TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc44d…935c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
580
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Golf, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT17162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.95
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.43
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.13
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$146.92
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.25
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,736.45
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.45
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$95.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.81
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,670
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2,510.29
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+367.5%+$250.41
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,616.62
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+248%+$1,625.87
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$550.01
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,879Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,031.09
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.44
Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$680.67
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.91
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$546
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,012
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,169.99
Will Toronto Raptors advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$117.38
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$140.21
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,351.29
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+334.3%+$1,874.75
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$228.06
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+716.3%+$2,346.55
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.86
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.28
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$552
Texas Longhorns vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$353.47
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$374.18
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,849.96
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.42
Will Duke win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Will Duke advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$235.96
Will Tennessee advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.15
Will Michigan advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.07
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$497.11
Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Purdue advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28%+$89.14
Will Illinois advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.21
Will Iowa State advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$187.5
Will Houston advance to the Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$444.14
Will Alabama advance to the Sweet Sixteen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$8,594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$2,306.4
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,054.95
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$900
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$1,023.5
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,827.93
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.52
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,069.97
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,952Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$8,396.37
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$4,147
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,070
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,002.35
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,120
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,732.5
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,311
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,276
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.1
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$517
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,128.6
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$1,151.8
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.19
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$52.85
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,745.99
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,797.97
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.98
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT5261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caleb Downs be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$131.79
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78%+$8.77
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$2,100.81
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.61
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$38.19
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,359.67
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,536Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$555.32
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+171.3%+$1,646.81
Kenneth Walker III: First Touchdownbacked No Touchdown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$133.5
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$191.09
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.1%+$782.05
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4,194.4
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+99.4%+$2,548
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,913.99
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$279.46
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$907.6
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.72
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$242.52
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$529
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$1,121.05
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,175
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$540
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,064
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,034Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,066
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,071.65
American vs. National: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,106.25
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,107
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$42.15
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,483.9
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$475.53
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$2,232.49
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.09
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,009.78
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$299.2
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$122.62
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.75
NRFI: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$267.96
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$899
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.66
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$4,963.45
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.63
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,087.75
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.75
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.51
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+43%+$92.94
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$375.52
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$545.6
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$497.35
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$581.5
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.76
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Mammoth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.89
Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.88
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$105
Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.5%+$142.43
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$680.96
Will Los Angeles Kings advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,500
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$842.8
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073.75
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,237.5
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.53
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,215
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,987Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+119.5%+$2,375.47
Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$917.62
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$84.72
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.6%+$1,251.07
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$275
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$315.07
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,484.19
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$5,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,138.91
Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$326.39
Will Brendan Mackay (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+34.2%+$322.87
Will Alex Ferreira (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.1%+$99.02
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$140.4
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$216
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25.2%+$375.65
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+177.8%+$1,005.71
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$999
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$6,955.04
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$889.15
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$234.36
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$837.54
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$929.26
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$930.2
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,650
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$5,716.8
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,135.34
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$331.9
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$893.18
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.31
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.57
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$1,138.72
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.55
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958.57
Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.24
Will Daniel Santos win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.46
Will Carlos Ulberg win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.19
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.6
Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$145.08
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41%+$516.7
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.5%+$336.33
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,166.5
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$66.26
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.3%+$251.85
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$257.4
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$959.98
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$989.96
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$369.35
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+300%+$51
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$990.67
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,090
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$612.9
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$1,145.65
James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,092.86
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,340.07
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,065
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100.32
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Spread: Western Michigan (-2.5)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$108.68
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,274Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,120.03
Spread: Illinois (-7.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$99.84
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesotabacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$122.1
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,373Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.3%+$6,620.83
Spread: BYU (-2.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$100
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,033Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+27%+$1,088.92
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$50.32
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$1,063.46
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,776Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.2%+$1,117.33
LSU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+27.3%+$588.93
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,470
Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$100.62
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)backed Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$100.21
Spread: Arkansas (-2.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$203.47
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$243.4
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$100.95
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$102.07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$512.15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.82
Will FC København win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$522.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$2,487.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+272.8%+$2,024.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$2,062.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$143.76
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,125
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,668Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$2,248.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Golf — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$337.6
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.92
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$234.25
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.27
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$2,580.38
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$57.04
Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$180.45
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Masters 2026: Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$5.96
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$41
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+125%+$1,924.81
Will Collin Morikawa make the cut at the 2026 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$1,315.39
Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$543.4
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$89.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$899
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$545.98
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$59.19
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$536.87
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$541.79
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$561.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,535
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,978Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,122
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,181.94
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,117.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,045
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$2,502.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$792
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$4,200
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$770
All 9 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelonabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+334.8%+$201.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.