TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaab6…607e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
4,573
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 63 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly.

The individual picks are not listed for this wallet. It holds 4,573 qualified picks — more than the 2,000 this page can detail on the request path. The record below is the summary of every one of them, and the JSON endpoint carries the same per-Category figures.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT66143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT49142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT43250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT39651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT27248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT24546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT18647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT17955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT16347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT16248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT14846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT13852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST12756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT11750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT9842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT9137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT8847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT8355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.