Wallet 0xa697…59d5
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa697d0b3fff7d285a0f92d6ee03a7f97809e59d5
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$15,736,571 staked over 26,567 qualified picks in 29 categories, 11 of 29 below 50.
Best category
Euroleague
$1,376 staked over 28 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardSecond best
South American Leagues
$35,208 staked over 301 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardThird best
Australian A League
$447 staked over 14 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 26,567 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category29 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $1,376 | before 100%in play 0%, over 28 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 4 h 17to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.19102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 18 of 28 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.2 | +0.19 | 49c | +48.1% | 61 |
The 28 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 28 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $35,208 | before 100%in play 0%, over 301 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 4 h 14to the end, median over 323 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 193 of 301 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +17.8 | +0.06 | 50c | +12.5% | 56 |
The 301 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 301 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $447 | before 100%in play 0%, over 14 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min before the start | 4 h 09to the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0 | +0.14 | 50c | +19.9% | 56 |
The 14 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 14 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $40,241 | before 91%in play 9%, over 194 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 4 h 48to the end, median over 198 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 158 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | +7.5 | +0.04 | 49c | +11.8% | 54 |
The 194 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,425 | before 100%in play 0%, over 102 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 2 h 46to the end, median over 116 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 64 of 102 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.2 | +0.04 | 52c | +5.5% | 54 |
The 102 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 102 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $156,666 | before 99%in play 1%, over 694 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min before the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 743 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 455 of 697 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 697 | 47.9%334 W · 363 L | +21.6 | +0.03 | 45c | +8.4% | 53 |
The 697 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 697 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $411,070 | before 100%in play 0%, over 778 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 26 before the start | 6 h 44to the end, median over 866 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0291% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 91% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 312 of 778 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 778 | 53.7%418 W · 360 L | +21.1 | +0.03 | 51c | +6.6% | 53 |
The 778 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 778 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,745 | before 100%in play 0%, over 27 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min before the start | 6 h 12to the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 20 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1 | +0.04 | 48c | +21.8% | 52 |
The 27 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $2,958 | before 91%in play 9%, over 32 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min before the start | 3 h 58to the end, median over 33 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04116% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 116% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 26 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2 | +0.04 | 46c | +8.5% | 52 |
The 32 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $3,533,750 | before >99%in play <1%, over 3,183 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 12 before the start | 11 h 28to the end, median over 3,765 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0287% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1,389 of 3,183 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,183 | 54.1%1,722 W · 1,461 L | +60.3 | +0.02 | 52c | +3.1% | 52 |
The 3,183 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,183 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $932,878 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,318 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 22 before the start | 8 h 26to the end, median over 1,481 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0177% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 532 of 1,318 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,318 | 52.9%697 W · 621 L | +14.4 | +0.01 | 52c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 1,318 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,318 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $780,519 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,357 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 38 before the start | 7 h 03to the end, median over 1,462 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0197% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 613 of 1,357 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,357 | 50.6%686 W · 671 L | +13.0 | +0.01 | 50c | +2.5% | 51 |
The 1,357 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,357 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $656,123 | before 100%in play 0%, over 944 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 28 before the start | 7 h 36to the end, median over 1,051 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 52% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 418 of 944 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 944 | 53.6%506 W · 438 L | +5.1 | +0.01 | 53c | +0.6% | 51 |
The 944 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 944 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $172 | —too few: 3 picks | 8 h 39to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1 | +0.04 | 63c | +19.9% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $28,111 | before 100%in play 0%, over 181 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min before the start | 2 h 55to the end, median over 185 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0080% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 80% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 122 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | +0.4 | 0.00 | 50c | -0.7% | 50 |
The 181 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,840,570 | before >99%in play <1%, over 8,873 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 29 before the start | 7 h 57to the end, median over 9,483 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 4,278 of 8,874 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8,874 | 50.4%4,474 W · 4,400 L | +8.8 | 0.00 | 50c | +0.3% | 50 |
The 8,874 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8,874 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $869,461 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,426 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 03 before the start | 8 h 13to the end, median over 1,574 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 568 of 1,426 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,426 | 51.7%737 W · 689 L | +1.3 | 0.00 | 52c | -1.1% | 50 |
The 1,426 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,426 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,349,526 | before 100%in play 0%, over 2,361 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 30 before the start | 10 h 42to the end, median over 2,485 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,279 of 2,361 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,361 | 48.8%1,151 W · 1,210 L | +1.2 | 0.00 | 49c | +0.1% | 50 |
The 2,361 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,361 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $574,121 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,244 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 20 before the start | 9 h 51to the end, median over 1,345 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 659 of 1,244 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,244 | 50.6%630 W · 614 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 51c | -0.6% | 50 |
The 1,244 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,244 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $251,211 | before 100%in play 0%, over 702 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 22 min before the start | 4 h 28to the end, median over 756 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 352 of 702 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -1.8 | 0.00 | 50c | +1.2% | 50 |
The 702 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 702 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $44,521 | before 99%in play 1%, over 231 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 3 h 50to the end, median over 238 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 203 of 231 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 231 | 48.5%112 W · 119 L | -2.6 | -0.01 | 50c | -1.9% | 49 |
The 231 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 231 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,556 | before 93%in play 7%, over 70 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 min before the start | 4 h 32to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 62 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5 | -0.02 | 52c | -5.7% | 48 |
The 70 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $699,126 | before 100%in play 0%, over 1,038 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 58 before the start | 6 h 20to the end, median over 1,211 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 436 of 1,039 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,039 | 48.9%508 W · 531 L | -18.0 | -0.02 | 51c | -4% | 48 |
The 1,039 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,039 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $408,490 | before 100%in play 0%, over 675 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 57 before the start | 7 h 53to the end, median over 764 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 288 of 675 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 675 | 49.5%334 W · 341 L | -13.5 | -0.02 | 51c | -4.3% | 48 |
The 675 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 675 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $22,283 | before 100%in play 0%, over 249 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 12 min before the start | 4 h 15to the end, median over 262 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 172 of 249 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -5.9 | -0.02 | 48c | -6.4% | 48 |
The 249 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 249 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,886 | before 100%in play 0%, over 250 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 4 h 18to the end, median over 267 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 118 of 250 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -8.7 | -0.03 | 49c | -10.4% | 47 |
The 250 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 250 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,809 | before 100%in play 0%, over 227 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min before the start | 4 h 09to the end, median over 240 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 154 of 227 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -12.6 | -0.06 | 51c | -10% | 44 |
The 227 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 227 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Apr 7, 2026, EDT | $12,819 | before 100%in play 0%, over 27 Ncaa Basketball picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 h 32 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 27 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3 | -0.12 | 49c | -34.9% | 43 |
The 27 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 27 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $4,504 | before 79%in play 21%, over 33 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 min before the start | 1 h 00to the end, median over 34 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 26 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7 | -0.11 | 48c | -18.6% | 43 |
The 33 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 26,567 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 90
- What they are worth now
- $7,897bought for $8,158
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 0worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 90, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 2,256 | 62c | 54c | $1,207 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 2,508 | 24c | 36c | $903 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 2,112 | 33c | 32c | $665 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 694.57 | 51c | 76c | $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 848.01 | 70c | 47c | $394 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 775.01 | 74c | 41c | $314 |
| Spread: Vikings (-14.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Colts | 220.08 | 77c | 76c | $166 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 400.14 | 41c | 42c | $166 |
| Bengals vs. Ravens (opens in a new tab)backed Ravens | 400.1 | 46c | 42c | $166 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 125.84 | 70c | 95c | $119 |
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.