Serie A · one pick
Wallet 0xbc29…b3b6 got this right.
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6/m/0x8eadc4b71a23fad46d269ff860fd02d0e4fa0a351bdec05176a5b3a3dc23b2fe
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- Noat 42c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- No won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 23.81 shares$10 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- +$13.76+137% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Serie A record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbc29…b3b6in Serie A | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Serie A and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market313 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Serie A record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.