Wallet 0xc4fe…601f
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xc4fe817476491890086330a639ac417d51bf601f
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$5,029,121 staked over 36,018 qualified picks in 32 categories, 14 of 32 below 50.
Best category
Ligue 1
$11,455 staked over 133 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.05 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardSecond best
South American Leagues
$110,236 staked over 1,075 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full South American Leagues boardThird best
NBA
$119,155 staked over 868 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full NBA boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 36,018 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category32 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,455 | before 5%in play 95%, over 133 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 51 min after the start | 1 h 37to the end, median over 345 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 73% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 106 of 133 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +8.3 | +0.06 | 47c | +8.5% | 56 |
The 133 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 133 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $110,236 | before 9%in play 91%, over 1,075 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 40 min after the start | 3 h 19to the end, median over 2,449 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 39% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 912 of 1,075 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,075 | 50.3%541 W · 534 L | +47.7 | +0.04 | 46c | +0.5% | 55 |
The 1,075 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,075 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $119,155 | before 19%in play 81%, over 868 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 2 h 12to the end, median over 1,377 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 64% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 625 of 868 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 868 | 51.6%448 W · 420 L | +34.4 | +0.04 | 48c | +3.5% | 54 |
The 868 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 868 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $49,528 | before 11%in play 89%, over 594 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 1,561 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 442 of 594 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 594 | 51.3%305 W · 289 L | +23.4 | +0.04 | 47c | -4% | 54 |
The 594 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 594 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $102,534 | before 84%in play 16%, over 620 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 29 before the start | 4 h 09to the end, median over 1,443 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0499% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 341 of 620 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 620 | 53.9%334 W · 286 L | +23.9 | +0.04 | 50c | +9.1% | 54 |
The 620 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 620 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $36,501 | before 8%in play 92%, over 509 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 23to the end, median over 1,402 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 15% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 411 of 509 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | +18.6 | +0.04 | 48c | -3.6% | 54 |
The 509 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 509 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 15, 2026, EDT | $73,844 | before 11%in play 89%, over 864 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 2 h 37to the end, median over 1,511 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0394% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 94% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 544 of 864 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 864 | 54.1%467 W · 397 L | +30.4 | +0.04 | 51c | -0.2% | 54 |
The 864 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 864 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $59,844 | before 10%in play 90%, over 598 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 1,285 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 498 of 598 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 598 | 42.8%256 W · 342 L | +18.9 | +0.03 | 40c | -2.9% | 53 |
The 598 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 598 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $51,627 | before 14%in play 86%, over 519 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 2 h 17to the end, median over 1,272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 0% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 421 of 519 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 519 | 45.1%234 W · 285 L | +16.2 | +0.03 | 42c | -4.8% | 53 |
The 519 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 519 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jul 6, 2026, EDT | $32 | —no start of play | 21 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | +0.3299% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6 | +0.32 | 68c | +48% | 53 |
The 2 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,465 | before 16%in play 84%, over 289 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 05 after the start | 2 h 09to the end, median over 698 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0288% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 88% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 191 of 290 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 290 | 52.1%151 W · 139 L | +6.5 | +0.02 | 50c | -2.8% | 52 |
The 290 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 290 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $117,856 | before 11%in play 89%, over 794 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 1 h 59to the end, median over 1,616 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 649 of 794 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 794 | 49.2%391 W · 403 L | +15.2 | +0.02 | 47c | -2.9% | 52 |
The 794 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 794 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $48,541 | before 7%in play 93%, over 483 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 39 min after the start | 2 h 08to the end, median over 1,241 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 406 of 483 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 483 | 47.4%229 W · 254 L | +8.9 | +0.02 | 46c | -7.7% | 52 |
The 483 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 483 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $63,601 | before 21%in play 79%, over 473 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 18 min after the start | 2 h 26to the end, median over 680 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 23% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 385 of 474 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 474 | 48.3%229 W · 245 L | +8.1 | +0.02 | 47c | -7.8% | 52 |
The 474 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 474 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $60,351 | before 23%in play 77%, over 678 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 33 min after the start | 3 h 25to the end, median over 1,696 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 531 of 678 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 678 | 43.5%295 W · 383 L | +8.1 | +0.01 | 42c | -4.9% | 51 |
The 678 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 678 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $22 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 11 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.21100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2 | +0.21 | 79c | +25.8% | 51 |
The 1 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 7, 2026, EDT | $362,025 | before 22%in play 78%, over 2,356 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 14 min after the start | 2 h 35to the end, median over 3,935 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,954 of 2,363 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2,363 | 41.5%981 W · 1,382 L | +11.9 | +0.01 | 41c | -9.5% | 51 |
