Wallet 0xa6db…3155
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xa6db8383b756f1e58c504ff4179e19427dd73155
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$542,963 staked over 17,341 qualified picks in 30 categories, 17 of 30 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$993 staked over 25 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
Ligue 1
$7,027 staked over 251 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardThird best
Euroleague
$2,835 staked over 66 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Euroleague boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 17,341 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category30 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $993 | before 100%in play 0%, over 25 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 40 before the start | 5 h 17to the end, median over 48 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 11 of 25 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6 | +0.10 | 50c | +6.4% | 56 |
The 25 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 25 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,027 | before 99%in play 1%, over 251 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 02 before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 594 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0599% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 87 of 251 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 251 | 54.6%137 W · 114 L | +11.5 | +0.05 | 50c | +4.8% | 55 |
The 251 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 251 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,835 | before 100%in play 0%, over 66 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 32 before the start | 8 h 43to the end, median over 113 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 21 of 66 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4 | +0.04 | 51c | +5.3% | 53 |
The 66 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 66 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $56,828 | before >99%in play <1%, over 2,208 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 56 before the start | 7 h 55to the end, median over 3,453 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 980 of 2,209 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,209 | 52.9%1,169 W · 1,040 L | +45.6 | +0.02 | 51c | +4.4% | 52 |
The 2,209 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,209 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $48,942 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,425 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 40 before the start | 9 h 00to the end, median over 2,171 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 491 of 1,425 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,425 | 52.7%751 W · 674 L | +27.1 | +0.02 | 51c | +5.4% | 52 |
The 1,425 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,425 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $22,932 | before >99%in play <1%, over 769 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 before the start | 5 h 21to the end, median over 1,999 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 287 of 769 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 769 | 52.4%403 W · 366 L | +12.7 | +0.02 | 51c | +3.7% | 52 |
The 769 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 769 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $21,376 | before 100%in play 0%, over 564 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 03 before the start | 7 h 43to the end, median over 1,599 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02103% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 103% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 230 of 565 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 565 | 50.1%283 W · 282 L | +9.1 | +0.02 | 48c | -0.5% | 52 |
The 565 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 565 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $6,251 | before 98%in play 2%, over 175 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 34 before the start | 8 h 30to the end, median over 313 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 80 of 175 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.8 | +0.02 | 53c | +2.6% | 52 |
The 175 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 175 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $150 | —too few: 1 pick | 3 dto the end, median over 5 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.25100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3 | +0.25 | 75c | +33.3% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $26,673 | before >99%in play <1%, over 901 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 21 before the start | 6 h 52to the end, median over 2,114 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0198% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 328 of 901 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 901 | 53.4%481 W · 420 L | +8.8 | +0.01 | 52c | +2.4% | 51 |
The 901 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 901 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,989 | before 100%in play 0%, over 327 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 07 before the start | 6 h 40to the end, median over 959 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0199% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 114 of 327 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +2.9 | +0.01 | 52c | -0.8% | 51 |
The 327 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 327 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $31,057 | before >99%in play <1%, over 992 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 35 before the start | 5 h 45to the end, median over 2,657 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.0092% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 92% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 417 of 992 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 992 | 51.9%515 W · 477 L | +1.7 | 0.00 | 52c | +2% | 50 |
The 992 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 992 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $31,429 | before >99%in play <1%, over 1,045 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 01 before the start | 9 h 11to the end, median over 3,156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00214% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 214% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 324 of 1,046 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,046 | 49.5%518 W · 528 L | +0.7 | 0.00 | 49c | -2.6% | 50 |
The 1,046 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,046 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $9,256 | before 100%in play 0%, over 340 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 13 before the start | 10 h 26to the end, median over 660 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 154 of 341 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 49c | -1.4% | 50 |
The 341 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 341 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,581 | before 100%in play 0%, over 565 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 43 before the start | 4 h 38to the end, median over 1,414 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 248 of 565 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 565 | 52.7%298 W · 267 L | -3.2 | -0.01 | 53c | -2.3% | 49 |
The 565 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 565 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $27,731 | before >99%in play <1%, over 919 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 27 before the start | 11 h 28to the end, median over 1,425 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 313 of 919 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 919 | 49.5%455 W · 464 L | -6.2 | -0.01 | 50c | -1.3% | 49 |
