TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa938…a1ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$92.04
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.85
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.29
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$329
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.08
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.76
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.17
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$659.65
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.35
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45.3%+$436.46
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$279.72
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.77
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.48
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+98%+$285.12
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$29.21
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$236.18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$502.68
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.98
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.56
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.77
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.2
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$39.42
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$122.64
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$211.83
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$129.6
Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$177.45
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$79.43
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$679.8
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$183.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$210.8
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$70.72
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.78
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$60.72
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$112.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.91
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.84
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$424.9
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.74
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.64
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.83
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.33
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$82.08
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$84.84
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$69.12
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$82.77
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.96
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.92
Will the Utah Jazz have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$79.38
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.98
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$63.84
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$127.51
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.69
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$100.92
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$288.88
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 59m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$85.8
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$101.12
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$189.54
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$354
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$216.8
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+455.6%+$332.92
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.95
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.02
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$149.53
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$37.1
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.76
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.75
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$105.71
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.39
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.44
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$93.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.59
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$114.81
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.14
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.2
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$36.3
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$191.88
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$449.28
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$527.96
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.59
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$243.9
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+733.3%+$410.08
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.64
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+34.3%+$35.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+700%+$904.75
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$222.02
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Partido Popular win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$260.92
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$201.24
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.79
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$103.21
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$31.28
Will Keir Starmer say "Emergency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$59.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$341.04
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.16
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.68
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.96
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$132.84
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.56
Will Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$601.02
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$153.55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$398.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$290.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrik Antonius win at Hustler Casino on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$265.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The MongolZ make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$187.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$333.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$282.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$246.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.