | 41.6%238 W · 334 L | +17.8 | +0.03 | 38c | +27.2% | 53 |
The 572 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 572 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2026, EDT | $580 | —too few: 3 picks | 5 h 02to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 52% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8 | +0.28 | 39c | +21.5% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $192,053 | before 0%in play 100%, over 591 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 33 after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 838 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 433 of 591 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 591 | 51.3%303 W · 288 L | +10.0 | +0.02 | 50c | -1.9% | 52 |
The 591 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 591 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,622 | before 0%in play 100%, over 19 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 34 after the start | 3 h 03to the end, median over 55 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6 | +0.03 | 55c | -6% | 51 |
The 19 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $56,723 | before 0%in play 100%, over 335 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 19 after the start | 2 h 07to the end, median over 622 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 49% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 233 of 335 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 335 | 48.7%163 W · 172 L | +3.9 | +0.01 | 47c | -2.9% | 51 |
The 335 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 335 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $5,363 | —too few: 5 picks | 42 minto the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 47% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3 | +0.05 | 55c | -10.6% | 51 |
The 5 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,206 | before 0%in play 100%, over 95 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 10 after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 234 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 93 of 95 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +0.9 | +0.01 | 46c | -15% | 51 |
The 95 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 95 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $64,317 | before 0%in play 100%, over 213 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 3 h 16to the end, median over 432 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 206 of 213 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 213 | 40.4%86 W · 127 L | +1.5 | +0.01 | 40c | -18.4% | 51 |
The 213 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 213 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,386 | before 0%in play 100%, over 38 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 38to the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05552% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 552% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 36 of 38 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 54c | -21.9% | 51 |
The 38 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 38 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,620 | before 10%in play 90%, over 10 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 5 h 25to the end, median over 20 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1 | -0.01 | 51c | -24% | 50 |
The 10 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $60 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1 | -0.12 | 12c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $184,166 | before 0%in play 100%, over 298 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 1 h 26to the end, median over 412 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 260 of 298 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | -1.8 | -0.01 | 47c | -9.7% | 49 |
The 298 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 298 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $30,882 | before 0%in play 100%, over 57 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 137 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 57 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.8 | -0.01 | 42c | -19.5% | 49 |
The 57 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 57 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Sep 16, 2026, EDT | $12,928 | —no start of play | 21 h 16to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5 | -0.06 | 39c | -5.4% | 48 |
The 9 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $60,556 | before 0%in play 100%, over 259 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 57 min after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 460 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 231 of 259 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 259 | 43.2%112 W · 147 L | -5.7 | -0.02 | 45c | -16.2% | 48 |
The 259 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 259 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $85,720 | before 3%in play 97%, over 255 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 29 after the start | 1 h 04to the end, median over 462 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 255 of 255 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | -5.9 | -0.02 | 39c | -18.3% | 48 |
The 255 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 255 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $34,295 | before 0%in play 100%, over 156 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 after the start | 2 h 32to the end, median over 331 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 155 of 156 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.4 | -0.05 | 47c | -22.9% | 45 |
The 156 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 156 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $48,709 | before 10%in play 90%, over 73 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 16 after the start | 37 minto the end, median over 94 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 73 of 73 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.7 | -0.06 | 42c | -31.2% | 45 |
The 73 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 73 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $4,621 | —no start of play | 11 h 05to the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.40no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 6 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9 | -0.27 | 27c | -100% | 43 |
The 7 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,850 | before 0%in play 100%, over 26 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 38 after the start | 1 h 53to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 25 of 26 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.1 | -0.12 | 39c | -45.4% | 43 |
The 26 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 26 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $41,102 | before 0%in play 100%, over 113 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 1 h 24to the end, median over 273 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 108 of 113 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -8.7 | -0.08 | 46c | -28.5% | 43 |
The 113 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 113 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $6,898 | before 0%in play 100%, over 30 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 91 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.22no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 30 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4 | -0.18 | 51c | -49.1% | 39 |
The 30 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 19, 2026, EDT | $11,385 | before 0%in play 100%, over 32 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 15 after the start | 1 h 05to the end, median over 54 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.28no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 32 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -6.5 | -0.20 | 36c | -75.3% | 37 |
The 32 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,631 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet is holding nothing on Polymarket. We asked and the answer was empty: no running positions, and nothing settled waiting to be cashed. This is a result we measured, not missing data.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.