TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc323…a9ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.14
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.93
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.69
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.69
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.69
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.65
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.57
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.53
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.07
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.14
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will FC Juárez vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.93
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.33
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.21
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.18
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.46
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.69
Will Gwangju FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.93
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.93
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.28
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.65
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.18
Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.21
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.