The 919 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 919 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $12,116 | before 99%in play 1%, over 407 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 46 before the start | 6 h 32to the end, median over 959 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 125 of 407 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 407 | 51.4%209 W · 198 L | -3.7 | -0.01 | 52c | -1% | 49 |
The 407 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 407 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $52,771 | before 99%in play 1%, over 1,810 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 03 before the start | 8 h 54to the end, median over 3,362 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 634 of 1,814 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,814 | 46.7%847 W · 967 L | -16.0 | -0.01 | 48c | -2.2% | 49 |
The 1,814 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,814 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $23,338 | before 99%in play 1%, over 616 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 58 before the start | 8 h 32to the end, median over 949 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 321 of 616 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 616 | 50.2%309 W · 307 L | -6.2 | -0.01 | 51c | -1.4% | 49 |
The 616 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 616 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $21,310 | before >99%in play <1%, over 715 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 15 before the start | 7 h 24to the end, median over 1,887 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 236 of 715 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 715 | 51.7%370 W · 345 L | -10.5 | -0.01 | 53c | -4.7% | 48 |
The 715 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 715 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,679 | before 98%in play 2%, over 523 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 43 before the start | 9 h 23to the end, median over 901 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 248 of 523 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 523 | 50.1%262 W · 261 L | -8.0 | -0.02 | 52c | -4.8% | 48 |
The 523 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 523 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $5,649 | before 98%in play 2%, over 152 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 h 46 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 297 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 46 of 153 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.0 | -0.02 | 50c | +5.5% | 48 |
The 153 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 153 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $27,516 | before >99%in play <1%, over 931 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 53 before the start | 8 h 03to the end, median over 2,369 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 295 of 931 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 931 | 49.6%462 W · 469 L | -18.9 | -0.02 | 52c | -2.9% | 48 |
The 931 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 931 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $16,060 | before 100%in play 0%, over 357 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 29 before the start | 8 h 50to the end, median over 471 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 145 of 357 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 357 | 49%175 W · 182 L | -7.7 | -0.02 | 51c | -5.8% | 48 |
The 357 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 357 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $26,008 | before >99%in play <1%, over 725 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 09 before the start | 6 h 30to the end, median over 1,901 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 272 of 725 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 725 | 48%348 W · 377 L | -20.8 | -0.03 | 51c | -4.1% | 47 |
The 725 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 725 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,044 | before 100%in play 0%, over 56 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 35 before the start | 14 h 02to the end, median over 131 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 56 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7 | -0.05 | 53c | -11.1% | 46 |
The 56 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 56 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $10,910 | before 100%in play 0%, over 245 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 24 before the start | 8 h 20to the end, median over 329 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 76 of 245 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8 | -0.05 | 49c | -10.5% | 45 |
The 245 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 245 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Aug 31, 2026, EDT | $206 | —too few: 4 picks | 3 dto the end, median over 56 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.41no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4 | -0.35 | 60c | -68.5% | 45 |
The 4 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,913 | before 93%in play 7%, over 205 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 30 before the start | 7 h 26to the end, median over 304 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 115 of 205 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 205 | 43.4%89 W · 116 L | -12.4 | -0.06 | 49c | -17.7% | 44 |
The 205 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 205 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $393 | before 100%in play 0%, over 13 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 h 10 before the start | 1 dto the end, median over 46 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 13 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5 | -0.19 | 50c | -54.6% | 43 |
The 13 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 17,341 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 13 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 333
- What they are worth now
- $9,025bought for $9,073
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 10worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 333, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes | 200 | 80c | 80c | $159 |
| Broncos vs. Cardinals: O/U 42.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 300 | 52c | 52c | $155 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 150 | 84c | 85c | $127 |
| Spread: Colts (-3.5) (opens in a new tab)backed Vikings | 150 | 81c | 81c | $121 |
| Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers: O/U 189.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Under | 150 | 52c | 80c | $120 |
| Will CA River Plate vs. Racing Club end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 144 | 77c | 78c | $112 |
| Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 220 | 51c | 50c | $109 |
| Will CA Estudiantes vs. Club Atletico Los Andes end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 150 | 72c | 70c | $104 |
| Will FC Slovan Liberec vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 150 | 78c | 68c | $102 |
| Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 150 | 59c | 68c | $101 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 10. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market 0xe440…a5b7backed outcome 1 | 80 | 78c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x1145…bcc1backed outcome 1 | 75 | 51c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0x5efa…2ee3backed outcome 1 | 75 | 81c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xdbb1…1e77backed outcome 0 | 75 | 5c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Market 0xff3d…f877backed outcome 0 | 47.6 | 79c | $0 | Not read yet |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.