TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe57…3920

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT7832.1%25 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+214.3%+$177.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$69.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.27
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+235.5%+$596.33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+52%+$305.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$201.53
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.88
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$345.01
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 4 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$76.68
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$297.99
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.96
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$84.78
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$80.96
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$61.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$68.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$188.24
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+293.7%+$102.2
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$7
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32%+$57.47
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$49.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+43%+$78.89
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.77
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$15.47
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.77
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$27.76
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$15.64
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Barcelonabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Granada vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Unicaja vs. CB Breogan Lugobacked Unicaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$33.65
Gran Canaria vs. Manresabacked Gran Canaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Ningbo Rockets vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43%+$20.19
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$20.65
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$563.23
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$192.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $110 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.