TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7ed…6fb8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT8955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.27
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$804.93
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$368.89
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$216.61
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$552.52
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$243.89
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.16
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.97
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$207.38
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$377
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$351.31
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.08
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$285.56
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$152.42
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.31
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$357.32
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.81
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$119.16
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.68
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$77.71
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.42
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$218.46
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.04
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$289.33
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$224.41
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.08
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$54.32
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$133.44
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$138.13
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$140.16
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$119.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.29
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.28
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$119.88
Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$109.66
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$159.8
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$156.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$80.92
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$243.53
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$142.61
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$163.49
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.96
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$235.41
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$126.08
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.37
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.63
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$243.54
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$188.18
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$73.33
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$94.7
Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.99
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.51
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$145.69
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$189.04
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115.92
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,005.91
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,139.57
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+79.8%+$542.48
NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+82.7%+$496.06
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+71.7%+$200.52
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+131.6%+$197.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$495.13
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
SC Heerenveen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.71
Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.45
Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.12
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$171.74
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$340.28
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.8
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$130.03
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$130.66
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.04
Antalyaspor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$172.75
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$287.64
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$100.37
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$153.64
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$600
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$230.09
FC Utrecht vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$217.37
Casa Pia AC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$207.94
SBV Excelsior vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.4%+$761.53
All 25 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$97.72
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.69
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$98.54
Macarthur FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$73.68
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.38
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$99.14
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$48.06
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$266.67
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$96.57
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$226.32
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$562.89
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$574.87
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.1%+$486.4
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+212.5%+$850
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+90.9%+$490.71
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+74%+$75.28
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$620
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+82.7%+$388.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.07
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$11.53
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$284.09
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.65
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+88.2%+$149.92
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$115.13
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$618.6
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$262.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.88
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$221.45
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$150.83
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$299.39
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.43
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$90.89
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.9
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104%+$310.57
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$125.53
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69%+$150.96
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$271.23
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$679.75
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+59.6%+$178.83
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30.7%+$30.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.76
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$145.16
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+143.7%+$241.32
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.7%+$224
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$786.67
ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$478.61
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Noah FA vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$500.97
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+240.7%+$722.01
Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+68.9%+$367.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$123.64
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.19
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$229.68
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$115.7
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$700
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$510.84
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+89.4%+$597.92
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100.4%+$602.2
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.