The 2,363 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2,363 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,881 | before 7%in play 93%, over 234 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 1 h 46to the end, median over 649 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 205 of 234 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | +0.8 | 0.00 | 43c | -12.9% | 50 |
The 234 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 234 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $19,541 | before 4%in play 96%, over 246 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 2 h 12to the end, median over 682 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 212 of 246 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 246 | 43.5%107 W · 139 L | -0.1 | 0.00 | 44c | -5.9% | 50 |
The 246 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 246 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,372,155 | before 14%in play 86%, over 10,628 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 52 min after the start | 2 h 00to the end, median over 18,169 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 7,491 of 10,669 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10,669 | 45.5%4,852 W · 5,817 L | -23.4 | 0.00 | 46c | -12.6% | 50 |
The 10,669 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10,669 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,743 | before 3%in play 97%, over 37 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 08 after the start | 3 h 11to the end, median over 78 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7 | -0.02 | 51c | -18.4% | 49 |
The 37 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $33,305 | before 12%in play 88%, over 352 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 39 after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 664 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 236 of 352 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 352 | 49.4%174 W · 178 L | -4.6 | -0.01 | 51c | -3.6% | 49 |
The 352 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 352 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Midterms Inactivelast settled Jun 3, 2026, EDT | $23 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 24 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.19no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.19 | 69c | -37.4% | 48 |
The 2 picks behind Us Midterms are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golflast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT | $5,333 | before 0%in play 100%, over 31 Golf picks with a start of play; typically bought 66 h 16 after the start | 1 dto the end, median over 207 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 10 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.9 | -0.03 | 43c | -32.5% | 48 |
The 32 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $10,485 | before 32%in play 68%, over 116 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 197 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 90 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -2.9 | -0.03 | 40c | -28.1% | 48 |
The 116 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $120,428 | before 51%in play 49%, over 425 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min before the start | 6 h 36to the end, median over 571 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 264 of 425 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 425 | 36.9%157 W · 268 L | -16.3 | -0.04 | 41c | -34.3% | 46 |
The 425 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 425 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorantlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $113,474 | before 55%in play 45%, over 953 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 min before the start | 4 h 13to the end, median over 1,528 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 680 of 953 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 953 | 38.7%369 W · 584 L | -52.3 | -0.05 | 44c | -22.4% | 44 |
The 953 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 953 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $317,098 | before 23%in play 77%, over 1,730 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 3 h 04to the end, median over 2,614 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1,458 of 1,730 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,730 | 35.7%618 W · 1,112 L | -93.9 | -0.05 | 41c | -37.6% | 44 |
The 1,730 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,730 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1last settled Oct 10, 2026, EDT | $18,807 | before 83%in play 17%, over 105 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 17 h 07 before the start | 17 h 40to the end, median over 288 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -7.9 | -0.07 | 49c | -32.8% | 43 |
The 107 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $735,623 | before 30%in play 70%, over 3,401 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 16 min after the start | 4 h 28to the end, median over 5,153 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2,830 of 3,406 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3,406 | 33.1%1,129 W · 2,277 L | -210.4 | -0.06 | 39c | -37.9% | 43 |
The 3,406 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3,406 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $982,304 | before 28%in play 72%, over 6,833 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 3 h 01to the end, median over 10,627 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5,559 of 6,836 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6,836 | 33.3%2,279 W · 4,557 L | -426.4 | -0.06 | 40c | -36.5% | 43 |
The 6,836 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6,836 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Jul 7, 2026, EDT | $305 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 109 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.25no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 8 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2 | -0.28 | 40c | -78.8% | 43 |
The 8 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 36,018 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 8 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 171
- What they are worth now
- $9,589bought for $10,134
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 44worth $266
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 171, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow AFC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 1,781 | 98c | 89c | $1,585 |
| Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings (opens in a new tab)backed Melbourne United | 894.05 | 47c | 90c | $800 |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal Fighters (opens in a new tab)backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 1,208 | 45c | 46c | $556 |
| Karsiyaka vs. Fenerbahce (opens in a new tab)backed Karsiyaka | 2,992 | 15c | 16c | $464 |
| Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs prodigy - Map 1 Winner (opens in a new tab)backed ZOTIX | 899.77 | 62c | 52c | $463 |
| Cairns Taipans vs. New Zealand Breakers (opens in a new tab)backed Cairns Taipans | 381.62 | 84c | 100c | $381 |
| Will Benjamin Silverman win the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 329.8 | 96c | 95c | $314 |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? (opens in a new tab)backed No | 390.37 | 67c | 80c | $310 |
| Market 0x7b44…655cbacked outcome 0 | 250.21 | 98c | 99c | $248 |
| Lakers vs. Jazz (opens in a new tab)backed Lakers | 363.92 | 70c | 68c | $246 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 44. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 Winner: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa (opens in a new tab)backed Nadia Podoroska · settled | 265.86 | 66c | $266 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: Linx Legacy Esport vs Fortress (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed Fortress · settled | 410.73 | 49c | $0 | Counted |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Borussia Mönchengladbach O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 366.12 | 3c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x68a4…f7cabacked outcome 0 | 322.19 | 51c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A (opens in a new tab)backed NIP · settled | 269.07 | 16c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 is not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about that market, so it is neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.