TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb775…36f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
402
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT22757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 227 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$481.32
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$266
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,625
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.85
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$397.54
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.63
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.36
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$215.6
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$91.53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+82%+$184.45
Showing 25 of 227 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$411.57
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.63
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$99.08
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)backed Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$198.83
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86.75
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$119.92
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$169.68
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$418.73
Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$73.27
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)backed Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.82
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$651.73
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46%+$13.95
England to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$111.81
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$107.03
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$225.64
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$204.56
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$347.66
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$182.88
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$158.42
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$127
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.67
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$120.88
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+91%+$97.4
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$48.22
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
KHL: Torpedo vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$131.97
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$119.43
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Spartak Moscowbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$13.03
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$15.83
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedobacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.91
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$101
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$199.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$151.41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.88
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.07
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+109.8%+$35.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$60.11
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$223
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.32
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$78.45
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$68.18
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$45.61
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+125.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$69.67
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$61.26
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$54.07
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.27
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$102.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.