TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba76…e0d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$914
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,872.01
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$239.99
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$447.97
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$208
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$415
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$3,060.95
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$3,220.31
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.56
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.12
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$2,299.74
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Dabrowski/Stefanibacked Dabrowski/Stefani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$1,430.79
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$957
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$817
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$2,324.06
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,811.3
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$760
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.63
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$54.74
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,350
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.31
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.42
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$305.9
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$121.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+229.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.