TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa69c…890e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.49
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.47
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.76
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$132.17
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.27
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.17
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.33
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$491.74
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.57
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$79.37
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.55
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$838.96
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.36
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.35
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.86
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.75
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$85.5
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$337.62
Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$337.21
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.9
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.47
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.49
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+110%+$244.17
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.89
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$457.05
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.46
Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.94
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.77
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.34
Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.29
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.32
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.98
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.48
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Club Tijuana vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$83.33
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$102.38
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+129.5%+$167.03
CA Paranaense vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$78.57
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$1,244.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.73
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.58
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.9
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.51
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$77.6
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$65.76
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.54
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$310.53
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$271.77
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.47
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$310.53
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.95
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.91
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$360.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$355.16
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$319.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.