Wallet 0xb3e4…d6b2
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xb3e4032a53865af9eac182b59502407c0e9cd6b2
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$237,058 staked over 3,700 qualified picks in 18 categories, 5 of 18 below 50.
Best category
Australian A League
$1,337 staked over 34 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.10 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardSecond best
NFL
$13,386 staked over 155 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NFL boardThird best
Serie A
$9,004 staked over 154 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Serie A boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 3,700 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category18 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 15, 2026, EDT | $1,337 | before 88%in play 12%, over 34 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 48 min before the start | 5 h 46to the end, median over 36 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1798% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 98% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 28 of 34 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9 | +0.17 | 56c | +37.9% | 61 |
The 34 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 34 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Feb 9, 2026, EST | $13,386 | before 91%in play 9%, over 155 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 30 before the start | 9 h 54to the end, median over 194 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0897% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 124 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4 | +0.09 | 48c | +19.4% | 58 |
The 155 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $9,004 | before 91%in play 9%, over 154 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 6 h 30to the end, median over 199 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0799% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 134 of 154 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2 | +0.07 | 52c | +19.4% | 57 |
The 154 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 154 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $42,218 | before 97%in play 3%, over 557 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 45 before the start | 8 h 49to the end, median over 667 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0597% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 441 of 561 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0 | +0.05 | 53c | +12.2% | 56 |
The 561 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 561 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Jul 18, 2026, EDT | $6,449 | before 100%in play 0%, over 179 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 06 before the start | 7 h 25to the end, median over 227 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0493% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 168 of 179 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5 | +0.05 | 56c | +10.7% | 55 |
The 179 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 179 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesliga Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $11,376 | before 92%in play 8%, over 132 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 11 before the start | 7 h 01to the end, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0593% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 119 of 132 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5 | +0.05 | 51c | +11.6% | 55 |
The 132 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 132 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHL Inactivelast settled Jan 6, 2026, EST | $26,177 | before >99%in play <1%, over 418 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 02 before the start | 11 h 32to the end, median over 565 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0389% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 304 of 418 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6 | +0.04 | 48c | +8.8% | 54 |
The 418 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 418 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Jan 3, 2026, EST | $1,241 | before 83%in play 17%, over 23 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 41 before the start | 12 h 04to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0596% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 96% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2 | +0.05 | 47c | +8.1% | 53 |
The 23 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Jul 14, 2026, EDT | $14,709 | before 98%in play 2%, over 186 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 14 before the start | 11 h 00to the end, median over 258 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0290% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 90% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 150 of 187 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6 | +0.02 | 52c | +3.2% | 52 |
The 187 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 187 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Jul 17, 2026, EDT | $4,391 | before 99%in play 1%, over 135 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 55 min before the start | 6 h 29to the end, median over 156 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0285% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 85% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 130 of 135 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3 | +0.02 | 55c | +3.4% | 52 |
The 135 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 135 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled May 17, 2026, EDT | $6,924 | before 98%in play 2%, over 99 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 49 min before the start | 7 h 15to the end, median over 133 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02108% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 108% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 88 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2 | +0.02 | 52c | +8.5% | 52 |
The 99 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jan 30, 2026, EST | $39,804 | before 96%in play 4%, over 480 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 9 h 41 before the start | 13 h 43to the end, median over 713 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 70% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 426 of 483 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 483 | 48%232 W · 251 L | +5.5 | +0.01 | 47c | +3.9% | 51 |
The 483 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 483 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Jul 16, 2026, EDT | $10,311 | before 99%in play 1%, over 146 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 h 42 before the start | 13 h 11to the end, median over 206 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 111 of 147 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6 | +0.01 | 55c | +2.4% | 51 |
The 147 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 147 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled May 21, 2026, EDT | $2,143 | before 99%in play 1%, over 82 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 59 min before the start | 6 h 51to the end, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 70 of 82 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4 | 0.00 | 57c | -1.5% | 50 |
The 82 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 82 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled May 24, 2026, EDT | $18,573 | before 94%in play 6%, over 285 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 before the start | 7 h 23to the end, median over 347 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 248 of 290 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4 | 0.00 | 54c | -1.2% | 50 |
The 290 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 290 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 18, 2026, EDT | $23,770 | before 99%in play 1%, over 448 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 29 before the start | 6 h 19to the end, median over 558 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 16 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 401 of 459 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7 | -0.03 | 52c | -3.7% | 47 |
The 459 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 459 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled Jun 27, 2026, EDT | $3,526 | before 94%in play 6%, over 143 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 02 before the start | 6 h 19to the end, median over 183 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 128 of 143 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0 | -0.05 | 55c | -10.8% | 45 |
The 143 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 143 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFC Inactivelast settled Mar 15, 2026, EDT | $1,717 | —too few: 9 picks | 8 h 30to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 14 of 19 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8 | -0.20 | 41c | -39.8% | 40 |
The 19 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 3,700 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 19 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
This wallet is holding nothing on Polymarket. We asked and the answer was empty: no running positions, and nothing settled waiting to be cashed. This is a result we measured, not missing data.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.