TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6dc…ab58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
327
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Olympics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.07
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.05
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$19.96
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.35
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.81
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$148.6
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.07
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.6
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$93.09
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.85
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.81
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.69
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.26
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.4
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$93.63
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+151.4%+$500.01
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$338.45
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.44
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.62
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.29
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.46
Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.56
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.33
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.05
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-1.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.65
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.83
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.65
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.13
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.75
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$28.13
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.6
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.48
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.38
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.02
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$150.89
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+310.9%+$124.82
LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.01
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT5846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$94.72
Flyers vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$134.02
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.61
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.53
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$90.55
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.79
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$47.67
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.31
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.88
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$99.24
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.07
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$48.17
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$90.88
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.86
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.29
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$253.42
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.57
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.07
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.12
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$10.31
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.25
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.64
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.51
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.13
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.19
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.27
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.74
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.98
Miyazaki: Yuta Shimizu vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$66.79
Morelia: Borna Gojo vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Sao Paulo: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Dellienbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$49.74
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Morelia: Alexis Galarneau vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.94
Morelia: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Yokkaichi: Soon-Woo Kwon vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Naples: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Martineaubacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$103.36
Alicante: Marco Cecchinato vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$104.4
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.38
Split: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nerman Faticbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.51
Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$34.03
Split: Andrej Nedic vs Jelle Selsbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Alicante: Zdenek Kolar vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$57.84
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$43.16
Murcia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.87
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.88
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.11
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hailey Cowan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.36
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$30.19
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$291.74
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$194.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$11.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+101.5%+$120.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.