TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5c8…76b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT9550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,042.37
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$359.65
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+76%+$265.92
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$120.73
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$118.73
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$168.41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$298.15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$553.85
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.8
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.79
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$343.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.6
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.4%+$113.38
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+80.7%+$444.01
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98.49
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+269.6%+$323.48
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+345.7%+$414.78
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+301.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$109.4
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$566.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Blake Ellis vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$31.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.