TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc214…105d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
910
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT48843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 488 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.41
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$69.04
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.8
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.14
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.04
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.02
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,726.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$2,982.88
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,203.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$620.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$506.74
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Showing 25 of 488 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT12642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.47
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$55.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48.94
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$114.27
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: magic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,306.85
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$77.1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.13
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.22
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$609.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$576.47
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$484.42
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.42
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$619.91
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.24
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.87
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+511.1%+$705.33
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.83
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Canadian Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.69
Canadian Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$115.76
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$111.86
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$91.43
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$161.26
Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$87.11
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$345.24
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+226%+$114.18
Set 2 Winner: Blockx vs Darderibacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$96.22
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$93.94
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.4
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46%+$24.29
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT4768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$223.33
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$97.94
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Phoenix Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$16.52
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$238.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$430.21
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,685.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,323.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$267.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.76
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$115.73
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$687.98
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.22
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$258.08
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$89.49
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$86.99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$258.12
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$464
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$237.21
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+567.5%+$415.34
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$531.62
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.92
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.32
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$681.8
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$338.57
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$101.51
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$100.2
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.22
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$89.64
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$663.35
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.02
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.8
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.68
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+80.7%+$475.19
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$489.3
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$211.1
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$476
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+221.4%+$1,034.14
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$484
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$146.48
Over $35M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.71
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+69%+$110.4
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$65.26
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$200.29
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+286.7%+$867.42
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$126.49
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.87
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will The J. M. Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$457
Will USA Rare Earth (USAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+124.2%+$277.03
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.1%+$41.37
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+60.9%+$143.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+151.9%+$208.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$154.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$192.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+46.1%+$161.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$793
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$176
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.